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Market Research Report

Nigeria - Telecoms, Mobile and Broadband - Statistics and Analyses

Published by BuddeComm Product code 960341
Published Content info 218 Pages
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Nigeria - Telecoms, Mobile and Broadband - Statistics and Analyses
Published: September 1, 2020 Content info: 218 Pages
Description

Nigeria commits funds to widen broadband service availability

Nigeria has one of the largest telecom markets in Africa, supported by the second largest economy on the continent after South Africa. The economy's recovery from a recent recession, helped the telecom sector attract foreign investment, particularly from China, while government infrastructure programs also stimulate investment.

The regulator has licensed a number of regional infrastructure companies (InfraCos) to build the national broadband network and offer capacity to all service providers on a non-discriminatory, open-access and price-regulated basis. This is helping to boost the country's fixed-line broadband sector, which has seen considerable consolidation among players in recent years. The government has updated its broadband ambitions, aiming to increase penetration from 30% by 2020 to 70% by the end of 2021 though most connections will be via mobile networks. The sector is still dominated by GSM technology, though a greater reliance on LTE infrastructure is expected in coming years, supported by improved terrestrial fibre networks to provide backhaul for data services. In early 2020 the regulator called on industry players to contribute towards its policy framework for 5G.

BuddeComm notes that the outbreak of the Coronavirus in 2020 is having a significant impact on production and supply chains globally. During the coming year the telecoms sector to various degrees is likely to experience a downturn in mobile device production, while it may also be difficult for network operators to manage workflows when maintaining and upgrading existing infrastructure. Overall progress towards 5G may be postponed or slowed down in some countries.

On the consumer side, spending on telecoms services and devices is under pressure from the financial effect of large-scale job losses and the consequent restriction on disposable incomes. However, the crucial nature of telecom services, both for general communication as well as a tool for home-working, will offset such pressures. In many markets the net effect should be a steady though reduced increased in subscriber growth.

Although it is challenging to predict and interpret the long-term impacts of the crisis as it develops, these have been acknowledged in the industry forecasts contained in this report.

The report also covers the responses of the telecom operators as well as government agencies and regulators as they react to the crisis to ensure that citizens can continue to make optimum use of telecom services. This can be reflected in subsidy schemes and the promotion of tele-health and tele-education, among other solutions.

Key developments:

  • Government approves $328 million loan to complete national backbone project;
  • Regulator begins developing 5G deployment policy based on the results of 5G trials;
  • Second stage of the NIPTI project is started, focussed on delivering fibre to northern areas of the country;
  • Government pledges to deploy 18,000km of fibre to extend broadband to rural areas;
  • Two additional satellites proposed to provide additional capacity to NigComSat;
  • National Broadband Plan 2020-2025 aiming to deliver 70% broadband penetration;
  • Report update includes the regulator's market data to June 2020, operator data to Q2 2020, Telecom Maturity Index charts and analyses, assessment of the global impact of COVID-19 on the telecoms sector, recent market developments.

Companies mentioned in this report:

Nigerian Telecommunications (ntel, Nitel, Pentascope, Transcorp, M-Tel), Globacom (Glo Mobile), VGC Communications (MTN Nigeria), Nepskom Communications, MTS First Wireless, Suburban Telecom, Backbone Connectivity Network (BCN), Traffic Network Services, Fibre Tech West Africa, Phase3 Telecom, Alheri Engineering, Mobitel Nigeria, Prestel (O-Mobile), Galaxy Backbone, 21st Century Technologies, Main One (Mainstreet Technologies), Brymedia, NigComSat, O3b Networks, WASACE, Linkserve, Pinet Informatics, Odu'a Telecom, Swift Networks, Startech Connection, Netcom Africa, MWEB Nigeria, Accelon (Internet Solutions), Polestar, Naija Wi-Fi, Suburban Telecom, Zinox, Starcomms, Layer3, Airtel Nigeria (formerly Zain, Celtel), 9Mobile (Etisalat Nigeria, EMTS, Mubadala), Visafone, Starcomms (Capcom), Multi-Links, Reliance, Econet Wireless, Vodacom.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Key Statistics

Regional Africa Market Comparison

  • TMI vs GDP
  • Mobile and mobile broadband
  • Fixed and mobile broadband

Country overview

COVID-19 and its impact on the telecom sector

  • Economic considerations and responses
  • Mobile devices
  • Subscribers
  • Infrastructure

Telecommunications market

  • Historical overview

Regulatory environment

  • Regulatory authority
  • National Telecommunications Policy (NTP)
  • Nigerian Communications Act
  • West African common regulatory framework
  • Interconnection
  • Infrastructure sharing
  • Telecom taxes
  • Universal service
    • National Rural Telephony Program (NRTP)
    • National Information Technology Development (NITD) Fund
    • Backbone Transmission Infrastructure Project (BTRAIN)
  • Telecom sector liberalisation
    • Globacom's SNO licence
    • Regional fixed-wireless access (FWA) licences
    • International gateway licences
    • Unified licensing regime
  • Privatisation of Nitel

