Cover Image
Market Research Report
Product code
1022976

5G Monetization: Business Models, Strategic Recommendations & Market Forecasts 2021-2026

Published: | Juniper Research Ltd | Delivery time: 1-2 business days

Price

Back to Top
5G Monetization: Business Models, Strategic Recommendations & Market Forecasts 2021-2026
Published: August 9, 2021
Juniper Research Ltd
Delivery time: 1-2 business days
  • ALL
  • Description
  • Table of Contents
Description

Juniper Research's “5G Monetisation” report provides critical insights on monetisation models for 5G market stakeholders, including assessment of key network technologies, services and market sectors that generate revenue. It includes strategic recommendations for network operators and network vendors, aligned to a Juniper Research Leaderboard that includes the leading 5G network vendors.

The research features an in-depth analysis of pricing strategies for 5G verticals, and forecasts for data traffic per 5G connection across consumer connections and key IoT verticals.

5G sector coverage and market analysis provided for:

  • Consumer Applications
    • Personal Devices
    • Consumer Mobile Broadband
  • Commercial Applications
    • Enterprise Mobile Broadband
    • Automotive
    • Smart Homes
    • Smart Cities
    • Healthcare
    • Augmented Reality & Virtual Reality

This research suite includes:

  • Deep Dive Strategy & Competition (PDF)
  • 5-year Deep Dive Data & Forecasting (PDF)
  • Executive Summary & Core Findings (PDF)

KEY FEATURES

  • 5G Monetisation Opportunity Analysis: An evaluation of strategies, key market drivers, technological challenges and strategic recommendations for stakeholders across key market services, including:
    • Automotive Connectivity
    • Fixed Wireless Access
    • Internet of Things
    • Mobile Commerce Services
    • Mobile Entertainment
    • Mobile Gaming
    • Remote Healthcare Services
    • Smart City Services
    • Smart Home Solutions
  • 5G Business Model Evaluation: Key insights into the future of 5G development and strategic recommendations to network vendors and network operators on best practices. Areas assessed include:
    • 5G Pricing Strategies
    • AI-based 5G Network Services
    • Key 5G Partnerships
    • Network Slicing Functions
    • Non-standalone and Standalone Roll-outs
    • Virtual Environments
  • Benchmark Industry Forecasts: Provided for adoption, connections, operator-billed revenue and data attributable to 5G connections for 8 global regions and 37 countries including:
    • Argentina
    • Australia
    • Austria
    • Belgium
    • Brazil
    • Canada
    • China
    • Colombia
    • Croatia
    • Czech Republic
    • Denmark
    • France
    • Germany
    • India
    • Indonesia
    • Italy
    • Japan
    • Malaysia
    • Mexico
    • Netherlands
    • New Zealand
    • Norway
    • Pakistan
    • Poland
    • Portugal
    • Qatar
    • Russia
    • Saudi Arabia
    • Singapore
    • South Africa
    • South Korea
    • Spain
    • Sweden
    • Thailand
    • UK
    • United Arab Emirates
    • US
  • Juniper Research Leaderboard: Key player capability and capacity assessment of 18 leading 5G technology vendors, including:
    • Airspan
    • Ciena
    • Cisco Systems
    • Comba Telecom
    • CommScope
    • Ericsson
    • Fujitsu
    • Huawei
    • Intel
    • Mavenir
    • NEC
    • Nokia Networks
    • Qualcomm
    • Samsung Networks
    • Siemens
    • Siklu
    • Telit
    • ZTE

KEY QUESTIONS

  • 1. Which services will position operators best to maximise a return on investment into 5G networks?
  • 2. What will the total market value of 5G services be by 2026?
  • 3. What are the key emerging opportunities for 5G service delivery over the next 5 years?
  • 4. How will standalone networks impact the delivery of 5G services?
  • 5. Which value-added services over 5G networks will be most demanded over the next 5 years?

