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Market Research Report

Emerging Markets Smart Grid: Outlook 2019

Published by Northeast Group, LLC Product code 268977
Published Content info 116 Pages + Dataset
Delivery time: 1-2 business days
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Emerging Markets Smart Grid: Outlook 2019
Published: January 31, 2019 Content info: 116 Pages + Dataset

‘Emerging Markets Smart Grid: Outlook 2019’ is the eighth edition of Northeast Group's annual study looking at smart grid opportunities in developing countries. Since the first edition, smart grid plans, regulations, and deployments have progressed from nascent pilots to large-scale rollouts. Over the next decade, almost all emerging market countries will see significant smart grid infrastructure investment. But right now, there are extensive nearterm opportunities to take note of and quantify over the upcoming five-year period. This study highlights the 50 emerging market countries that will see the most investment in the near term.

The focus on emerging markets is increasingly relevant. After some delays, most major deployments are already awarded and in many cases already underway in developed countries in North America, Western Europe, and East Asia. These markets represent more than three-quarters of the current installed base of smart meters. As these projects wrap up, vendors will shift their focus to opportunities opening up in countries across emerging market regions. Smart grid infrastructure in emerging markets is quickly transitioning from a potential future opportunity to concrete near-term awards.

Smart grid infrastructure projects in emerging markets are not without risk. Several previously forecast rollouts have failed to materialize, and recent tenders have been rescinded. But market conditions have increasingly improved every year - at the start of 2019 there are more tenders and more smart meter regulatory targets than in any previous year. Meanwhile, nontechnical loss rates remain high, GDP and electricity consumption rates continue to grow, and per-endpoint AMI prices have begun to steadily decline. As a result, the conditions are now in place for these 50 countries to invest over $60 billion in smart grid infrastructure over the next five years.

Key questions answered in this study:

  • Which 50 emerging market countries will deploy the most AMI meters over the next five years?
  • Which countries have hit project obstacles and which have reached key milestones?
  • Which were the most active countries in developing smart gridrelated policies and which ones took a step back?
  • What is the forecast market for AMI, distribution automation, wide area measurement, home energy management, and IT in each emerging market region over the next five years?
Table of Contents

Table of Contents

i. Executive Summary

1. Overview

2. Emerging markets smart grid indicators

3. Emerging markets smart grid market forecast

4. Country dashboards

5. Appendix

  • 5.1. Methodology
  • 5.2. Smart grid overview
  • 5.3. Global smart grid activity
  • 5.4. List of companies and acronyms

List of Figures, Boxes, and Tables

  • Largest utilities in emerging market countries
  • Figure 1.1: All-in per-endpoint costs per region
  • Table 1.1: Recent regulatory developments
  • Figure 1.2: Electricity tariff reform
  • Figure 1.3: Notable AMI deployments and announcements in 2018
  • Table 1.2: Notable smart meter targets in emerging markets
  • Figure 1.4: Cause given by World Bank for cancellation of Uzbekistan project
  • Figure 1.5: Countries that have moved on to large-scale deployments
  • Table 1.3: Notable delays and obstacles in planned deployments
  • Figure 1.6: Leading emerging market smart grid markets
  • Table 1.4: Countries with significant existing AMI deployments
  • Table 1.5: Countries with near-term AMI tenders and/or plans
  • Table 1.6: Countries with longer-term AMI plans
  • Figure 1.7: Cumulative AMI deployments (units, 2019 - 2023)
  • Figure 1.8: 2019 AMI annual forecast (units)
  • Figure 2.1: Smart grid regulatory country index
  • Figure 2.2: Smart grid potential benefit country index
  • Figure 2.3: Emerging markets smart meter potential
  • Figure 2.4: T&D losses by % and dollars lost
  • Figure 2.5: Electricity consumption per capita
  • Figure 2.6: Average residential electricity tariff
  • Figure 2.7: Average GDP growth (2019 - 2023)
  • Figure 3.1: Emerging markets smart grid forecast by region
  • Table 3.1: Emerging markets smart grid forecast data by region
  • Figure 3.2: Emerging markets smart grid forecast by segment
  • Table 3.2: Emerging markets smart grid forecast data by segment
  • Figure 3.3: Emerging markets AMI forecast by region (cumulative)
  • Table 3.3: Emerging markets cumulative AMI forecast data by region
  • Figure 3.4: Emerging markets AMI forecast by region (annual)
  • Table 3.4: Emerging markets annual AMI forecast data by region
  • Figure 3.5: Regional residential electricity meter market size in 2019
  • Figure 3.6: Regional residential electricity meter market size in 2023
  • Figure 3.7: Global AMI forecast comparison
  • Figure 3.8: Global smart grid forecast comparison
  • Figure 4.1: Countries with in-depth smart grid dashboards
  • Figure 5.1: Smart grid value chain
  • Figure 5.2: Global smart grid activity
  • Table 5.1: Global smart grid drivers and activity

In addition to the figures and tables shown above, each country summary includes the following:

  • Table: Industry structure;
  • Table: Regulatory framework;
  • Chart: Regional smart meter potential;
  • Chart: Regional electricity consumption per capita (kWh);
  • Chart: Regional electricity prices (cents per kWh);
  • Chart: Regional T&D losses (%).

Therefore, this study includes over 100 additional unique charts and tables in addition to those cited above.

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