Mobile market

  • Market analysis
  • Mobile statistics
    • General statistics
    • Mobile voice
    • Mobile data
    • Mobile broadband
  • Regulatory issues
    • GSM licence terms
    • Spectrum
    • Mobile Termination Rate (MTR)
    • Mobile tariffs
    • Unified licensing regime
    • Universal service
    • Mobile Number Portability (MNP)
    • Quality of Service
    • SIM card registration
  • Mobile infrastructure
    • International gateways
    • National mobile infrastructure plan
    • Tower infrastructure
    • Analogue networks
    • Digital networks
    • Other infrastructure developments
  • Major GSM mobile operators
    • MTN Nigeria
    • Airtel Nigeria
    • Globacom
    • 9Mobile (Etisalat Nigeria, EMTS, Mubadala)
    • M-Tel
  • Major CDMA mobile operators
    • Multi-Links Telkom
    • Reliance Telecommunications (Reltel, Zoom)
    • Starcomms (Capcom)
    • InterC Network (Intercellular Nigeria)
    • Visafone
  • Mobile content and applications
    • Mobile money transfer, m-banking
    • M-health

Fixed-line broadband market

  • Introduction and statistical overview
    • Market analysis
    • Internet Exchange Points (IXP)
    • National Broadband Plan
    • Broadband statistics
  • Digital Subscriber Line (DSL) networks
    • Providers
  • Fibre-to-the-Premises (FttP) networks
  • Other fixed broadband services
    • Broadband over Powerlines (BPL)
    • Fixed wireless

Fixed network operators

  • Nigerian Telecommunications (Nitel)
    • National backbone network
    • Wireless Local Loop (WLL)
  • Globacom
    • Network infrastructure
    • Fibre optic backbone network
    • International presence
    • Services
    • International expansion
  • VGC Communications
  • National Long-Distance Operators (NLDO)
  • Fixed-wireless network operators
    • MTS First Wireless
    • Mobitel Nigeria
    • Prestel (O-Mobile)
    • Regional FWA operators

Telecommunications infrastructure

  • Overview of the national telecom network
  • Backbone networks
    • National Information Infrastructure Backbone (NIIB)
    • NIPTI
    • Suburban Telecom
    • Phase3 Telecom
    • Backbone Connectivity Network (BCN)
    • Private networks
  • International terrestrial infrastructure
    • The Central African Backbone (CAB)
    • Nigeria - Niger link
    • Trans-Saharan Backbone
    • NNPC network
  • International submarine infrastructure
    • SAT-3/WASC
    • Glo-1
    • Main One
    • WACS
    • ACE
    • WASACE
    • 2Africa submarine cable
  • Satellite
    • Rascom
    • NigComSat
    • O3b Networks
  • Data centres

Appendix - Historic data

Glossary of abbreviations

Related reports

List of Tables

  • Table 1 - Top Level Country Statistics and Telco Authorities - Nigeria - 2020 (e)
  • Table 2 - Change in telecom sector contribution to GDP - 2010 - 2020
  • Table 3 - Financial bids for Nitel/M-Tel, first and second round - 2010
  • Table 4 - Growth in the number of active mobile subscribers and penetration - 2010 - 2025
  • Table 5 - Change in the market share of subscribers by operator (GSM) - 2011 - 2020
  • Table 6 - Change in the number of prepaid mobile subscribers - 2009 - 2019
  • Table 7 - Growth in SMS traffic - 2010 - 2020
  • Table 8 - Mobile internet subscribers in Nigeria by operator (GSM) - 2012 - 2020
  • Table 9 - Growth in the number of active mobile broadband subscribers - 2010 - 2025
  • Table 10 - Change in the number of outgoing mobile number portings - 2013 - 2020
  • Table 11 - Change in the number of GSM subscribers - 2014 - 2020
  • Table 12 - Change in the number of MTN Nigeria's mobile subscriber base - 2011 - 2020
  • Table 13 - Change in MTN Nigeria's financial data - 2010 - 2020
  • Table 14 - Development of MTN Nigeria revenue by type - 2015 - 2020
  • Table 15 - Development of MTN Nigeria's financial data (NGN) - 2017 - 2020
  • Table 16 - Decline in MTN Nigeria's mobile ARPU - 2009 - 2020
  • Table 17 - Change in MTN Nigeria's capex - 2015 - 2020
  • Table 18 - Change in MTN Nigeria's customer voice and data traffic - 2015 - 2020
  • Table 19 - Growth in the number of Airtel Nigeria's mobile subscribers - 2011 - 2020
  • Table 20 - Growth in the number of Airtel Nigeria's base stations - 2018 - 2020
  • Table 21 - Development of Airtel Nigeria's financial data - 2018 - 2020
  • Table 22 - Change in Airtel Nigeria's quarterly churn - 2018 - 2020
  • Table 23 - Growth in the number of Globacom's mobile and mobile internet subscriber base - 2011 - 2020
  • Table 24 - Development of Globacom's financial data - 2017 - 2018
  • Table 25 - Change in the number of 9mobile's mobile subscribers - 2011 - 2020
  • Table 26 - Development of 9mobile's financial data - 2017 - 2018
  • Table 27 - Decline in the number of Visafone's mobile subscribers - 2013 - 2020
  • Table 28 - Change in the number of m-payment transactions and value - 2010 - 2019
  • Table 29 - Increase in the number of m-money inter-scheme transactions and value - 2017 - 2020
  • Table 30 - Growth in the number of MTN's M-money subscribers- 2018 - 2020
  • Table 31 - Fixed-line (wired) broadband subscribers - 2014 - 2025
  • Table 32 - Fixed-line (wired) broadband subscribers by operator - 2014 - 2020
  • Table 33 - Change in the number of fixed-wired broadband subscribers by operator - 2017 - 2020
  • Table 34 - Evolution of fixed lines in service and teledensity - 2010 - 2025
  • Table 35 - Growth in the number of VoIP lines by operator - 2016 - 2020
  • Table 36 - Increase in international internet bandwidth in Nigeria - 2010 - 2018
  • Table 37 - Historic - Fixed lines in service and teledensity - 1999 - 2009
  • Table 38 - Historic - Mobile subscribers and penetration rate - 1998 - 2009
  • Table 39 - Historic - MTN Nigeria ARPU - 2002 - 2009
  • Table 40 - Historic - Internet users and penetration rate in Nigeria - 2000 - 2015
  • Table 41 - Historic - SMS traffic - 2006 - 2009
  • Table 42 - Historic - International internet bandwidth - 2001 - 2009
  • Table 43 - Historic - CDMA subscribers by operator - 2011 - 2019