COMPANIES REFERENCED

  • Interviewed: Ciena, Ericsson, Mavenir, Siemens, Telit, ZTE.
  • Included in Juniper Research Leaderboard: Airspan, Ciena, Cisco Systems, Comba Telecom, CommScope, Ericsson, Fujistu, Huawei, Intel, Mavenir, NEC, Nokia Networks, Qualcomm, Samsung Networks, Siemens, Siklu, Telit, ZTE.
  • Mentioned: 5GDNA (5G Deterministic Networking Alliance), 5GSA (5G Slicing Association), Accenture, Acer, Amazon, Amiti Ventures, Apple, Argonaut Private Equity, ARRIS, AsiaInfo, ASOCS, Associated British Ports, Asus, AT&T, Avans University of Applied Sciences, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications, BMW, Bosch, British Standards Institution, British Telecom, BT, Capgemini, CEFRIO, Cellwize, Centina Systems, CGI, China Mobile, China Sports Media, China Telecom, China Unicom, Chunghwa Telecom, CSPG (China Southern Power Grid), Deutsche Telekom, DFJ Tamir Fishman, Digital Domain, Dish, Einride, Etisalat, Evergreen Venture Partners, Facebook, FCC (Federal Communications Commission), Fibocom Wireless, Fluidmesh Networks, Foxconn, Fractus, GCF (Global Certification Forum), General Motors, GoGo, Google, Gree, GSA (Global Mobile Suppliers Association), GSMA, HP, Hutchison Drei , IBM, Jiangsu Future Networks Innovation Institute, Jiangsu Hengtong Optic-Electric, Jio, JRL (Japan Radio Law), JTBL (Japan Telecommunications Business Law), KCC (Korea Communications Commission), KDDI, Kenna Security, Korea Telecom, Lenovo, LG Electronics, LG U+, Lufthansa, Lyft, Microsoft, Mittel Mobile, Moovit, MTI (Microelectronic Technology Inc), NEA, Netflix, Nippon Steel, Norcat, NTT (Nippon Telegraph & Telephone), NTT DOCOMO, O2, Oak Investment Partners, OCE (Ontario Centres of Excellence), Orange, Panasonic, Princeton University, Prompt, Purple Mountain Laboratories, Rakuten, RED (Radio Equipment Directive), Renault, Royal Institute of Technology , RUCKUS, Rutgers University, Saab, Salesforce, Sandvik, Sercomm Corporation, SigOpt, SK Telecom, Smartfren, SoftBank, Spotify, Sprint, STC, Stevens Institute of Technology, SUSE, Tamares Capital , TD Tech, Telefónica, Telia, Telstra Corp Ltd, Thales, TIM, T-Mobile, Toyota, Turkcell, US Department of Defense, Uber, UK Home Office, University of Science and Technology of China, University of Southern California, Verizon, Vlocity, Vodafone, Xiaomi, Zain, Zihlabs.

DATA & INTERACTIVE FORECAST

Juniper Research's latest “5G Monetisation” forecast suite includes:

  • 5-year benchmark forecasts for key metrics by 8 key regions and 37 country-level splits including:
    • Argentina
    • Australia
    • Austria
    • Belgium
    • Brazil
    • Canada
    • China
    • Colombia
    • Croatia
    • Czech Republic
    • Denmark
    • France
    • Germany
    • India
    • Indonesia
    • Italy
    • Japan
    • Malaysia
    • Mexico
    • Netherlands
    • New Zealand
    • Norway
    • Pakistan
    • Poland
    • Portugal
    • Qatar
    • Russia
    • Saudi Arabia
    • Singapore
    • South Africa
    • South Korea
    • Spain
    • Sweden
    • Thailand
    • UK
    • United Arab Emirates
    • US
  • 5G Connections, ARPC and Operator-billed Service Revenue, split by segment:
    • Consumer Applications
    • Commercial Applications
  • 5G Connections, ARPC and Operator-billed Service Revenue, split by key verticals:
    • Automotive
    • Mobile Broadband
    • Smart Cities
    • Smart Homes
    • Augmented Reality & Virtual Reality
    • Digital Health Wearables
  • Access to the full set of forecast data of over 95 tables and over 29,900 datapoints.
  • Interactive Excel Scenario tool allowing users the ability to manipulate Juniper Research's data for five different metrics.

