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Market Research Report
Materials for Electric Vehicle Battery Cells and Packs 2021-2031 |
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Published by | IDTechEx Ltd. | Product code | 980889 | ||||
Published | Content info | 268 Slides Delivery time: 1-2 business days |
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Materials for Electric Vehicle Battery Cells and Packs 2021-2031 | ||
Published: January 12, 2021 | Content info: 268 Slides |
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Title:
Materials for Electric Vehicle Battery Cells and Packs 2021-2031
Material requirements for electric vehicle lithium-ion battery cells and packs. Battery cell and pack energy density, material demand trends, OEM strategies and granular market forecasts for light- and heavy-duty vehicles.
The lithium-ion batteries in electric vehicles (EVs) present very different material demands at the cell- and pack-level compared with the internal-combustion engine (ICE) vehicles they replace. Whilst ICE drivetrains heavily rely on aluminium and steel alloys, Li-ion batteries utilise a great deal of materials such as nickel, cobalt, lithium, copper, insulation, thermal interface materials and much more at a cell- and pack-level. The markets for these materials will see a rapid increase in demand that would not have been present without the take-off of electric vehicle markets.
This new report from IDTechEx identifies and analyses trends in the materials used for the assembly and production of battery cells and battery packs in the EV market. The report also provides granular market forecasts from 2021-2031 for over 20 key material categories in terms of demand in tonnes, in addition to market value.
An extensive database, collated by IDTechEx, of over 300 battery-electric and plug-in hybrid passenger car variants, is further used to determine trends in the battery cell and pack energy density, energy capacity, cell geometry, cell chemistry and thermal management strategy, leading to a comprehensive set of material demands and market value forecasts.
OEMs are changing the way they make batteries. Improvements to energy density are one key consideration but also the sustainability of the materials used. Many materials involved have questionable mining practices or volatile supply chains. One such material is Cobalt, which in addition to being very expensive, has its supply and mining confined mostly to China and the Democratic Republic of Congo. As a result, OEMs are trending towards higher nickel cathode chemistries like NMC 622 or NMC 811 in some new models.
Up until 2018, the Chinese electric car market was predominately using LFP cathodes. This has now transitioned such that as of 2019 only 3 % of cars utilised LFP batteries. However, Tesla has now introduced the LFP Model 3 made in China which could upset this trend. Additionally, LFP is used extensively for markets like Chinese electric buses. Despite the reduction in market share of materials like cobalt, the rapidly increasing market for electric vehicles will drive demand for cobalt and many other materials drastically higher over the next 10 years.
Materials forecast for battery cells include aluminium, carbon black, casings, cobalt, copper, graphite, iron, lithium, manganese, nickel, silicon and polyvinylidene fluoride (PVDF).
Whilst the energy density improvements of Li-ion cells might be the most prominent battery improvements in the public eye, we are also seeing an increase in pack-level energy density at a greater rate than just cell-level improvements. Manufacturers are improving their battery designs, the mass of materials being used around the cells is steadily being reduced, allowing for a lighter battery pack or more cells to be used for the same mass. The choice of materials for several pack components also affects these improvements. More interest is being paid to composite enclosures for light-weighting, fire-retardant materials, thermal interface materials and much more. The thermal management strategy also impacts these choices, with increased energy density and consumer demand for fast charging, the thermal management must be more effective, but also present a smaller and lighter package. Several materials see a decrease in utilisation per vehicle, but this is often overshadowed by the rapidly growing market for EVs.
Battery pack materials forecasted include aluminium, copper, thermal management materials, thermal interface materials, steel, glass fibre reinforced polymers, carbon fibre reinforced polymers, inter-cell insulation, compression foams and housings and pack fire-retardant materials.
Materials demand from the following EV components and parts are considered:
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