List of Charts

  • Chart 1 - Overall Africa view - Telecoms Maturity Index vs GDP per capita
  • Chart 2 - West Africa - Telecoms Maturity Index vs GDP per capita
  • Chart 3 - Africa - Bottom-tier Telecoms Maturity Index (Market Emergents)
  • Chart 4 - West Africa -Telecoms Maturity Index by country
  • Chart 5 - West Africa mobile subscriber penetration versus mobile broadband penetration
  • Chart 6 - West Africa fixed and mobile penetration rates
  • Chart 7 - Change in telecom sector contribution to GDP - 2010 - 2020
  • Chart 8 - Growth in the number of mobile subscribers and penetration - 2010 - 2025
  • Chart 10 - Change in the number of prepaid mobile subscribers - 2009 - 2019
  • Chart 11 - Growth in SMS traffic - 2009 - 2020
  • Chart 12 - Growth in the number of mobile internet subscribers by operator (GSM, million) - 2012 - 2020
  • Chart 13 - Growth in the number of active mobile broadband subscribers - 2010 - 2025
  • Chart 14 - Change in the number of outgoing mobile number portings - 2013 - 2020
  • Chart 15 - Change in the number of GSM subscribers (million) - 2014 - 2020
  • Chart 16 - Change in the number of MTN Nigeria's mobile subscriber base - 2011 - 2020
  • Chart 17 - Change in MTN Nigeria's financial data (ZAR million) - 2010 - 2020
  • Chart 18 - Change in MTN Nigeria's voice and data revenue (ZAR million) - 2015 - 2020
  • Chart 19 - Development of MTN Nigeria's financial data (NGN billion) - 2017 - 2020
  • Chart 20 - Decline in MTN Nigeria's mobile ARPU - 2009 - 2019
  • Chart 21 - Change in MTN Nigeria's capex - 2015 - 2020
  • Chart 22 - Change in MTN Nigeria's customer voice and data traffic - 2015 - 2020
  • Chart 23 - Growth in the number of Airtel Nigeria's mobile subscribers - 2011 - 2020
  • Chart 24 - Development of Airtel Nigeria's financial data - 2018 - 2020
  • Chart 25 - Growth in the number of Globacom's mobile and mobile internet subscriber base - 2011 - 2020
  • Chart 26 - Change in the number of 9mobile's mobile subscribers - 2011 - 2020
  • Chart 27 - Change in the number of m-payment transactions and value - 2010 - 2019
  • Chart 28 - Increase in the number of m-money inter-scheme transactions and value - 2017 - 2020
  • Chart 29 - Total fixed-line (wired) broadband subscribers - 2014 - 2025
  • Chart 30 - Fixed-line (wired) broadband subscribers by operator (thousand) - 2014 - 2020
  • Chart 31 - Change in the number of fixed-wired broadband subscribers by operator - 2017 - 2020
  • Chart 32 - Evolution of fixed lines in service and teledensity - 2010 - 2025
  • Chart 33 - Growth in the number of VoIP lines (by operator) - 2016 - 2020
  • Chart 34 - Increase in international internet bandwidth in Nigeria - 2010 - 2018

List of Exhibits

  • Exhibit 1 - Generalised Market Characteristics by Market Segment
  • Exhibit 2 - West Africa - Key Characteristics of Telecoms Markets by Country
  • Exhibit 3 - Regional FWA licensees
  • Exhibit 4 - Regional FWA licensees in Nigeria
  • Exhibit 5 - 2Africa submarine cable
  • Exhibit 6 - 2Africa landing stations
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