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Market Research Report

India Smart Grid: Market Forecast (2017-2027)

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Published Content info 230 Pages
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India Smart Grid: Market Forecast (2017-2027)
Published: February 28, 2017 Content info: 230 Pages
Description

India represents what is arguably the best smart grid market opportunity among all emerging market countries. It has the second largest electricity customer market size in the world. Unlike China, which has the largest, the Indian market will be open to international vendors, as stated in the central government's smart grid development strategy.

This will create very significant market opportunities for the leading global players. Vendors from across Europe, North America, and Asia have already participated in small-scale pilots and grid upgrade projects, and have been linked with announcements of large-scale rollouts by Indian utilities that are upcoming in the next several years.

India has power sector market conditions that will require significant smart grid infrastructure investment. It has one of the highest transmission and distribution (T&D) loss rates in the world. In some states, the T&D loss rates exceed 50%, and almost all states have loss rates above 15%. Most Indian utilities fail to achieve cost recovery, and smart grid investment will be an important tool for utilities to reduce losses and improve revenue collection and operational efficiency.

The Indian central government has taken several measures to support smart grid development, including financial revitalization programs for utilities, the establishment of a central smart grid agency, and the publication of recommended financing strategies for early deployments.

With strong drivers and a willing government, the medium-to-long term smart grid opportunities in India are enormous. In the near term, the environment may be more challenging. India's power sector is fragmented and complicated. As in the United States, each state has its own regulatory commission. Industry structure and regulations can vary widely in India from state to state. Understanding the dynamics of each state will be critical to participating in this market.

Overall, India is one of the most unique smart grid markets in the world. It combines enormous market potential and a high GDP growth rate with complex regulatory structures and low per-capita income. Challenges are certain to persist, but the government's commitment to addressing India's significant power sector challenges by investing in smart grid infrastructure ensures strong market growth throughout the coming decade.

Key questions answered in this study:

  • How large will the smart grid market be across India over the next decade?
  • What policies is the Government of India pursuing to support smart grid development?
  • How will investment opportunities differ across various state regulatory frameworks?
  • How will smart grid projects be financed in the near-to-medium term in India?
  • How will rapid renewable energy expansion impact smart grid investment?
  • Who are the most active local and international vendors in the India market?

Deliverables: 230-page PDF copy of the study, executive summary PowerPoint and Excel dataset.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

  • i. Executive summary

1. What's new in 2017?

2. India smart grid snapshot

  • 2.1. India in comparison
  • 2.2. Smart grid drivers
  • 2.3. Smart grid challenges

3. India smart grid market forecast

4. Industry structure

  • 4.1. Generation
  • 4.2. Transmission
  • 4.3. Distribution
  • 4.4. Power sector regulatory bodies

5. Smart grid regulatory framework

6. Maharashtra

  • 6.1. Electricity industry structure
  • 6.2. Smart grid regulatory environment
  • 6.3. Drivers and barriers
  • 6.4. Utility activity

7. Karnataka

  • 7.1. Electricity industry structure
  • 7.2. Smart grid regulatory environment
  • 7.3. Drivers and barriers
  • 7.4. Utility activity

8. Delhi

  • 8.1. Electricity industry structure
  • 8.2. Smart grid regulatory environment
  • 8.3. Drivers and barriers
  • 8.4. Utility activity

9. Gujarat

  • 9.1. Electricity industry structure
  • 9.2. Smart grid regulatory environment
  • 9.3. Drivers and barriers
  • 9.4. Utility activity

10. West Bengal

  • 10.1. Electricity industry structure
  • 10.2. Smart grid regulatory environment
  • 10.3. Drivers and barriers
  • 10.4. Utility activity

11. Tamil Nadu

  • 11.1. Electricity industry structure
  • 11.2. Smart grid regulatory environment
  • 11.3. Drivers and barriers
  • 11.4. Utility activity

12. Kerala

  • 12.1. Electricity industry structure
  • 12.2. Smart grid regulatory environment
  • 12.3. Drivers and barriers
  • 12.4. Utility activity

13. Other Indian states and territories

  • 13.1. Market drivers and barriers
  • 13.2. Activity in other states and territories in India
    • 13.2.1. Joint union territories
    • 13.2.2. Rajasthan
    • 13.2.3. Andhra Pradesh
    • 13.2.4. Uttar Pradesh
    • 13.2.5. Bihar
    • 13.2.6. Rest of the country

14. Vendor activity

  • 14.1. Domestic vendors
  • 14.2. International vendors active in smart grid in India

