Market Data: Advanced Battery and Energy Storage Pricing Trends - Advanced Battery System and Component Costs and Trends for Grid Storage and Transportation, Global Analysis

The stationary energy storage market focuses on technologies for the grid and ancillary services; distributed commercial, industrial, and residential applications; and remote microgrids. Energy storage provides a multitude of specific services for the grid. The use of energy storage systems (ESSs) is driven by the need either to improve the efficiency of the grid and optimize existing assets or to effectively integrate new renewable power generation.

Although this industry has matured significantly over the past 3 years, activity remains concentrated in select countries such as the US, China, Germany, the UK, and France. On the EV front, sales continue to rise rapidly around the world. Declining battery costs have positioned these vehicles for dramatic market success in the years to come, and long-range EVs are now competitive in price among economy brands after subsidies. Navigant Research anticipates that demand for batteries will continue to drive down costs.

This Navigant Research report examines pricing trends and issues driving growth for energy storage technologies. The study forecasts pricing for large format lithium ion (Li-ion) batteries used in both grid storage and EV markets. Installed project price forecasts are also provided for eight additional grid storage technologies. This report provides component-level pricing breakdowns for both grid storage projects and EV battery packs. To illustrate the range of pricing in the market, the report provides base, high, and low cases for each market segment.

Key Questions Addressed:

• What are current average market prices for new grid storage projects by technology?

• What are projected future average market prices for new grid storage projects by technology?

• How does the discharge duration of a Lithium ion (Li-ion) energy storage project affect price?

• What is the breakdown of Li-ion energy storage project price by the components of a project?

• What are the current and future prices of Li-ion battery cells?

• What are the current and future prices of Li-ion battery packs for EVs?

• What is the breakdown of EV battery price by the components of a battery pack?

Who Needs This Report:

• EV manufacturers

• Energy storage systems integrators and renewable energy project developers

• Independent Power Producers

• Battery OEMs

• Utilities

• Engineering, procurement, and construction firms

• Electrical grid equipment suppliers

• Investor community

Table of Contents

1.Executive Summary

• 1.1. Introduction
• 1.2. Report Scope
• 1.3. Market Forecast

2.Market Characterization

• 2.1. Energy Storage Technologies
• 2.2. Energy Storage Market Segments
  • 2.2.1. Grid Storage Market Introduction
  • 2.2.2. Transportation Market Introduction
• 2.3. Energy Storage Pricing Components
  • 2.3.1. Grid Storage Project Components
  • 2.3.2. EV Battery Pricing Components

3.Market Forecasts

• 3.1. Forecast Methodology
• 3.2. Forecast Assumptions
• 3.3. Li-Ion Battery Cell Price Forecasts
• 3.4. Grid Energy Storage Pricing Forecast by System Size
• 3.5. Li-Ion Battery Grid Storage Pricing by Component
• 3.6. EV Battery Pack Pricing Forecast
• 3.7. Conclusions & Recommendations

4.Acronym and Abbreviation List

5.Table of Contents

6.Table of Charts and Figures

7.Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

• Utility-Scale Li-Ion Battery System Pricing, 10 MW System by Duration, Global Averages, Base Case: 2019-2028
• Energy Storage Projects Deployed by Technology: 1Q 2016-1Q 2019
• Average LDV Mileage Increase Compared with EV Battery Cell Price: 2012-1Q 2019
• Large Format Li-Ion Battery Cell Pricing Forecast, Base/High/Low Case, Global Averages: 2019-2028
• Utility-Scale ESS CAPEX Forecast by Technology, Power Technologies, Global Averages: 2019-2028
• Utility-Scale ESS CAPEX Forecast by Technology, Bulk Energy Technologies, Global Averages: 2019-2028
• Utility-Scale Li-Ion Battery System Pricing, 10 MW/10 MWh System, Global Averages, Base Case: 2019-2028
• EV Li-Ion Battery System Pricing, 60 kWh, Global Averages, Base Case: 2019-2028

List of Tables

• Energy Storage Applications by Market Segment: Grid Storage
• Advanced Battery Performance Parameters
• Advanced Battery Performance Comparison
• Energy Storage Technology Characterization: EVs
• Annual Battery Energy Storage Power Capacity Additions by Market Segment, Global Markets: 2019-2028
• Annual Battery Energy Storage Energy Capacity Additions by Market Segment, Global Markets: 2019-2028
• Total EV Battery Energy Capacity by Region: 2019-2028
• Total EV Battery Revenue by Region: 2019-2028
• Utility-Scale ESS CAPEX Assumptions by Technology, Global Averages: 2019-2028
• Distributed ESS CAPEX Assumptions by Market Segment, Global Averages: 2019-2028
• Large Format Li-Ion Battery Cell Pricing Forecast, Base/High/Low Case, Global Averages: 2019-2028
• Utility-Scale Li-Ion Battery System Pricing, 10 MW/5 MWh System, Base Case, Global Averages: 2019-2028
• Utility-Scale Li-Ion Battery System Pricing, 10 MW/5 MWh System, Low Case, Global Averages: 2019-2028
• Utility-Scale Li-Ion Battery System Pricing, 10 MW/5 MWh System, High Case, Global Averages: 2019-2028
• Utility-Scale Li-Ion Battery System Pricing, 10 MW/10 MWh System, Global Averages, Base Case: 2019-2028
• Utility-Scale Li-Ion Battery System Pricing, 10 MW/10 MWh System, Global Averages, Low Case: 2019-2028
• Utility-Scale Li-Ion Battery System Pricing, 10 MW/10 MWh System, Global Averages, High Case: 2019-2028
• Utility-Scale Li-Ion Battery System Pricing, 10 MW/40 MWh System, Global Averages, Base Case: 2019-2028
• Utility-Scale Li-Ion Battery System Pricing, 10 MW/40 MWh System, Global Averages, Low Case: 2019-2028
• Utility-Scale Li-Ion Battery System Pricing, 10 MW/40 MWh System, Global Averages, High Case: 2019-2028
• EV Li-Ion Battery System Pricing, 60 kWh, Global Averages, Base Case: 2019-2028
• EV Li-Ion Battery System Pricing, 60 kWh, Global Averages, Low Case: 2019-2028
• EV Li-Ion Battery System Pricing, 60 kWh, Global Averages, High Case: 2019-2028