Juniper Research's highly granular interactive Excels enable clients to manipulate Juniper Research's forecast data and charts to test their own assumptions using the interactive scenario tool and compare select markets side by side in customised charts and tables. IFxls greatly increase clients' ability to both understand a particular market and to integrate their own views into the model.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Deep Dive Strategy & Competition

1. Key Takeaways & Strategic Recommendations

  • 1.1 Introduction
    • 1.1.1 Key Takeaways
    • 1.1.2 Strategic Recommendations

2. Future Market Outlook for 5G Services

  • 2.1 Introduction
    • Figure 2.1: Global Mobile Active 5G Connections in 2021, Split by 8 Key Regions
    • i. High Data Rates
    • ii. Latency Requirements
    • iii. Spectrum Efficiency
    • iv. Energy Consumption & Battery Life
    • v. Roaming Requirements
  • 2.2 5G Device Analysis
    • 2.2.1 5G Personal Devices
      • Figure 2.2: Total Number of 5G Consumer Device Connections (m), Split by 8 Key Regions, 2021 & 2026
    • 2.2.2 5G FWA Routers
      • Figure 2.3: Global 5G Consumer Broadband Data Usage (PB), 2021-2026
    • 2.2.3 5G IoT Connections
    • 2.2.4 5G Connected Vehicles
      • Figure 2.4: Total Number of Vehicles That Use a 5G Connection (m), Split by 8 Key Regions, 2021 & 2026
      • i. Asset Tracking & Route Optimisation
      • ii. Autonomous Vehicles

3. 5G Monetisation & Business Models

  • 3.1 Monetisation Models for 5G
    • 3.1.1 5G Connectivity Forces an Evolution in Charging Systems
    • 3.1.2 Anticipate New Charging Rules and Prepare for Network Slicing
      • Figure 3.1: Visualisation of Edge Computing Architecture
      • Figure 3.2: Ookla's Roadmap for 5G Adoption
  • 3.2 Analysis of 5G Operator Strategies
    • 3.2.1 5G Services
    • 3.2.2 5G NSA and 5G SA
    • 3.2.3 Pricing of 5G Services
      • Figure 3.3: Consumer 5G ARPC ($), Split by 8 Key Regions, 2021-2026
    • 3.2.4 AI Analytics for 5G Networks
    • 3.2.5 5G Network Slicing
    • 3.2.6 Virtual Environments
  • 3.3 The Importance of 5G Partnerships
    • 3.3.1 Partnership Considerations for Operators
  • 3.4 Conclusion

4. 5G Sector Analysis

  • 4.1 Sector Analysis
    • 4.1.1 Personal Cellular Device Contracts
      • Figure 4.1: Average Data Consumption per 5G Mobile Subscriber in 2021 (MB), Split by the Top 10 Countries
    • 4.1.2 Capacity Improvements
      • Figure 4.2: Proportion of Total Cellular Data Attributable to 5G Smartphones (%), Split by 8 Key Regions, 2021 & 2026
    • 4.1.3 Relieving Home Broadband Congestion
    • 4.1.4 5G Smartphone Impact on Network Mobile Traffic
    • 4.1.5 Incentivising Customers to Upgrade to 5G Subscriptions
    • 4.1.6 Operator Competition
  • 4.2 FWA (Fixed Wireless Access)
    • 4.2.1 FWA Is a Popular Consumer 5G Use Case
    • 4.2.2 Bundled Offers Attract Consumers
  • 4.3 IoT Connectivity
    • 4.3.1 Current IoT Considerations
    • 4.3.2 Cellular IoT vs Private 5G IoT
    • 4.3.3 mIoT (Massive Internet of Things)
    • 4.3.4 Mission-critical IoT
    • 4.3.5 Early Adopter Use Cases for Cellular IoT
    • 4.3.6 5G IoT Management Opportunities
    • 4.3.7 Network Slicing for 5G IoT
  • 4.4 Automotive
    • 4.4.1 Smart Vehicles
    • 4.4.2 5G for Automotive Manufacturing
    • 4.4.3 Autonomous Vehicles
    • 4.4.4 Network Capacity
    • 4.4.5 Operator Opportunities
  • 4.5 Mobile Entertainment Services
  • i. Streaming Video and 'Edutainment'
    • 4.5.2 In-vehicle Entertainment
  • 4.6 Mobile Gaming
    • 4.6.1 Immersive Gaming
    • 4.6.2 Charging for a Gaming Slice
    • 4.6.3 New Charging Models for Gaming
  • 4.7 Remote Healthcare Services & Mobile Health Services
    • 4.7.1 5G's Role in Healthcare
    • 4.7.2 Remote Patient Monitoring
    • 4.7.3 Emergency and Critical Healthcare Services
    • 4.7.4 Virtual Consulting
  • 4.8 Smart City Services
    • 4.8.1 Smart Cities Clever Countryside
    • 4.8.2 LPWA (Low-power Wide Area) Networks
    • 4.8.3 Safer Smart Cities
    • 4.8.4 The Role of 5G in Smart Cities
  • 4.9 Smart Home Solutions
    • 4.9.1 Why 5G Wins Over Wi-Fi for Smart Home Appliances
    • 4.9.2 Improved Home Security
    • 4.9.3 Mobile 5G to Supplement or Back Up Existing Smart Home Fibre
    • 4.9.4 Near-term 5G Smart Home Revenue
  • 4.10 Mobile Commerce Services
    • 4.10.1 Enhanced Customer Experience
    • 4.10.2 Monetising 5G Enhanced Banking Services
    • 4.10.3 Long-term 5G Banking Opportunities
  • 4.11 Sector Analysis: Conclusions