15. Appendix

  • 15.1. Methodology
  • 15.2. Smart grid overview
  • 15.3. Global smart grid activity
  • 15.4. List of acronyms and companies covered in this study

List of Figures, Boxes, and Tables

  • India smart grid: key takeaways
  • Newest developments
  • India's 15 largest distribution utilities
  • India T&D loss rates
  • Total customer size of Indian states
  • T&D loss rates and smart grid activity in Indian states
  • T&D losses and consumption at India's largest distribution utilities
  • Goals of India's smart grid roadmap
  • India's smart grid targets and progress
  • India cumulative smart grid forecast
  • India cumulative smart grid forecast data
  • Box 1.1: National Smart Grid Mission scope of duties
  • Figure 1.1: National Smart Grid Mission projects
  • Table 1.1: Status of NSGM AMI pilot projects
  • Box 1.2: Bureau of Indian Standards smart meter specifications
  • Table 1.2: Communications technology under consideration
  • Figure 1.2: India smart meter trajectory
  • Box 1.3: India Smart Grid Forum recommended procurement strategy
  • Figure 1.3: Leasing and services model
  • Figure 1.4: States participating in UDAY program
  • Table 1.3: Large-scale NSGM projects
  • Table 1.4: Smart grid pilot projects outside of NSGM
  • Figure 1.5: Approved renewable energy policies in India
  • Table 1.5: Renewable energy state policies passed 2015-16
  • Figure 1.6: Planned renewable energy capacity additions
  • Figure 1.7: Comparison to 2015 forecast
  • Figure 2.1: Emerging markets smart meter potential
  • Figure 2.2: Per-capita electricity consumption
  • Figure 2.3: Per-capita CO2 emissions
  • Figure 2.4: Projected GDP growth (2017 - 2021)
  • Figure 2.5: T&D losses in India
  • Figure 2.6: Net profits of state utilities in India
  • Figure 2.7: T&D loss rates and smart grid activity in Indian states
  • Figure 2.8: Smart grid regulatory drivers in India
  • Figure 2.9: Total electricity demand growth in India
  • Figure 2.10: Solar and wind resources in India
  • Table 2.1: Distribution franchises in India
  • Table 2.2: Status of NSGM AMI pilot projects
  • Figure 2.11: Per-capita electricity consumption by state in India
  • Figure 2.12: Costs of AMI deployments per kWh
  • Figure 2.13: Power sector spending in India to 2019
  • Table 2.3: Other smart grid pilot projects in India
  • Figure 3.1: India AMI penetration rate
  • Figure 3.2: India cumulative smart grid forecast
  • Table 3.1: India cumulative smart grid forecast data
  • Figure 3.3: Annual AMI deployments in India
  • Figure 3.4: Comparison of local and internationally made AMI meter costs
  • Figure 3.5: RF-based AMI cost breakdown
  • Figure 3.6: AMI forecast by segment
  • Table 3.2: AMI forecast data by segment
  • Figure 3.7: DA forecast by segment
  • Table 3.3: DA forecast data by segment
  • Figure 3.8: HEM forecast by segment
  • Table 3.4: HEM forecast data by segment
  • Figure 3.9: IT forecast by segment
  • Table 3.5: IT forecast data by segment
  • Table 4.1: Ownership and control in India's electricity sector
  • Figure 4.1: Generation in India
  • Table 4.2: Utilities and regulators in India by state
  • Figure 4.2: Growth in transmission networks in India
  • Figure 4.3: Regulation of India's transmission sector
  • Figure 4.4: Regional transmission grids in India
  • Figure 4.5: T&D losses and consumption at India's largest distribution utilities
  • Figure 4.5: Map of distribution franchises in India
  • Table 4.3: Main utilities in India
  • Table 4.4: Distribution franchise models
  • Table 4.5: Key elements of the Electricity Act of 2003
  • Figure 5.1: National Smart Grid Mission scope of duties
  • Figure 5.2: Government of India smart grid organizational structure
  • Table 5.1: Status of NSGM AMI pilot projects
  • Figure 5.3: National Smart Grid Mission projects
  • Table 5.2: Large-scale NSGM pilot projects
  • Figure 5.4: Leasing and services model
  • Figure 5.5: India Smart Grid Forum recommended procurement strategy
  • Figure 5.6: States participating in UDAY program
  • Box 5.1: Political risk in India
  • Table 5.3: R-APDRP
  • Table 5.4: India smart grid roadmap
