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Market Research Report

Libya - Telecoms, Mobile and Broadband - Statistics and Analyses

Published by BuddeComm Product code 979688
Published Content info 87 Pages
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Libya - Telecoms, Mobile and Broadband - Statistics and Analyses
Published: November 16, 2020 Content info: 87 Pages
Description

UN succeeds in brokering talks between Libya's warring factions

During the last few years Libya has struggled to rebuild its economy and infrastructure following disruption caused by the civil war and the subsequent political unrest. Much of the telecom infrastructure was destroyed or stolen following the 2011 disturbances, including about a quarter of the country's mobile tower sites. Reconstruction efforts continue to be stymied by political and military disturbances which affect much of the country. With two opposing administrations, based in Tripoli and Tobruk, there is no consensus as to how to rebuild infrastructure on a national scale despite numerous attempts to reach a political solution. Although progress is being made in rebuilding telecom infrastructure, the mobile towers remain a target of the warring factions while civilians regularly cut telecom cables by mistake while engaged in construction work.

In early 2015 the state telco (along with many other businesses) decamped to Malta, and since then the two rival administrations have fought in the Maltese courts to assume control of the company. The economy, which largely collapsed in 2013 and 2014 with dramatic falls in GDP, showed remarkable growth in 2017 and 2018, though this was based on a very low base. Growth in 2019 was a more moderate 9.9% though growth for 2020 is expected to be negative 58%. This is largely due to the effects of the pandemic, as also to the collapse in the price of oil on international markets

The destruction to telecom infrastructure aside, it remains superior to those in many other African countries. Considerable investment has been made in a national fibre backbone network, while upgrades have been made to existing international cables. Investments in telecom infrastructure totalling $10 billion were earmarked for the 15 years to 2020, though given the civil strife in recent years it is difficult to say how much of this has been put into effect.

The mobile market is supported by some of the lowest tariffs on the continent. Opportunities remain in the broadband sector where market penetration is still relatively low. To stimulate take-up of services, the regulator in mid-2020 imposed a 50% reduction in internet subscription charges. As for mobile broadband, LTE services have only a limited reach and thus the development of this sector has been slow. A limited 5G service was made available in November 2019.

BuddeComm notes that the outbreak of the Coronavirus in 2020 is having a significant impact on production and supply chains globally. During the coming year the telecoms sector to various degrees is likely to experience a downturn in mobile device production, while it may also be difficult for network operators to manage workflows when maintaining and upgrading existing infrastructure. Overall progress towards 5G may be postponed or slowed down in some countries.

On the consumer side, spending on telecoms services and devices is under pressure from the financial effect of large-scale job losses and the consequent restriction on disposable incomes. However, the crucial nature of telecom services, both for general communication as well as a tool for home-working, will offset such pressures. In many markets the net effect should be a steady though reduced increased in subscriber growth.

Although it is challenging to predict and interpret the long-term impacts of the crisis as it develops, these have been acknowledged in the industry forecasts contained in this report.

The report also covers the responses of the telecom operators as well as government agencies and regulators as they react to the crisis to ensure that citizens can continue to make optimum use of telecom services. This can be reflected in subsidy schemes and the promotion of tele-health and tele-education, among other solutions.

Key developments:

  • LPTIC contracts Ericsson to maintain and develop the country's telecom networks and infrastructure;
  • Government orders 50% reduction in internet subscription fees;
  • Al-Madar extends LTE service to Benghazi and Misurata;
  • LTT launches LTE-based fixed broadband network;
  • LPTIC signs $80 million contract with Arabsat to provide satellite broadband services;
  • Italy-Libya cable upgraded to support 100Gb/s technology;
  • Report update includes Telecom Maturity Index charts and analyses, assessment of the global impact of Covid-19 on the telecoms sector, recent market developments.

