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PUBLISHER: IDC | PRODUCT CODE: 1452029

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PUBLISHER: IDC | PRODUCT CODE: 1452029

Worldwide Smartphone Forecast, 2024-2028

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PAGES: 15 Pages
DELIVERY TIME: 1-2 business days
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This IDC study presents the updated five-year forecast for smartphone shipments worldwide by operating system. The smartphone market will reach 1.20 billion units shipped in 2024, up 2.8% from the 1.16 billion units shipped in 2023. From there, shipments will hit 1.30 billion units in 2028, the final year of our forecast period, resulting in a CAGR of 2.3%."The strong performance in the smartphone market in the fourth quarter has brought a renewed sense of optimism to our forecast and bodes well for 2024," said Anthony Scarsella, research director, IDC's Worldwide Mobile Device Trackers. "With two consecutive years of nearly 3.0% growth headed our way, the dependence on the smartphone as a necessary device remains prevalent across all regions and markets, both developed and emerging. Moreover, the arrival of new AI capabilities, new potential form factors and, more importantly, affordable 5G models will hopefully bring unit volumes past the pre-pandemic level of 2019 sooner than later."

Product Code: US51916124

IDC Market Forecast Figure

Executive Summary

Advice for Technology Suppliers

  • Evaluate the Cost of AI

Market Forecast

  • Forecast by Operating System
    • Android
    • iOS
  • Forecast Comparison: Smartphones Versus Feature Phones
    • Feature Phones
    • Smartphones
  • Forecast by Region
  • Smartphone ASP Forecast

Market Context

  • Drivers and Inhibitors
    • Drivers
      • 5G Handsets
      • Screen Sizes
    • Inhibitors
      • Refresh Rates
      • Inflation
  • Significant Market Developments
    • Galaxy AI Arrives, New AI Features Hit the Market
  • Changes from Prior Forecast

Market Definition

  • Feature Phone
  • Smartphone

Methodology

  • Primary Data Sources
  • Secondary Sources
  • IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker

Related Research

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