Electric Commercial Vehicle Market Forecasts to 2028 - Global Analysis By Propulsion, Component, Vehicle Type, Battery Type, End User and By Geography

According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Electric Commercial Vehicle Market is accounted for $68.9 billion in 2022 and is expected to reach $480.1 billion by 2028 growing at a CAGR of 38.2% during the forecast period. Commercial electric vehicles are extremely popular as an environmentally beneficial substitute for gasoline-powered vehicles. In the business sector, these vehicles offer operating advantages and low maintenance costs. Several sectors, including logistics, mining, and construction, have embraced electric commercial vehicles to a large extent. The electric commercial vehicle is a car that can be propelled by one or more electric motors. These vehicles are made for surface and underwater watercraft, electric aeroplanes, and electric spacecraft, not just for use on roads and on trains.

According to the Delhi Government, an additional 300 electric buses will be added to the city's existing fleet of 100 e-buses. Furthermore, the state plans to buy 2,000 more e-buses over the next few years.

Market Dynamics:

Driver:

Increase in demand for fuel-efficient

Supporting sustainable growth requires the creation and utilisation of alternate fuel sources. The need for fuel-efficient buses has increased as a result of the rising cost of diesel and petrol. The depletion of fossil fuel reserves and rising corporate predisposition to maximise profit from these oil reserves are to blame for this. These elements boost the requirement for complex fuel-saving devices, which raises market demand.

Restraint:

Insufficient EV infrastructure

Low charging densities in most nations brought on by inadequate EV charging infrastructure will operate as a barrier. Pantographs and particular charging connections are also required for daily charging of electric buses and vehicles. Since usage is poor if a provider lacks a fleet, this is mostly caused by the low setup rate by third-party providers. The market's expansion is being constrained by several issues.

Opportunity:

Increase in government initiatives

Governments all across the world are putting pressure on manufacturers to reduce CO2 emissions from burning diesel fuel. Governments from both rich and developing nations boost purchases by providing tax breaks and other incentives on a global scale. Government programmes and initiatives have offered incentives for the production of electric battery vehicles, which is anticipated to propel industry expansion.

Threat:

High cost of investment

High production costs and complicated mechanics of modern systems may limit market expansion as the automobile industry transitions to electrification and incorporates cutting-edge technologies into vehicles. Costs associated with manufacturing vehicles are ultimately raised by the pricey lithium-ion batteries. Hence, it is anticipated that the high replacement and maintenance costs of these systems will hamper market expansion.

COVID-19 Impact:

The execution of the global lockdown and supply chain interruptions caused by the COVID-19 epidemic had a detrimental effect on the global market for electric commercial vehicles. The study also discovered that the industry is anticipated to expand in the upcoming years as a result of the government's provision of several subsidies and incentives to persuade bus makers to produce electric buses rather than gasoline-powered ones. During the epidemic, the supply chain was impeded along with logistics operations. Yet, because of the lifting of the restrictions, it is anticipated that the market for electric commercial vehicles will pick up speed in the post-pandemic environment.

The battery electric vehicle (BEV) segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period

The battery electric vehicle (BEV) segment is estimated to have a lucrative growth, due to the maintenance costs for electric motors are much lower because they have far fewer moving parts than conventional motors and are far more efficient. Further reducing the operating costs for buses is the fact that the energy used to power the vehicles is less expensive than diesel fuel. The overall costs are anticipated to decline because to improvements in battery technology and a steady decline in battery prices.

The plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV) segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period

The plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV) segment is anticipated to witness the fastest CAGR growth during the forecast period, due to rising demand because of its enhanced electricity storage capacity. Both an internal combustion engine and an electric motor were used to accelerate these vehicles. This type of vehicle's battery has a large capacity for energy storage, which reduces fuel consumption under normal driving conditions. This segment is anticipated to increase as a result of each of these factors.

