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Market Research Report

Autonomous Cars: The Race to Develop the First Level 5 Car

Published by IDATE DigiWorld Product code 408028
Published Content info 52 Pages
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Autonomous Cars: The Race to Develop the First Level 5 Car
Published: January 2, 2018 Content info: 52 Pages
Description

Summary

With new players emerging and rapid advances in key autonomous driving technologies, the car and mobility markets are on the verge of major disruptions that are likely to greatly impact how people travel.

This report presents the underlying technologies needed to achieve automation. It describes the different levels of autonomy and evaluates the potential of such vehicles.

It also analyses the strategies of carmakers and Internet players, who are, newcomers to the car market.

It then reviews the main drivers and barriers to autonomous car deployment on the market and finally presents sales forecasts for fully autonomous cars

Table of Contents
Product Code: M17340MRA

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

2. General methodology of IDATE Digiworld's reports

3. Underlying technologies

  • 3.1. Differences between connected and autonomous cars
    • 3.1.1. Autonomous cars
    • 3.1.2. Connected cars
  • 3.2. Artificial intelligence
  • 3.3. Surroundings detection technology
    • 3.3.1. Lidar
    • 3.3.2. Radar
    • 3.3.3. Cameras
    • 3.3.4. Other sensors
  • 3.4. Connectivity and communication
    • 3.4.1. V2V
    • 3.4.2. V2I
    • 3.4.3. 5G/Cellular V2X
    • 3.4.4. Space-navigation systems
    • 3.4.5. eSIM

4. Issues around autonomous cars

  • 4.1. Levels of autonomous driving
  • 4.2. Autonomous car potential
    • 4.2.1. Safety
    • 4.2.2. Increased convenience
    • 4.2.3. Traffic
    • 4.2.4. Mobility for some non-drivers

5. Strategies

  • 5.1. Major car manufacturers
    • 5.1.1. Overview
    • 5.1.2. General Motors
    • 5.1.3. Ford
    • 5.1.4. BMW
    • 5.1.5. Volkswagen
    • 5.1.6. Tesla
  • 5.2. Internet players
    • 5.2.1. Overview
    • 5.2.2. Google
    • 5.2.3. Apple
    • 5.2.4. Baidu
    • 5.2.5. Uber

6. Autonomous car deployment

  • 6.1. Drivers
  • 6.2. Barriers

List of tables and figures

Tables

  • Table 1: Differences between short-range and long-range radars
  • Table 2: Benefits and drawbacks of radar for self-driving vehicles
  • Table 3: 5G scope and automotive applications
  • Table 4: Autonomous driving levels
  • Table 5: Possible uses for self-driving taxis
  • Table 6: Major connected-car deployments
  • Table 7: Driving assistance features and partners of main carmakers
  • Table 8: Self-driving focus for main Internet players in the automotive market
  • Table 9: Uber's car-sharing services
  • Table 10: Level 5 car availability
  • Table 11: Possible impacts of the self-driving cars on vehicle ownership

Figures

  • Figure 1: Fields involved in AI development
  • Figure 2: Multiple sensors work together for autonomous driving
  • Figure 3: Lidar using a spinning mirror
  • Figure 4: How lidar senses the environment
  • Figure 5: Quanergy solid-state lidar sensors
  • Figure 6: Velodyne Velarray - a solid-state lidar system
  • Figure 7: Radar's applications in Advanced Driving Assistance Systems (ADAS)
  • Figure 8: Camera applications in autonomous vehicles
  • Figure 9: Mobileye's camera-based system for pedestrian detection (for buses and lorries)
  • Figure 10: Ultrasonic sensors in autonomous driving
  • Figure 11: Main scenarios where V2V can prevent accidents
  • Figure 12: Visual representation of V2V and V2I communication
  • Figure 13: Car displaying the remaining time before a traffic light goes green
  • Figure 14: Scope of 5G
  • Figure 15: Direct communications (left) and network communications
  • Figure 16: Deployment using eUICC
  • Figure 17: Major causes of traffic accidents
  • Figure 18: Causes of stress and anxiety in the car
  • Figure 19: Park Assist (BMW)
  • Figure 20: OnStar data plans
  • Figure 21: Testing a self-driving Chevy Bolt electric vehicle
  • Figure 22: GM's car-sharing service - Maven
  • Figure 23: Ford SYNC 3
  • Figure 24: Autonomous Ford Fusion Hybrid vehicle
  • Figure 25: BMW ConnectedDrive
  • Figure 26: Sensor system of BMW autonomous driving
  • Figure 27: Volkswagen's Car-Net service
  • Figure 28: VW Sedric concept car for level 5 autonomous driving
  • Figure 29: Sensor components enabling Audi A8 level 3 autonomous driving
  • Figure 30: Model S main connected functions
  • Figure 31: Enhanced Autopilot systems for autonomous driving
  • Figure 32: Waze interface
  • Figure 33: Waymo's &dquo;Firefly” (retired in August 2017)
  • Figure 34: Chrysler Pacifica Hybrid minivans joining Waymo's test fleet
  • Figure 35: Control with CarPlay: Siri Eyes-free button, touchscreen and knob twist
  • Figure 36: Apple's self-driving car spotted in California
  • Figure 37: Baidu-Chery autonomous driving prototype car
  • Figure 38: Uber-Volvo self-driving car in development
  • Figure 39: Main reason provided by Americans who would want to ride in a driverless vehicle
  • Figure 40: Personal vehicles sales (left) and commercial vehicle sales (right)
  • Figure 41: Most common job in every state
  • Figure 42: Broad public support for policies limiting the impact of workforce automation
  • Figure 43: Public is more worried than enthusiastic about self-driving vehicles
  • Figure 44: Majority of Americans would not want to ride in a driverless vehicle if given the chance
  • Figure 45: Registered light-duty vehicles per person, per licensed driver and per household, 1984-2011
  • Figure 46: Sales of autonomous cars (level 5)

Geographic area & Players

World

Actors

  • Apple
  • Audi
  • Baidu
  • BMW
  • Ford
  • General Motors
  • GM
  • Google
  • Mercedes
  • Nissan
  • Renault
  • Tesla
  • Toyota
  • Uber
  • Volkswagen
  • Volvo
  • Waymo

Slideshow

The technology of autonomous cars

  • Differences between connected and autonomous cars
  • AI and sensors at the heart of the autonomous vehicle
  • Surroundings detection technology - Lidar
  • Surroundings detection technology - Radar
  • Surroundings detection technology - Cameras
  • Connectivity and communication - V2V and V2I
  • Connectivity and communication - 5G/Cellular V2x

Issues around autonomous cars

  • Autonomous cars - Issues
  • Autonomous car potential

Strategies

  • Major car manufacturers - heavy competition to develop a level 5 car
  • Internet players - new players in the car business

Autonomous car deployment

  • Drivers for development of autonomous vehicles
  • Barriers to development of autonomous vehicles
  • The future of car ownership
  • Autonomous car sales - starting in 2021
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