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Market Research Report
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1068507

Cross-border eCommerce: Emerging Opportunities, Future Challenges & Market Forecasts 2022-2026

Published: | Juniper Research Ltd | Delivery time: 1-2 business days

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Cross-border eCommerce: Emerging Opportunities, Future Challenges & Market Forecasts 2022-2026
Published: April 4, 2022
Juniper Research Ltd
Delivery time: 1-2 business days
  • Description
  • Table of Contents

Juniper Research's new “Cross-border eCommerce” research report provides a highly detailed analysis of the evolution of this dynamic market. This assessment features an examination of the different drivers for increased cross-border eCommerce, including the continued expansion of marketplaces, as well as an examination of challenges, such as different regulatory jurisdictions. The report examines the future technologies that may play a role in cross-border eCommerce, including blockchain and CBDCs (Central Bank Digital Currencies). The report also presents extensive market forecasts; delivering detailed insights and segmenting eCommerce payments by domestic versus cross-border, including splits for transaction value and volume, by the below categories:

  • Digital Goods
  • Physical Goods

This research suite comprises:

  • Strategy & Forecasts (PDF)
  • 5-year Market Sizing & Forecast Spreadsheet (Excel)
  • 12 months' access to harvest Online Data Platform

KEY FEATURES

  • Market Dynamics: Detailed assessment of how cross-border eCommerce is expanding, and the trends that are influencing this highly dynamic area.
  • Key Takeaways & Strategic Recommendations: Key takeaways about the market and strategic recommendations for stakeholders on how they can succeed in this extremely competitive space.
  • Future Outlook: Provides an in-depth assessment of where the cross-border eCommerce market is heading, including what payment methods will be leveraged and what new technologies will play a key role.
  • Benchmark Industry Forecasts: Forecasts for eCommerce payments split by domestic versus cross-border, including splits for transaction value and volume, and by digital goods versus physical goods. Data is also split by our 8 key regions and the 25 countries listed below:
    • Argentina
    • Australia
    • Brazil
    • Canada
    • China
    • Colombia
    • Denmark
    • France
    • Germany
    • India
    • Italy
    • Japan
    • Mexico
    • Netherlands
    • Norway
    • Poland
    • Portugal
    • Saudi Arabia
    • Singapore
    • South Africa
    • South Korea
    • Spain
    • Sweden
    • UK
    • US

KEY QUESTIONS

  • 1. What are the key trends within the cross-border eCommerce market?
  • 2. What are the challenges to the growth of cross-border eCommerce?
  • 3. What is the future growth potential for cross-border eCommerce?
  • 4. What can stakeholders do to capitalise on emerging opportunities and secure their position in the market?
  • 5. What will the value of cross-border eCommerce be by 2026?

COMPANIES REFERENCED

Mentioned: & Other Stories, AACA (Alibaba Anti Counterfeiting Alliance), ACI Worldwide, AliExpress, Allegro, Ant Group, Apple, Argos, Asos, Auchan, Cainiao Network, CBCommerce.eu, Cdiscount, comScore, Correios, Cos, Daraz , Deutsche Bank, Digital Commerce 360, EBANX, eBay, El Corte Inglés, eMarketer, ePrice, ESW, Etsy, European Commission, Expert, FDX, Global-e, H&M, Hepsiburada, iDEAL, IKEA, JD.com, Jumia, Kaola, Konga, La Redoute, Lazada, Lego, Lengow, Media Expert, Media Markt, Mercado Libre, Monetary Authority, MultiSafepay, n11, Nelo, Nespresso, Next, Otto, Paidy, Pandora, PC Componentes, pingNpay, Privalia, Rakute, Real Time Payments Network, RueDuCommerce, Shopee, Smyths Toys, Souq.com, Swarovski, Takealot.com, Taobao, Tesco, Tmall, Trendyol, Twisto, US Trade Representative, Veepee, W3C (World Wide Web Consortium), Walmart, Webretailer, WeChat, Wish, World Bank, Worldline, Worldpay, Zalando.

DATA & INTERACTIVE FORECAST

Juniper Research's “Cross-border eCommerce” forecast suite includes:

  • Forecast splits for 8 key regions, as well as 25 country-level data splits for:
    • Argentina
    • Australia
    • Brazil
    • Canada
    • China
    • Colombia
    • Denmark
    • France
    • Germany
    • India
    • Italy
    • Japan
    • Mexico
    • Netherlands
    • Norway
    • Poland
    • Portugal
    • Saudi Arabia
    • Singapore
    • South Africa
    • South Korea
    • Spain
    • Sweden
    • UK
    • US
  • Forecasts for eCommerce payments split by domestic versus cross-border, including splits for transaction value and volume, and by digital goods versus physical goods.
  • Interactive scenario tool allowing users to manipulate Juniper Research's data for 8 different metrics.
  • Access to the full set of forecast data of 58 tables and more than 13,400 datapoints.

