IDC FutureScape: Worldwide National Government 2024 Predictions

Description

This IDC study provides IDC's 2024 top 10 predictions for national government."The drivers included in this IDC FutureScape will compel agencies to take a strategic approach to national security, sovereignty, and resilience and protection of virtual interactions as new attack surfaces and vulnerabilities are exposed and exploited by sophisticated global actors," says Adelaide O'Brien, research vice president, IDC Government Insights. "As national governments replatform the organization, the recommended actions and guidance of these top 10 predictions can enable a secure, agile, and data-driven organization supported by an innovative workforce creating well-orchestrated approaches to customer journeys," she adds.

Product Code: US50296223

IDC FutureScape Figure

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

Summary of External Drivers
Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers
- Prediction 1: To Ensure National Intelligence Superiority, 65% of Governments Will Address Strategic Weaknesses and Deploy Digital Sovereignty to Defend National Assets/Critical Infrastructure by 2028
  - Associated Drivers
  - IT Impact
  - Guidance
- Prediction 2: By 2028, 40% of National Governments Will Increase Data Sharing Investments by 50%, Realizing the Value of Digital Trade Agreements That Impact National Economies/Operational Effectiveness
  - Associated Drivers
  - IT Impact
  - Guidance
- Prediction 3: By 2027, 66% of National Governments Will Mandate Deployment of Software Tools That Monitor and Measure Energy Utilization in Government Facilities to Reduce Energy Costs and Improve Sustainability
  - Associated Drivers
  - IT Impact
  - Guidance
- Prediction 4: By 2026, Governments Will Grow Spend on Data Sharing, AI, IoT, and Compute Power by 15% to Scale Global Collaboration to Mitigate the Impact of Extreme Weather Events Caused by Climate Change
  - Associated Drivers
  - IT Impact
  - Guidance
- Prediction 5: By 2028, Taking Cue from EU's AI Policy, 60% of Worldwide National Governments Will Adopt a Risk Management Approach in Framing Their AI and GenAI Policies
  - Associated Drivers
  - IT Impact
  - Guidance
- Prediction 6: By 2027, 50% of National Governments Will Extend GenAI from Task Automation to Decision Support Use Cases, Improving Citizen Service Responsiveness by 10% and Civil Servant Productivity by 15%
  - Associated Drivers
  - IT Impact
  - Guidance
- Prediction 7: By 2027, 95% of Nations Will Have Experienced Major Cyberattacks Caused by Threat Actors Using GenAI, But Only 30% Will Be Resilient Enough to Prevent Significant Disruptions and Breaches
  - Associated Drivers
  - IT Impact
  - Guidance
- Prediction 8: By 2026, 60% of National Governments Will Focus on Upskilling and Reskilling Civil Servants to Improve Their Work Experience and Citizen Services
  - Associated Drivers
  - IT Impact
  - Guidance
- Prediction 9: By 2026, 60% of Governments Will Close Digital Gaps by Automating and Connecting Data, Processes, and Employees and Deploy AI-Enabled Platforms for Intelligent Operations End to End
  - Associated Drivers
  - IT Impact
  - Guidance
- Prediction 10: By 2025, Traffic Management Incidents in Space Will Cause National Governments to Increase Technology Spending by 20% to Deliver a Collaborative Governance Model Facilitating the Space Economy
  - Associated Drivers
  - IT Impact
  - Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

AI Everywhere - Generative AI Takes the Spotlight
The Drive to Automate - Maximizing Efficiency and New Opportunities
Global Supply Chain Resiliency - Push for Diversification
Cybersecurity and Risk - Building Resilience Against Multiplying Threats
The Digital Business Imperative - Competitiveness and Outcomes
Shifting Tech Regulatory Landscape - Navigating Risk and Opportunity
Operationalization of ESG - Measuring and Implementing Sustainability

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