Region with Largest share:

Asia Pacific is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period owing to large sales volumes for electric commercial vehicles, especially electric buses. Increasing demand for electric buses, laws in favour of electric commercial vehicles, and a rapidly growing logistics industry are projected to boost market expansion. Production in the area is rising as a result of rising demand for fuel-efficient vehicles and government support for electric commercial vehicle programmes.

Region with highest CAGR:

North America is projected to have the highest CAGR over the forecast period, owing to innovations, significant research & development, and technological progress. The market is expanding as a result of rising demand for buses that are low-emission, high-performance, and fuel-efficient as well as falling prices for electric vehicle batteries. Additionally, it is anticipated that increasing consumer demand and public awareness of fossil fuel pollution would boost market revenue for this market.

Key players in the market:

Some of the key players profiled in the Electric Commercial Vehicle Market include: Daimler AG, AB Volvo, SAIC Motor Corporation Limited, AUDI AG, Tesla, Inc., Nikola Corporation, Proterra, Inc., General Motors, Workhorse Group Incorporated, Rivian Automotive, Inc., Isuzu Motors Ltd., Kia Motors Corporation, Hino Motors Ltd., Ford Motor Company, Groupe Renault, Hyundai Motor Company, Volkswagen AG, Continental AG, Toyota Motor Corporation and Honda Motor Co.,Ltd.

Key Developments:

In January 2022, AB Volvo launched the enhanced version of Volvo VNR Electric with up to 85% increased range and faster charging.

In December 2021, BYD launched an electric van model ETP3 with a 50.3 kWh NMC battery and a range of 269 km. The new electric van is 4.46-meter-long and has a payload capacity of 720 kg.

Propulsions Covered:

• Fuel Cell Electric Vehicle (FCEV)
• Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PHEV)
• Battery Electric Vehicle (BEV)
• Other Propulsions

Components Covered:

• Power Control Unit
• Reducer
• Air Compressor
• Power Conditioner
• Humidifier
• Battery Management System
• Fuel Processor
• On-Board Charge
• Fuel Stack
• Motor
• Battery Cells & Packs
• Other Components

Vehicle Types Covered:

• Medium duty trucks
• Buses
• Heavy duty trucks
• Light duty trucks
• Other Vehicle Types

Battery Types Covered:

• Lithium-iron-phosphate (LFP)
• Nickel-manganese-cobalt (NMC)
• Solid-state battery
• Other Battery Types

End Users Covered:

• Last Mile Delivery
• Long Haul Transportation
• Refuse Services
• Distribution
• Field Services
• Other End Users

Regions Covered:

• North America
  • US
  • Canada
  • Mexico
• Europe
  • Germany
  • UK
  • Italy
  • France
  • Spain
  • Rest of Europe
• Asia Pacific
  • Japan
  • China
  • India
  • Australia
  • New Zealand
  • South Korea
  • Rest of Asia Pacific
• South America
  • Argentina
  • Brazil
  • Chile
  • Rest of South America
• Middle East & Africa
  • Saudi Arabia
  • UAE
  • Qatar
  • South Africa
  • Rest of Middle East & Africa

What our report offers:

• Market share assessments for the regional and country-level segments
• Strategic recommendations for the new entrants
• Covers Market data for the years 2020, 2021, 2022, 2025, and 2028
• Market Trends (Drivers, Constraints, Opportunities, Threats, Challenges, Investment Opportunities, and recommendations)
• Strategic recommendations in key business segments based on the market estimations
• Competitive landscaping mapping the key common trends
• Company profiling with detailed strategies, financials, and recent developments
• Supply chain trends mapping the latest technological advancements

Free Customization Offerings:

All the customers of this report will be entitled to receive one of the following free customization options:

• Company Profiling
  • Comprehensive profiling of additional market players (up to 3)
  • SWOT Analysis of key players (up to 3)
• Regional Segmentation
  • Market estimations, Forecasts and CAGR of any prominent country as per the client's interest (Note: Depends on feasibility check)
• Competitive Benchmarking
  • Benchmarking of key players based on product portfolio, geographical presence, and strategic alliances