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Market Research Report

Mexico Smart Grid and Smart Cities: Market Forecast (2018 - 2027)

Published by Northeast Group, LLC Product code 289196
Published Content info 116 Pages + Excel Dataset
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Mexico Smart Grid and Smart Cities: Market Forecast (2018 - 2027)
Published: July 23, 2018 Content info: 116 Pages + Excel Dataset
Description

Mexico is steadily progressing in developing one of the largest smart grid infrastructure and smart cities markets in both Latin America and among all emerging market countries. Since the third volume of this study was published back in 2015, Mexico has institutionalized smart grid regulations and significantly increased its near-term smart metering plans. The country is also progressing with largescale deployments of LED street lighting and is in the early stages of smart, or connected, street lighting.

Mexico's smart grid development is driven by both regulatory incentives and business case benefits. Overall transmission and distribution (T&D) losses and electricity consumption rates are average for emerging markets. However, in some cities nontechnical loss rates are among the highest in the world and in other areas average electricity consumption rivals levels seen in developed countries. Slumping energy supplies and high carbon emissions have vaulted energy reform to the top of the political agenda. Recent reforms have expanded the number of small-scale generators in the electricity market, meaning that Mexico will need a more flexible and resilient grid.

The transmission and distribution segments remain entirely controlled by a single state-owned utility (CFE), and ultimately CFE and the regulator CRE will dictate the pace and scale of smart grid deployments in Mexico. All relevant smart grid regulations have been developed under outgoing President Peña Nieto and there is some risk with a new administration taking office in December 2018. President-elect López Obrador has been critical of many recent energy reforms - reforms that have been critical in driving smart grid development. But the overall goals of smart grid infrastructure align with the new administration's interests and changes are not expected. Increased appetite for infrastructure investment could also lead to financing for more ambitious smart city projects, which are only just getting started in the country.

Until recently, Mexico's smart grid plans were mostly only that - roadmaps, plans, and pilots. Deployment is now well underway, and while details of a national rollout have failed to emerge, investment plans have been increased in recent years, setting the stage for large-scale investment in the 2020s. By 2027, CFE will have deployed smart meters to over 50% of its customers and added large-scale investments in distribution automation, wide area measurement, home energy management, information technology, and battery storage.

Key questions answered in this study:

  • What smart grid tenders have been announced and who has won the most recent tenders?
  • What smart grid regulations have been institutionalized in Mexico's T&D investment plans?
  • Which smart city and smart street lighting projects are developing in Mexico?
  • How will the recent Mexican elections affect smart grid infrastructure plans?
  • Which local vendors are active and who are they likely to partner with?
Table of Contents

Table of Contents

i. Executive Summary

1. What's new in 2018

2. Mexico smart grid snapshot

3. Current smart grid regulations

<4. Current and planned smart grid activity

5. Smart grid market forecast

6. Smart city policies and activity

7. Vendor activity

8. Appendix

  • 8.1. Methodology
  • 8.2. Smart grid overview
  • 8.1. Global smart grid activity
  • 8.4. List of companies and acronyms

List of Figures, Boxes, and Tables

  • Mexico smart grid: key takeaways
  • Mexico smart grid: leading indicators
  • Figure 1.1: Timeline of regulatory development in Mexico
  • Table 1.1: Recent PIDIREGAS tenders in Mexico
  • Figure 1.2: PIDIREGAS smart metering tenders in Mexico
  • Figure 1.3: AMI forecasts in Mexico
  • Figure 1.4: Recent smart street lighting announcements in Mexico
  • Figure 1.5: Market share of leading AMI meter hardware vendors in Mexico
  • Table 1.2: Smart grid partnerships between Mexican and international vendors
  • Table 2.1: Key indicators in Mexico
  • Figure 2.1: Current installed base of AMI meters in Latin America
  • Figure 2.2: Emerging markets smart meter potential
  • Figure 2.3: Per-capita electricity consumption
  • Figure 2.4: Per-capita CO2 emissions
  • Figure 2.5: Projected GDP growth
  • Figure 2.6: Global electricity prices
  • Figure 2.7: The divisions of CFE
  • Figure 2.8: Electricity generation mix in Mexico
  • Figure 2.11: T&D losses in Latin America
  • Table 2.4: Consumer appliance ownership in Mexico
  • Table 2.5: Smart grid drivers and barriers in Mexico
  • Figure 2.14: Ten-year price per kWh of AMI deployments
  • Figure 3.1: Timeline of regulatory development in Mexico
  • Figure 3.2: Government bodies involved in electricity regulation in Mexico
  • Table 3.1: Key smart grid regulatory terms
  • Figure 3.3: Earlier proposed smart grid goals and tasks at CFE
  • Box 3.1: Political risk in Mexico
  • Table 4.1: Recent PIDIREGAS AMI tenders in Mexico
  • Figure 4.1: Projected cumulative AMI deployments from 2017 - 2021 by region
  • (2016 Sener projection and 2018 PRODESEN projection)
  • Table 4.2: AMI meters by region in Mexico, according to smart grid program in 2017
  • Table 4.3: AMI meters by region in Mexico, according to PRODESEN in 2018
  • Table 4.4: GWh saved in PIDIREGAS projects (through end of 2016)
  • Figure 5.1: Mexico smart grid forecast
  • Table 5.1: Mexico smart grid forecast data
  • Figure 5.2: Mexico smart meter penetration rate
  • Figure 5.3: Annual AMI deployments
  • Figure 5.4: AMI cost breakdown
  • Figure 5.5: AMI forecast by segment
  • Table 5.2: AMI forecast data by segment
  • Figure 5.6: DA forecast by segment
  • Table 5.3: DA forecast data by segment
  • Figure 5.7: HEM forecast by segment
  • Table 5.4: HEM forecast data by segment
  • Figure 5.8: IT forecast by segment
  • Table 5.5: IT forecast data by segment
  • Figure 6.1: LED streetlights deployed by Mexico's national program
  • Table 6.1: Companies participating in national public lighting program in 2018
  • Figure 6.2: LED streetlight forecast in Mexico
  • Figure 6.3: Connected streetlight forecast in Mexico
  • Figure 6.4: Recent smart street lighting announcements in Mexico
  • Figure 6.5: Smart city pilot projects in Mexico
  • Figure 7.1: Market share of leading AMI meter hardware vendors in Mexico
  • Figure 7.2: Market share of leading AMI communications vendors in Mexico
  • Table 7.1: Mexican vendors that have won PIDIREGAS contracts
  • Table 7.2: International smart meter vendors with manufacturing facilities in Mexico
  • Figure 7.3: Projects carried out by Tecnologías EOS, in partnership with Honeywell
  • Table 7.3: Companies participating in national public lighting program in 2018
  • Figure 8.1: Smart grid value chain
  • Figure 8.2: Smart grid model highlighting focus in Mexico
  • Table 8.1: Benefits of AMI in Mexico
  • Table 8.2: Demand Response Options
  • Figure 8.3: Global smart grid activity
  • Figure 8.4: Cumulative smart grid investment from 2018 - 2027 by region ($m)
  • Figure 8.5: Annual smart grid and AMI investment by region in 2027
  • Table 8.3: Global smart grid drivers and activity
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