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Market Research Report

Ukraine - Telecoms, Mobile and Broadband - Statistics and Analyses

Published by BuddeComm Product code 985626
Published Content info 165 Pages
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Ukraine - Telecoms, Mobile and Broadband - Statistics and Analyses
Published: December 18, 2020 Content info: 165 Pages
Description

Ukraine's government approves plan for 5G migration in 2021

Ukraine's developing telecom market has attracted international investors in recent years. One of the major players, Russia's MTS, in mid-2020 sold its interest in Vodafone Ukraine to Azerbaijani investors. The market has continued to face considerable difficulties resulting from the annexation of Crimea by Russia, as well as from unrest in eastern regions. The Covid-19 pandemic has also contributed to a faltering economy, with GDP expected to have fallen 7.7% in 2020. This has put pressure on telcos' revenue.

The sizeable broadband market enjoys effective cross-platform competition. DSL remains an important platform though it has been eclipsed by fibre following efforts by operators to build networks based on FttP. Wireless platforms such as Wi-Fi and WiMAX exist on a smaller scale, and there is ongoing investment aimed at delivering a national wireless network. A number of wireless broadband licensees have also had their concessions extended to 2025, which will provide greater certainty in investment decisions.

The competitive mobile market is dominated by the three network operators Vodafone Ukraine (sold by MTS in late 2019), Kyivstar (owned by VEON) and Lifecell (owned by Turkcell). These dominant providers have effectively stymied the development of the MVNO sector by promoting their own low-cost subsidiaries. As a result, the MVNO market remains underdeveloped and few operators have been licensed thus far. Nevertheless, in coming years a gap in the low-cost segment may provide the opportunity for MVNOs to thrive.

Mobile broadband services present a significant growth opportunity. Significant investment has been made in extending LTE infrastructure. Spectrum in the 900MHz band was refarmed for LTE services, and new licences were issued to the MNOs in mid-2020. The MNOs have also more recently concentrated on 5G, supported by the regulator which has drawn up a plan to develop 5G based on new spectrum releases in 2021.

This report provides an overview of Ukraine's telecom market, including profiles of the major operators, a review of telecom network infrastructure, regulatory measures, and emerging network developments. The report also reviews the mobile market, offering a range of statistics as well as assessments on the key players and technology deployments. In addition, the report covers the fixed-and fixed-wireless broadband segments, including subscriber forecasts.

BuddeComm notes that the outbreak of the Coronavirus is having a significant impact on production and supply chains globally. During the coming year the telecoms sector to various degrees is likely to experience a downturn in mobile device production, while it may also be difficult for network operators to manage workflows when maintaining and upgrading existing infrastructure. Overall progress towards 5G may be postponed or slowed down in some countries.

On the consumer side, spending on telecoms services and devices is under pressure from the financial effect of large-scale job losses and the consequent restriction on disposable incomes. However, the crucial nature of telecom services, both for general communication as well as a tool for home-working, will offset such pressures. In many markets the net effect should be a steady though reduced increased in subscriber growth.

Although it is challenging to predict and interpret the long-term impacts of the crisis as it develops, these have been acknowledged in the industry forecasts contained in this report.

The report also covers the responses of the telecom operators as well as government agencies and regulators as they react to the crisis to ensure that citizens can continue to make optimum use of telecom services. This can be reflected in subsidy schemes and the promotion of tele-health and tele-education, among other solutions.

Key developments:

  • Vodafone Ukraine further develops NB-IoT capabilities;
  • MTS Group completes sale of Vodafone Ukraine to Bakcell;
  • Legal amendments to Telecoms Law widen regulator's powers;
  • Fixed-line and mobile providers team up to offer bundled services;
  • Ukrtelecom extends fibre-based services to additional communities;
  • Aero extends WiMAX licence to 2025;
  • Report update includes the regulator market data, State Statistics data to June 2020, telcos' operating and financial data to Q3 2020, Telecom Maturity Index charts and analyses, assessment of the global impact of Covid-19 on the telecoms sector, recent market developments.

Companies mentioned in this report:

Ukrtelecom, Kyivstar (Beeline), Datagroup, Eurotranstelecom, Vega, Velton Telecom, Intertelecom, ITC, Telesystems, Golden Telecom, PAN Wireless, Volia Cable, Ukrainian Radio Systems, Lifecell (Astelit), Vodafone Ukraine (MTS, Bakcell)

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Key statistics

Regional European Market Comparison

  • Europe Telecom Maturity Index by tier
    • Market Leaders
    • Market Emergents
  • TMI versus GDP
  • Mobile and mobile broadband penetration
  • Fixed versus mobile broadband penetration

Country overview

Covid-19 and its impact on the telecom sector

  • Economic considerations and responses
  • Mobile devices
  • Subscribers
  • Infrastructure

Telecommunications market

Regulatory environment

  • Law of Ukraine on Telecommunications
  • Regulatory authority
  • Fixed-line developments
    • Privatisation
    • Mobile Termination Rate (MTR)
    • Carrier selection and carrier preselection
    • Number Portability (NP)
    • Licensing
    • Network access
  • Mobile network developments
    • Licences
    • Mobile Number Portability (MNP)