  • Table 5.5: Solar potential by state in India
  • Table 6.1: Maharashtra key data
  • Table 6.2: Smart grid indicators in Maharashtra
  • Figure 6.1: Maharashtra electricity generation statistics
  • Table 6.3: Main utilities in Maharashtra
  • Figure 6.2: Distribution franchising in Maharashtra
  • Figure 6.3: T&D loss comparison in Maharashtra
  • Table 6.4: Smart grid projects in Maharashtra
  • Table 7.1: Karnataka key data
  • Table 7.2: Smart grid indicators in Karnataka
  • Figure 7.1: Karnataka electricity generation statistics
  • Table 7.3: Main distribution utilities in Karnataka
  • Figure 7.2: Karnataka smart grid regulations
  • Figure 7.3: Karnataka solar policy
  • Figure 7.4: T&D loss comparison in Karnataka
  • Figure 7.5: Karnataka smart grid projects
  • Table 8.1: Delhi key data
  • Table 8.2: Smart grid indicators in Delhi
  • Figure 8.1: Delhi electricity generation statistics
  • Table 8.3: Main distribution utilities in Delhi
  • Figure 8.2: Evolution of T&D losses in Delhi
  • Figure 8.3: T&D loss comparison in Delhi
  • Figure 8.4: Tariff and T&D loss rates in metropolitan India
  • Figure 8.5: TPDDL smart grid activity
  • Table 9.1: Gujarat key data
  • Table 9.2: Smart grid indicators in Gujarat
  • Figure 9.1: Gujarat electricity generation statistics
  • Table 9.3: Main distribution utilities in Gujarat
  • Figure 9.2: ADB support for power sector projects in Gujarat
  • Figure 9.3: T&D loss comparison in Gujarat
  • Figure 9.4: Smart grid drivers in Gujarat
  • Table 10.1: West Bengal key data
  • Table 10.2: Smart grid indicators in West Bengal
  • Figure 10.1: West Bengal electricity generation statistics
  • Table 10.3: Main distribution utilities in West Bengal
  • Figure 10.2: Annual growth rate of key electricity metrics in West Bengal
  • Figure 10.3: Contributing factors to West Bengal's strong utility performance
  • Table 10.4: Electrification progress in West Bengal
  • Figure 10.4: Electrification programs in West Bengal
  • Figure 10.5: T&D loss comparison in West Bengal
  • Figure 10.6: Smart grid activity in West Bengal
  • Table 11.1: Tamil Nadu key data
  • Table 11.2: Smart grid indicators in Tamil Nadu
  • Figure 11.1: Tamil Nadu electricity generation statistics
  • Figure 11.2: India's Green Energy Corridor project
  • Figure 11.3: State distribution losses due to underpricing
  • Figure 11.4: Tamil Nadu smart grid plan
  • Figure 11.5: Renewable energy in Tamil Nadu
  • Figure 11.6: T&D loss comparison in Tamil Nadu
  • Figure 11.7: 1.5 million meter replacement tender in Tamil Nadu
  • Table 12.1: Kerala key data
  • Table 12.2: Smart grid indicators in Kerala
  • Figure 12.1: Kerala electricity generation statistics
  • Figure 12.2: Annual capital outlay in Kerala
  • Figure 12.3: Renewable energy policies in Kerala
  • Figure 12.4: T&D loss comparison in Kerala
  • Figure 12.5: Annual per-capita consumption in key states
  • Table 13.1: Key data for other main states in India
  • Table 13.2: Smart grid pilot projects in other Indian states
  • Table 13.2: Large-scale pilot projects in other Indian states
  • Figure 13.1: Population, market size, and electrification rates of largest Indian states
  • Table 13.3: Key data for Joint Union Territories and Goa
  • Figure 13.2: Solar potential in Rajasthan versus rest of India
  • Figure 13.3: Separation of utilities in Andhra Pradesh
  • Figure 13.4: Smart grid drivers in Andhra Pradesh
  • Figure 13.5: States with highest T&D losses in India
  • Table 13.4: States not covered in depth in this study
  • Figure 14.2: Leading smart grid vendors in India
  • Table 14.1: Other leading Indian smart grid vendors
  • Figure 14.2: Other leading international smart grid vendors in India
  • Figure 15.1: Smart grid value chain
  • Figure 15.2: Smart grid model highlighting focus in India
  • Figure 15.3: Global smart grid activity
  • Figure 15.4: Cumulative smart grid spending from 2017 - 2017 by region
  • Figure 15.5: Annual smart grid and AMI investment by region in 2027
  • Table 15.1: Global smart grid drivers and activity
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