5. The Competitive Landscape

  • 5.1 Introduction
  • 5.2 Vendor Analysis
    • 5.2.1 Vendor Assessment Criteria
      • Table 5.1: 5G Network Vendor Capability Assessment Criteria
      • Figure 5.2: Juniper Research Leaderboard for 5G Network Vendors
      • Figure 5.3: Juniper Research Heatmap Results - 5G Network Vendors
    • 5.2.2 5G Network Vendor Analysis
      • i. Established Leaders
      • ii. Leading Challengers
      • iii. Disruptors & Emulators
  • 5.3 Limitations & Interpretations
  • 5.4 5G Movers & Shakers
  • 5.5 Network Vendor Profiles
    • 5.5.1 Airspan
      • i. Corporate
      • ii. Geographical Spread
      • iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
      • iv. High-level View of Offerings
      • v. Juniper Research's Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities
    • 5.5.2 Ciena
      • i. Corporate
      • ii. Geographical Spread
      • iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
      • iv. High-level View of Offerings
      • v. Juniper Research's Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities
    • 5.5.3 Cisco Systems
      • i. Corporate
        • Table 5.5.4: Cisco Select Financial Information ($b), 2018-2020
      • ii. Geographical Spread
      • iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
      • iv. High-level View of Offerings
      • v. Juniper Research's Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities
    • 5.5.4 Comba Telecom
      • i. Corporate
        • Table 5.5.5: Comba Select Financial Information ($m), 2018-2020
      • ii. Geographical Spread
      • iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
      • iv. High-level View of Offerings
      • v. Juniper Research's Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities
    • 5.5.5 CommScope
      • i. Corporate
        • Table 5.5.6: CommScope Select Financial Information 2018-2020 ($m)
      • ii. Geographical Spread
      • iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
      • iv. High-level View of Offerings
      • v. Juniper Research's Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities
    • 5.5.6 Ericsson
      • i. Corporate
        • Table 5.7: Ericsson Select Financial Information 2018-2020 (SEK b)
        • Figure 5.8: Ericsson Sales, Split by Region & Segment 2020 (SEK m)
      • ii. Geographical Spread
      • iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
      • iv. High-level View of Offerings
      • v. Juniper Research's Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities
    • 5.5.7 Fujitsu
      • i. Corporate
      • ii. Geographical Spread
      • iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
      • iv. High-level View of Offerings
      • v. Juniper Research's Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities
    • 5.5.8 Huawei
      • i. Corporate
        • Table 5.5.9: Huawei Select Financial Information 2018-2020 (CNY m)
      • ii. Geographical Spread
      • iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
      • iv. High-level View of Offerings
      • v. Juniper Research's Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities
    • 5.5.9 Intel
      • i. Corporate
        • Figure 5.10: Intel Select Financial Information 2016-2018 ($bn)
      • ii. Geographical Spread
      • iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
      • iv. High-level View of Offerings
      • v. Juniper Research's Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities
    • 5.5.10 Mavenir
      • i. Corporate
      • ii. Geographical Spread
      • iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
      • iv. High-level View of Offerings
      • v. Juniper Research's Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities
    • 5.5.11 NEC
      • i. Corporate
        • Table 5.5.11: NEC Select Financial Information 2018-2020 (JPY m)
      • ii. Geographical Spread
      • iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
      • iv. High-level View of Offerings
      • v. Juniper Research's Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities
    • 5.5.12 Nokia Networks
      • i. Corporate
        • Table 5.5.12: Nokia Select Financial Information (€m) 2018-2020
      • ii. Geographical Spread
      • iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
      • iv. High-level View of Offerings
      • v. Juniper Research's Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities
    • 5.5.13 Qualcomm
      • i. Corporate
        • Table 5.5.13: Qualcomm Select Financial Information ($m) 2018-2020
      • ii. Geographical Spread
      • iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
      • iv. High-level View of Offerings
      • v. Juniper Research's Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities
    • 5.5.14 Samsung Networks
      • i. Corporate
        • Table 5.6: Samsung Select Financial Information ($ b) 2018-2020
      • ii. Geographical Spread
      • iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
      • iv. High-level View of Offerings
      • V. Juniper Research's Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities
    • 5.5.15 Siemens
      • i. Corporate
      • ii. Geographical Spread
      • iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
      • iv. High-level View of Offerings
      • v. Juniper Research's Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities
    • 5.5.16 Siklu
      • i. Corporate
      • ii. Geographical Spread
      • iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
      • iv. High-level View of Offerings
      • v. Juniper Research's Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities
    • 5.5.17 Telit
      • i. Corporate
      • ii. Geographical Spread
      • iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
      • iv. High-level View of Offerings
      • v. Juniper Research's Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities
    • 5.5.18 ZTE
      • i. Corporate
      • ii. Geographical Spread
      • iii. Key Clients & Strategic Partnerships
      • iv. High-level View of Offerings
      • v. Juniper Research's Key Strengths & Strategic Opportunities

