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PUBLISHER: Analysys Mason | PRODUCT CODE: 1267410

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PUBLISHER: Analysys Mason | PRODUCT CODE: 1267410

Sub-Saharan Africa Telecoms Market: Trends and Forecasts 2022-2027

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PAGES: 55 Slides
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"Revenue from mobile handset and broadband will continue to contribute the most to total telecoms revenue - it will account for 52% of the total revenue in 2027."

Operators' investments in network expansions and LTE deployments will lead to an increase in mobile services take-up and revenue in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). The fixed broadband segment will also develop during the forecast period, albeit from a much smaller base.

This report and associated data annex provide:

  • a 5-year forecast of around 200 mobile and fixed KPIs for SSA, as a whole and for 10 key countries
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile and fixed service, and for key countries
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, in order to highlight similarities and differences by means of a cross-country comparison
  • a summary of results and key implications for mobile and fixed operators.

Geographical coverage

Region modelled

  • Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA)

Countries modelled individually

  • Cameroon
  • Côte d'Ivoire
  • Ghana
  • Kenya
  • Nigeria
  • Rwanda
  • South Africa
  • Tanzania
  • Uganda
  • Zambia

Key performance indicators:

Connections

Mobile:

  • total (handset plus mobile broadband, excluding IoT), total including IoT, business
  • handset: smartphone, basic, smartphone share of handsets
  • mobile broadband
  • total, handset and broadband: 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)
  • total and handset: prepaid, contract and prepaid share
  • IoT
  • penetration: total, prepaid, contract, handset, smartphone, mobile broadband, IoT

Fixed:

  • voice: narrowband, VoBB, dial-up
  • broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies, total business connections
  • penetration: voice, broadband (business sites and households)

Pay TV

  • operator, traditional

Traffic

  • Outgoing minutes (fixed and mobile), MoU
  • Cellular data and messaging traffic

Network-independent metrics

  • GDP
  • Population
  • Households
  • Business sites
  • Exchange rates

Service revenue

Mobile:

  • total
  • share of GDP
  • per capita per month
  • residential, business
  • prepaid, contract, prepaid share
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)

Fixed:

  • total (retail plus wholesale)
  • share of GDP
  • per capita per month

Retail revenue

Mobile:

  • total
  • share of GDP
  • per capita per month
  • per GB
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)
  • voice, voice per minute
  • data, data per GB
  • handset: total, voice, messaging, data, prepaid, contract, prepaid share
  • mobile broadband
  • IoT

Fixed:

  • total
  • share of GDP
  • per capita per month
  • voice
  • dedicated connections
  • broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies

ICT services

Pay TV

  • operator, traditional

Wholesale revenue

  • Mobile
  • Fixed

ASPU

Mobile:

  • total
  • voice
  • data
  • mobile broadband
  • IoT
  • handset: total, prepaid, contract, voice, messaging, data

Fixed:

  • voice
  • broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies

ARPU

Mobile:

  • total
  • prepaid, contract
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G

Table of Contents

  • Executive summary
  • Regional forecasts and cross-country comparison
  • Individual country forecasts
  • Methodology
  • About the authors and Analysys Mason
Have a question?
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Jeroen Van Heghe

Manager - EMEA

+32-2-535-7543

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Christine Sirois

Manager - Americas

+1-860-674-8796

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