Juniper Research's highly granular IFxls (interactive Excels) enable clients to manipulate our forecast data and charts to test their own assumptions, by using the interactive scenario tool, and compare select markets side by side in customised charts and tables. IFXLs greatly increase the clients' ability to both understand a particular market and to integrate their own views into the model.

Table of Contents

1. Cross-border eCommerce: Key Takeaways & Strategic Recommendations

  • 1.1 Key Takeaways
  • 1.2 Strategic Recommendations

2. Cross-border eCommerce: Market Landscape

  • 2.1 Introduction
    • 2.1.2 The Growth of Cross-border eCommerce
    • 2.1.3 Key Trends
      • i. Factors Influencing Cross-border eCommerce Purchases
        • Figure 2.1: Most Important Factors Influencing Cross-border Purchases, 2020
    • 2.1.4 Online Marketplaces
      • Figure 2.2: Global Marketplaces: Key Figures
      • Table 2.3: The World's Top Online Marketplaces, 2021
      • Table 2.4: Amazon Revenue, 2015-2020 ($bn),
      • Figure 2.5: Alibaba's Retail Commerce Ecosystem
      • Table 2.6: eBay - Key Financial Information, 2018-2020, ($bn)
      • Figure 2.7: Mercado Libre Ecosystem
      • Table 2.8: Mercado Libre - Key Financial Information, 2020 & 2021
      • Figure 2.9: Rakuten Ecosystem

3. Cross-border eCommerce: Market Outlook

  • 3.1 Market Outlook
    • 3.1.1 Challenges
      • Figure 3.1: Barriers to Cross-border Shopping for Consumers
      • i. Customer Data/Data Privacy
      • ii. Logistics/Delivery/Warehousing
      • iii. Language Barrier
        • Figure 3.2: Proportion of Shoppers Who Would Not Purchase from a Non-English Site
      • iv. Sustainability Concerns
      • v. Shifting Consumer Demand for a Faster, Less Expensive Service
      • vi. Regulations
      • vii. Export/Import Tariffs, Shipping Taxes and Duties
      • viii. Foreign Exchange Rates
      • ix. Increased Fraud Risk
      • x. Marketing
      • xi. Geoblocking
      • xii. Payments
      • xiii. Differing Consumer Payment Preferences
        • Figure 3.3: eCommerce Payment Preferences in Key Markets, 2020
      • xiv. The Potential for Blockchain in Cross-border eCommerce
        • Figure 3.4: Blockchain-enabled Cross-border Payment Process
  • 3.2 Stakeholder Recommendations
    • i. Understand Each Market
    • ii. Maximise Payment Acceptance
    • iii. eCommerce Sites Should Be Mobile Optimised
      • Figure 3.5: Total Remote Physical Goods Transactions, All Mobile Devices (m), Split by 8 Key Regions, 2021-2026
    • iv. Ensure All Costs Are Clear to Consumers

4. Cross-border eCommerce: Regional Analysis

  • 4.1.1 Regional Analysis
    • Figure 4.1: Top 10 Countries for Cross-border eCommerce Buyer Growth
    • i. North America
    • ii. Latin America
    • iii. West Europe
      • Table 4.2: Top 10 Strongest European eCommerce Players
      • Table 4.3: Top 10 Cross-border eCommerce Countries in 2020
      • Figure 4.4: Percentage of Individuals Who Bought or Ordered Goods Over the Internet, EU, 2021
    • iv. Central & East Europe
    • v. Far East & China
    • vi. Indian Subcontinent
    • vii. Rest of Asia Pacific
    • viii. Africa & Middle East

5. Cross-border eCommerce: Market Forecasts

  • 5.1 Introduction
  • 5.2 Methodology & Assumptions
    • i. Digital Goods
    • ii. Physical Goods
      • Figure 5.1: Cross-border eCommerce Forecast Methodology, Physical Goods
      • Figure 5.2: Cross-border eCommerce Forecast Methodology, Digital Goods
  • 5.3 Cross-border eCommerce Forecasts
    • 5.3.1 Transaction Volume, Split by Channel
      • Figure & Table 5.3: Total Volume of Remote Payments for Physical & Digital Goods (m), Split by Domestic and Cross Border, 2021-2026
      • Table 5.4: Share of Remote Payments Volume for Physical & Digital Goods (%) Split by Domestic & Cross-border, 2021-2026
    • 5.3.2 Transaction Value, Split by Channel
      • Figure & Table 5.5: Total Value of Remote Payments for Physical & Digital Goods ($m), Split by Domestic and Cross Border, 2021-2026
      • Table 5.6: Share of Remote Payments Value for Physical & Digital Goods (%) Split by Domestic & Cross-border, 2021-2026