Deep Dive Data & Forecasting

1. 5G: Market Forecast Summary

  • 1.1 Market Status & Introduction
    • 1.1.1 Current Market Status
      • Figure 1.1: Total Number of 5G Mobile Connections (m) in 2021
  • 1.2 Addressable Market: Regional Analysis
    • 1.2.1 Total Mobile Active SIM Connections
      • Figure & Table 1.2: Mobile Active SIM Connection Base (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2021-2026
    • 1.2.2 Active 5G Connections
      • Figure & Table 1.3: Global Mobile 5G Active SIM Connections (m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2021-2026

2. 5G: Market Forecasts & Key Takeaways

  • 2.1 Methodology & Assumptions
    • 2.1.1 Introduction
    • 2.1.2 Pricing Model Assumptions
      • Figure 2.1: 5G Users & Revenue Forecast Methodology
    • 2.1.3 Total 5G Operator-billed Revenue
      • Figure & Table 2.2: Total Global 5G Operator-billed Revenue ($m) Split by 8 Key Regions 2021-2026
    • 2.1.4 Global Mobile 5G Connections
      • Figure & Table 2.3: Global Mobile Enterprise 5G Active Connections, Split by Consumer & Commercial 5G Connections (m) 2021-2026
    • 2.1.5 Global Operator-billed 5G Revenue
      • Figure & Table 2.4: Total Global 5G Operator-billed Revenue, Split by Consumer & Enterprise ($m) 2021-2026

3. 5G & IoT: Market Forecasts & Key Takeaways

  • 3.1 5G Sector Analysis
    • 3.1.1 Methodology
      • i. Pricing Model Assumptions
        • Figure 3.1: 5G Sector Analysis Forecast Methodology
  • 3.2 5G Sector Analysis
    • 3.2.1 5G Connections Forecast
      • Figure & Table 3.2: Total Number of 5G Connections (m) Split by 6 IoT Sectors 2021-2026
    • 3.2.2 5G Commercial IoT & Automotive ARPC
      • Figure & Table 3.3: 5G Commercial IoT & Automotive ARPC ($) Split by 6 IoT Segments 2021-2026
    • 3.2.3 5G Commercial IoT & Automotive Revenue Forecast
      • Figure & Total 3.4: Total Operator-billed 5G Commercial IoT & Automotive Revenue ($m) Split by 6 IoT Sectors 2021-2026
    • 3.2.4 Total Data Attributable to 5G IoT Connections
      • Figure & Table 3.5: Total Mobile Data Traffic Carried Over 5G Networks (PB) Split by 6 IoT Sectors 2021-2026