Mobile market

  • Market analysis
  • Mobile statistics
  • Mobile infrastructure
    • 5G
    • 4G (LTE)
    • 3G
    • GSM
    • Other infrastructure developments
    • Mobile data
    • Mobile broadband
  • Major mobile operators
    • Vodafone Ukraine
    • Kyivstar
    • Lifecell (Astelit)
    • Ukrtelecom (Utel/TriMob)
    • Mobile Virtual Network Operators (MVNOs)
  • Mobile content and applications
    • m-banking

Fixed-line broadband market

  • Market analysis
  • Broadband statistics
    • Hybrid Fibre Coax (HFC) networks
    • Digital Subscriber Line (DSL) networks
    • Fibre-to-the-Premises (FttP) networks
  • Other fixed broadband services
    • Fixed wireless (Wi-Fi and WiMAX)

Digital economy

  • E-Health

Fixed network operators

  • Introduction
  • Ukrtelecom
  • Datagroup
  • Eurotranstelecom
  • Kyivstar
  • Vega
  • Wireless Local Loop (WLL) operators
    • Velton Telecom
    • Intertelecom
    • International Telecommunication Company (ITC)/CDMA Ukraine
    • Telesystems of Ukraine/PEOPLEnet

Telecommunications infrastructure

  • Overview of the national telecom network
    • Ukrtelecom
    • Datagroup
    • Eurotranstelecom
    • Kyivstar
    • Vega
  • International infrastructure
  • Data centres

Appendix - Historic data

Glossary of abbreviations

Related reports

List of Tables

  • Table 1 - Top Level Country Statistics and Telco Authorities - Ukraine - 2020 (e)
  • Table 2 - Telecom services revenue by sector (UAH billion) - 2010 - 2020
  • Table 3 - Growth in the number of mobile subscribers and penetration rate - 2010 - 2025
  • Table 4 - Development of mobile market revenue - 2010 - 2020
  • Table 5 - Growth in the number of active mobile broadband subscribers and penetration - 2010 - 2025
  • Table 6 - Change in the number of Vodafone Ukraine's mobile subscribers - 2010 - 2020
  • Table 7 - Development of Vodafone Ukraine's revenue (UAH billion) - 2010 - 2020
  • Table 8 - Development of Vodafone Ukraine's capex - 2015 - 2020
  • Table 9 - Development of Vodafone Ukraine's annualised mobile ARPU - 2015 - 2020
  • Table 10 - Development of Kyivstar's mobile revenue ($ million) - 2010 - 2020
  • Table 11 - Development of Kyivstar's mobile revenue (UAH billion) - 2012 - 2020
  • Table 12 - Kyivstar ARPU - 2010 - 2020
  • Table 13 - Change in the number of Kyivstar's mobile subscribers - 2010 - 2020
  • Table 14 - Change in the number of Lifecell's mobile subscribers - 2008 - 2020
  • Table 15 - Change in the number of Lifecell's active mobile subscribers - 2012 - 2020
  • Table 16 - Development of Lifecell's financial data (million Turkish Lira) - 2013 - 2020
  • Table 17 - Development of Lifecell's financial data (UAH million) - 2013 - 2020
  • Table 18 - Internet access revenue (UAH billion) - 2012 - 2020
  • Table 19 - Growth in the number of internet users and penetration - 2010 - 2018
  • Table 28 - Growth in the number of fixed-line broadband and penetration - 2010 - 2025
  • Table 20 - Change in the number of cable broadband subscribers - 2009 - 2018
  • Table 21 - Ukrtelecom broadband subscribers - 2011 - 2018
  • Table 22 - Kyivstar broadband subscribers - 2008 - 2020
  • Table 23 - Kyivstar broadband revenue - 2012 - 2020
  • Table 24 - Kyivstar broadband ARPU - 2010 - 2020
  • Table 25 - Change in the number of DSL subscribers - 2009 - 2018
  • Table 26 - Growth in the number of fibre broadband subscribers - 2009 - 2018
  • Table 27 - Ukrtelecom financial data (UAH billion) - 2008 - 2020
  • Table 28 - Ukrtelecom broadband and fixed-line subscribers - 2012 - 2018
  • Table 29 - Kyivstar financial data ($ million) - 2010 - 2020
  • Table 30 - Development of Kyivstar's revenue by sector ($ million) - 2010 - 2020
  • Table 31 - Development of Kyivstar's financial data (UAH million) - 2010 - 2020
  • Table 32 - Development of Kyivstar's revenue by sector (UAH million) - 2012 - 2020
  • Table 33 - Change in the number of Kyivstar's subscribers by sector- 2010 - 2020
  • Table 34 - Public payphones in service - 2014 - 2018
  • Table 35 - Fixed lines in service - 2010 - 2020
  • Table 36 -International bandwidth - 2010 - 2017
  • Table 37 - Historic - Telecom services revenue by sector (UAH billion) - 2006 -2009
  • Table 38 - Historic - Total mobile market revenue - 2006 -2009
  • Table 39 - Historic - Mobile subscribers and penetration rate - 1995 - 2009
  • Table 40 - Historic - Vodafone Ukraine Value Added Service revenue - 2007 - 2015
  • Table 41 - Historic - Vodafone Ukraine subscribers - 2004 - 2009
  • Table 42 - Historic - Vodafone Ukraine revenue - 2004 - 2009
  • Table 43 - Historic - Vodafone Ukraine Value Added Service revenue - 2007 - 2009
  • Table 44 - Historic - Vodafone Ukraine annualised ARPU - 2004 - 2009
  • Table 45 - Historic - Kyivstar mobile revenue ($) - 2007 - 2009
  • Table 46 - Historic - Kyivstar ARPU - 2007 - 2009
  • Table 47 - Historic - Kyivstar subscribers - 2007 - 2009
  • Table 48 - Historic - Lifecell subscribers - 2008 - 2009
  • Table 49 - Historic - Lifecell financial data ($) - 2007 - 2009
  • Table 50 - Historic - TriMob subscribers - 2010 - 2013
  • Table 51 - Historic - Internet users and penetration rate - 1999 - 2009
  • Table 52 - Historic - Fixed-line broadband subscribers and penetration rate - 2005 - 2009
  • Table 53 - Historic - Kyivstar FttB subscribers - 2010 - 2012
  • Table 54 - Historic - Kyivstar FttB revenue - 2011 - 2013
  • Table 55 - Historic - Datagroup subscribers by type - 2010 - 2012
  • Table 56 - Historic - Datagroup financial data (historic) - 2009 - 2012
  • Table 57 - Historic - Kyivstar financial data - 2007 - 2009
  • Table 58 - Historic - Kyivstar financial data by sector - 2007 - 2009
  • Table 59 - Historic - Kyivstar subscribers by sector - 2007 - 2009
  • Table 60 - Historic - Fixed lines in service - 1995 - 2009
  • Table 61 - Historic - International bandwidth - 2004 - 2009

