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Market Research Report

Commercial Building Electrification: Heat Pump and VRF Global Market Analysis and Forecast

Published by Navigant Research Product code 929162
Published Content info 44 Pages; 35 Tables, Charts & Figures
Delivery time: 1-2 business days
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Commercial Building Electrification: Heat Pump and VRF Global Market Analysis and Forecast
Published: March 17, 2020 Content info: 44 Pages; 35 Tables, Charts & Figures
Description

The speed of regulations incentivizing commercial building electrification in the US took many market stakeholders by surprise. Regulations in California, New York, Washington, DC, and other states and cities are stressing the role of electrification in decarbonizing the built environment. The policies have wide-ranging implications for utilities, building engineers and architects, OEMs, and intelligent building market players.

Technologies such as electric heat pumps and variable refrigerant flow (VRF) systems are available to meet heating needs and greenhouse gas (GHG) targets in most climates in North America. These technologies have already seen sustained growth in adoption over the past 5 years. The market is reaching a tipping point, with new climate-related targets spurring added growth and competition among market players in VRF, heat pump, and heat recovery products.

This report from Navigant Research, a Guidehouse company, examines the global market for commercial heat pump and VRF systems considering increasing building decarbonization and electrification priorities set by governments around the world. The report provides an analysis of this market with a focus on North America and a 10-year (2020-2029) global forecast. Trends in the European and Asia Pacific markets are also discussed, in part to provide context to the North American market. The forecast includes three regions (North America, Europe, and Asia Pacific) segmented by heat source type (air, water, and ground), heat pump type (VRF and other), project type (new construction and retrofit), and eight commercial building types.

Key Questions Addressed:

  • How extensive is current electrification policy in North America and around the world?
  • How do greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction targets affect electrification?
  • How does the electrification conversation and technology focus differ in Europe and Asia Pacific compared with North America?
  • What are the primary drivers and barriers to heat pump and VRF adoption in North America?
  • Why are customers choosing VRF systems and heat pumps?
  • What is the size of the heat pump and VRF market?
  • How is the market expected to grow in the next 10 years?

Who Needs This Report:

  • Original equipment manufacturers (OEMs)
  • Energy services companies (ESCOs)
  • Utilities
  • Regulators and policymakers
  • Building engineers
  • HVAC contractors
  • Investor community
Table of Contents
Product Code: MF-CBE-20

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

  • 1.1. Introduction
  • 1.2. Market Barriers
  • 1.3. Global Trends
  • 1.4. Market Forecast

2. Market Issues

  • 2.1. Introduction
    • 2.1.1. Growth in Renewable Energy
    • 2.1.2. Other Pathways to Decarbonizing Commercial Buildings
    • 2.1.3. Role of Heat Pump Technology
  • 2.2. Definitions and Report Scope
  • 2.3. Market Overview
  • 2.4. North America Market Drivers. 6
    • 2.4.1. Policy
    • 2.4.2. Corporate Social Responsibility
    • 2.4.3. Energy Efficiency
    • 2.4.4. Zoning and Advanced Controls
    • 2.4.5. VRF: Flexibility for Retrofits and Small Space Footprint
  • 2.5. North America Market Barriers
    • 2.5.1. HVAC Community Expertise and Education
    • 2.5.2. Cold Weather Performance
    • 2.5.3. Customer Preferences
    • 2.5.4. Initial Costs
    • 2.5.5. Effect of Heat Pumps on Peak Electricity Demand
  • 2.6. European Market
    • 2.6.1. Policy Framework
    • 2.6.2. Commercial Buildings and Role of Heat Pumps and VRF
  • 2.7. Asia Pacific Market
    • 2.7.1. China
    • 2.7.2. Japan
    • 2.7.3. South Korea

3. Key Industry Players

  • 3.1. Introduction
  • 3.2. Fujitsu General
  • 3.3. Daikin Industries
  • 3.4. Samsung
  • 3.5. The Danfoss Group
  • 3.6. Mitsubishi Electric and METUS
  • 3.7. Carrier
  • 3.8. Johnson Controls
  • 3.9. WaterFurnace

4. Market Forecasts

  • 4.1. Forecast Scope and Methodology
  • 4.2. Global Overview
    • 4.2.1. North America
    • 4.2.2. Europe
    • 4.2.3. Asia Pacific
  • 4.3. Conclusions and Recommendations

5. Building Types

  • 5.1. Office
  • 5.2. Retail
  • 5.3. Education
  • 5.4. Healthcare
  • 5.5. Hotels & Restaurants
  • 5.6. Institutional/Assembly
  • 5.7. Warehouse
  • 5.8. Transport

6. Acronym and Abbreviation List

7. Table of Contents

8. Table of Charts and Figures

9. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

  • Annual SPV Installed Capacity and Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Commercial Heat Pump Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2020-2029
  • Commercial Heat Pump Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2020-2029
  • Commercial Heat Pump Revenue by Pump Type, World Markets: 2020-2029
  • Commercial Heat Pump Shipments by Building Type, North America: 2020-2029
  • Commercial Heat Pump Revenue by Pump Type, North America: 2020-2029
  • Commercial Heat Pump Revenue by Source, North America: 2020-2029
  • Commercial Heat Pump Shipments by Building Type, Europe: 2020-2029
  • Commercial Heat Pump Revenue by Pump Type, Europe: 2020-2029
  • Commercial Heat Pump Revenue by Source, Europe: 2020-2029
  • Commercial Heat Pump Shipments by Building Type, Asia Pacific: 2020-2029
  • Commercial Heat Pump Revenue by Pump Type, Asia Pacific: 2020-2029
  • Commercial Heat Pump Revenue by Source, Asia Pacific: 2020-2029

List of Tables

  • Overview of Policies that Incentivize Electrification in North America
  • Commercial Heat Pump Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2020-2029
  • Commercial Heat Pump Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2020-2029
  • Commercial Heat Pump Revenue by Pump Type, World Markets: 2020-2029
  • Commercial Heat Pump Revenue by Source, World Markets: 2020-2029
  • Commercial Heat Pump Revenue by Project Type, World Markets: 2020-2029
  • Commercial Heat Pump Revenue by Building Type, World Markets: 2020-2029
  • Commercial Heat Pump Shipments by Building Type, North America: 2020-2029
  • Commercial Heat Pump Revenue by Pump Type, North America: 2020-2029
  • Commercial Heat Pump Revenue by Source, North America: 2020-2029
  • Commercial Heat Pump Revenue by Project Type, North America: 2020-2029
  • Commercial Heat Pump Revenue by Building Type, North America: 2020-2029
  • Commercial Heat Pump Shipments by Building Type, Europe: 2020-2029
  • Commercial Heat Pump Revenue by Pump Type, Europe: 2020-2029
  • Commercial Heat Pump Revenue by Source, Europe: 2020-2029
  • Commercial Heat Pump Revenue by Project Type, Europe: 2020-2029
  • Commercial Heat Pump Revenue by Building Type, Europe: 2020-2029
  • Commercial Heat Pump Shipments by Building Type, Asia Pacific: 2020-2029
  • Commercial Heat Pump Revenue by Pump Type, Asia Pacific: 2020-2029
  • Commercial Heat Pump Revenue by Source, Asia Pacific: 2020-2029
  • Commercial Heat Pump Revenue by Project Type, Asia Pacific: 2020-2029
  • Commercial Heat Pump Revenue by Building Type, Asia Pacific: 2020-2029
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