PUBLISHER: Mordor Intelligence | PRODUCT CODE: 2124733
PUBLISHER: Mordor Intelligence | PRODUCT CODE: 2124733
According to Mordor Intelligence, United States trash bags market size in 2026 is estimated at USD 3.09 billion, growing from 2025 value of USD 2.98 billion with 2031 projections showing USD 3.69 billion, growing at 3.64% CAGR over 2026-2031.

This report is Segmented by Material Type (HDPE, LDPE, and More), Capacity/Bag Size (Up To 3 Gallons, 3-13 Gallons, and More), End-User (Residential, Institutional, and More), Distribution Channel (Offline Retail, Online Retail, and More). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).
Municipal organics diversion mandates create a verified customer base for ASTM D6400-certified liners. Vermont's Universal Recycling Law, for example, compels businesses that generate more than 26 gallons of food waste weekly to adopt certified compostable containment, while USD 32 million in federal infrastructure grants awarded in 2024 is expanding industrial composting capacity from 185 to a projected 275 facilities by 2027. Despite strong policy pull, polylactic acid (PLA) liners still require >= 140 °F industrial composting temperatures and experience moisture sensitivity during transport; laboratory studies show degradation windows ranging from 90 days in optimized facilities to 180 days in less-controlled environments.
CDC infection-control guidance instructs healthcare providers to differentiate general, regulated medical, and pharmaceutical waste streams, prompting purchases of color-coded or antimicrobial bags certified under FDA 21 CFR 178.3297. A 500-bed hospital generates 25-30 pounds of waste per occupied bed each day, 85% of which still falls under "general" MSW, yet cannot commingle with retail refuse due to cross-contamination risk. The Joint Commission requires all 6,090 U.S.-accredited hospitals to document waste-handling protocols, enlarging the addressable institutional volume.
California's SB 54 imposes graduated producer fees and market-access limitations that add compliance costs equivalent to 8-12% of product revenue, while 127 plastic regulation bills introduced across 35 states in 2024 indicate broadening policy risk. Producers that fail to meet recycled-content or reduction targets may face shelf-space bans.
Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.
Low-Density Polyethylene commanded 39.85% of the United States trash bags market share in 2025, supported by low cost and broad processing infrastructure. Yet bio-based/biodegradable plastics are on track for a 4.52% CAGR, the highest among all materials, propelled by municipal composting mandates. Within this segment, PBAT-PLA blends that meet ASTM D6400 standards can achieve industrial compostability within ninety days and run on existing blown-film lines, mitigating capital outlay for converters. A derivative patent, US 11,456,789, details chain-extending additives that enhance tear resistance to match LDPE. Post-consumer recycled (PCR) polyethylene is another fast-emerging subset because EPR statutes specify minimum PCR thresholds for bags used in curbside programs.
Regulatory oversight guides formulation choices. FDA 21 CFR 174.5 regulates recycled materials in indirect food-contact articles, while ASTM D6400 certification is vital for access to organics diversion tenders. Producers that can combine PCR inclusion and compostability credentials enjoy premium positioning, particularly in California, Oregon, and Vermont, where procurement policies award compliance points for each attribute.
The above-30-gallon category is the fastest-growing band at a 4.91% CAGR, riding on central waste-station designs in hospitals, airports, and educational campuses. Larger liners extend collection intervals and cut janitorial labor by 25-40%, outcomes backed by CDC studies on infection-risk mitigation. Manufacturing these large formats requires multi-layer die heads and tighter gauge-control systems to avoid weak sidewalls; only the top tier of converters now owns such capabilities, reinforcing competitive barriers.
The 13-30-gallon bracket held 38.20% of the United States trash bags market size in 2025, favored for versatility in residential kitchens and commercial restrooms. Up to 3-gallon and 3-13-gallon bags remain niche but indispensable for food-prep zones and biomedical sample transport. Meanwhile, trash-compactor liners in the 2.0-3.0-mil gauge class command higher price points but fewer units sold, slightly diluting overall volume growth for standard gauges.