Companies mentioned in this report:

Al-Madar, Libyana, LibyaPhone, Libya Post and Telecommunication Information Technology (LPTIC), General Posts and Telecommunications Company (GPTC), Hatif Libya, Libya International Telecom Company (LITC), Libya Telecom & Technology (LTT), Lap Green Networks, Gateway, Thuraya, Phoenicia Group, Hermes Communications, Wiseband, Bentley Walker, Virtual Dimensions, Ericsson, Nokia, Alcatel-Lucent, Huawei, ZTE, Trans-Sahara.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Key statistics

Regional Africa Market Comparison

  • TMI vs GDP
  • Mobile and mobile broadband
  • Fixed and mobile broadband

Country overview

Covid-19 and its impact on the telecom sector

  • Economic considerations and responses
  • Mobile devices
  • Subscribers
  • Infrastructure

Telecommunications market

  • Market analysis

Regulatory environment

  • General Authority for Information and Telecommunications (GAIT)
  • Market liberalisation
  • Second national operator (SNO) licence
  • Mobile licence - 2011

Mobile market

  • Market analysis
  • Mobile statistics
  • Mobile infrastructure
    • 5G
    • 4G (LTE)
    • 3G
  • Mobile data
    • SMS and MMS
  • Mobile broadband
  • Other infrastructure developments
    • Satellite mobile
  • Major mobile operators
    • Al-Madar
    • Libyana
    • LibyaPhone
  • Mobile content and applications
    • M-payment

Fixed-line broadband market

  • Introduction and statistical overview
    • Broadband statistics
  • Fixed-line broadband technologies
    • Digital Subscriber Line (DSL) Networks
    • Fibre-to-the-Premises (FttP)
    • Other fixed broadband services

Fixed network operators

  • LPTIC/GPTC/Hatif Libya

Telecommunications infrastructure

  • National fibre backbone
  • Next Generation Network (NGN)
  • International infrastructure
    • International submarine fibre
    • Satellite
    • LAP Green Networks

Appendix - Historic data

Glossary of abbreviations

Related reports

List of Tables

  • Table 1 - Top Level Country Statistics and Telco Authorities - Libya - 2020 (e)
  • Table 2 - Growth in the number of mobile subscribers and penetration - 2010 - 2025
  • Table 3 - Growth in the number of active mobile broadband subscribers - 2013 - 2025
  • Table 4 - Growth in Al-Madar's mobile subscriber base - 2013 - 2018
  • Table 5 - Growth in Libyana's mobile subscriber base - 2013 - 2018
  • Table 6 - Growth in the number of fixed broadband subscribers and penetration - 2010 - 2025
  • Table 7 - Growth in the number of fixed lines in service and teledensity - 2010 - 2025
  • Table 8 - International bandwidth - 2009 - 2017
  • Table 9 - Historic - Mobile subscribers and penetration rate in Libya - 1999 - 2009
  • Table 10 - Historic - Fixed lines in service and teledensity - 1999 - 2009
  • Table 11 - Historic - Internet users and penetration rate in Libya - 1999 - 2015
  • Table 12 - Historic - International bandwidth - 2001 - 2009

List of Charts

  • Chart 1 - Overall Africa view - Telecoms Maturity Index vs GDP per capita
  • Chart 2 - North Africa - Telecoms Maturity Index vs GDP per capita
  • Chart 3 - Africa - Middle-tier Telecoms Maturity Index (Market Challengers)
  • Chart 4 - North Africa -Telecoms Maturity Index by country
  • Chart 5 - North Africa mobile subscriber penetration versus mobile broadband penetration
  • Chart 6 - North Africa fixed and mobile penetration rates
  • Chart 7 - Growth in the number of mobile subscribers and penetration - 2010 - 2025
  • Chart 8 - Growth in the number of active mobile broadband subscribers - 2013 - 2025
  • Chart 9 - Growth in Al-Madar's mobile subscriber base - 2013 - 2018
  • Chart 10 - Growth in Libyana's mobile subscriber base - 2013 - 2018
  • Chart 11 - Growth in the number of fixed broadband subscribers and penetration - 2010 - 2025
  • Chart 12 - Growth in the number of fixed lines in service and teledensity - 2010 - 2025

List of Exhibits

  • Exhibit 1 - Generalised Market Characteristics by Market Segment
  • Exhibit 2 - North Africa - Key Characteristics of Telecoms Markets by Country
  • Exhibit 3 - Map of Libya
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