List of Charts

  • Chart 1 - Europe Telecoms Maturity Index - Market Leaders (top tier)
  • Chart 2 - Europe Telecoms Maturity Index - Market Challengers (middle tier)
  • Chart 3 - Europe Telecoms Maturity Index - Market Emergents (bottom tier)
  • Chart 4 - Overall view - Telecoms Maturity Index vs GDP per Capita
  • Chart 5 - Europe - mobile subscriber penetration vs mobile broadband penetration
  • Chart 6 - Scandinavia and Baltics: mobile subscriber penetration vs mobile broadband penetration
  • Chart 7 - Northern Europe - mobile subscriber penetration vs mobile broadband penetration
  • Chart 8 - Southern Europe mobile subscriber penetration vs mobile broadband penetration
  • Chart 9 - Eastern Europe mobile subscriber penetration vs mobile broadband penetration
  • Chart 10 - Scandinavia and Baltics fixed and mobile broadband penetration
  • Chart 11 - Northern Europe fixed and mobile broadband penetration
  • Chart 12 - Southern Europe fixed and mobile broadband penetration
  • Chart 13 - Eastern Europe fixed and mobile broadband penetration
  • Chart 14 - Telecom revenue by sector- 2010 - 2020
  • Chart 15 - Growth in the number of mobile subscribers and penetration rate - 2010 - 2025
  • Chart 16 - Development of mobile market revenue - 2010 - 2020
  • Chart 17 - Growth in the number of active mobile broadband subscribers and penetration - 2010 - 2025
  • Chart 18 - Change in the number of Vodafone Ukraine's mobile subscribers - 2010 - 2020
  • Chart 19 - Development of Vodafone Ukraine's revenue (UAH billion) - 2010 - 2020
  • Chart 20 - Development of Vodafone Ukraine's capex - 2015 - 2020
  • Chart 21 - - Development of Vodafone Ukraine's annualised mobile ARPU - 2015 - 2020
  • Chart 22 - Development of Kyivstar's mobile revenue ($ million) - 2010 - 2020
  • Chart 23 - Development of Kyivstar's mobile revenue (UAH billion) - 2012 - 2020
  • Chart 24 - Change in the number of Kyivstar's mobile subscribers - 2010 - 2020
  • Chart 25 - Lifecell financial data (UAH million) - 2013 - 2020
  • Chart 26 - Internet access revenue - 2012 - 2020
  • Chart 27 - Growth in the number of internet users and penetration - 2010 - 2018
  • Chart 29 - Growth in the number of fixed-line broadband and penetration - 2010 - 2025
  • Chart 30 - Ukrtelecom financial data - 2008 - 2020
  • Chart 31 - Kyivstar financial data - 2010 - 2020
  • Chart 32 - Development of Kyivstar's revenue by sector ($ million) - 2010 - 2020
  • Chart 33 - Development of Kyivstar's financial data (UAH million) - 2010 - 2020
  • Chart 34 - Development of Kyivstar's revenue by sector (UAH million) - 2012 - 2020
  • Chart 35 - Fixed lines in service - 2010 - 2020

List of Exhibits

  • Exhibit 1 - Generalised Market Characteristics by Market Segment
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