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PUBLISHER: Analysys Mason | PRODUCT CODE: 1358257

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PUBLISHER: Analysys Mason | PRODUCT CODE: 1358257

Middle East and North Africa Telecoms Market: Trends and Forecasts 2023-2028

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PAGES: 60 Slides
DELIVERY TIME: 1-2 business days
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"The majority of telecoms service revenue in MENA will come from the mobile segment, but the main drivers behind telecoms revenue growth will be the high demand for fast fixed broadband access."

The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region will remain mobile-centric in the forecast period, however the mobile segment contribution to the overall sector revenue will decline. The service revenue generated by the mobile segment will account for 59% of the total telecoms revenue in the region, down from 64% in 2022.

This report and associated data annex provide:

  • a 5-year forecast of around 200 mobile and fixed KPIs for MENA as a whole and for 12 key countries
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile and fixed service, and for key countries
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, in order to highlight similarities and differences by means of a cross-country comparison
  • a summary of results and key implications for mobile and fixed operators.

Geographical coverage:

Region modelledCountries modelled individually
  • Middle East and North Africa (MENA)
  • Algeria
  • Egypt
  • Iran
  • Iraq
  • Israel
  • Kuwait
  • Morocco
  • Oman
  • Qatar
  • Saudi Arabia
  • Tunisia
  • United Arab Emirates (UAE)

Key performance indicators:

Connections

Mobile:

  • total (handset plus mobile broadband, excluding IoT), total including IoT, business
  • handset: smartphone, basic, smartphone share of handsets
  • mobile broadband
  • total, handset and broadband: 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)
  • total and handset: prepaid, contract and prepaid share
  • IoT
  • penetration: total, prepaid, contract, handset, smartphone, mobile broadband, IoT

Fixed:

  • voice: narrowband, VoBB, dial-up
  • broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies, total business connections
  • penetration: voice, broadband (business sites and households)

Pay TV

  • operator, traditional

Traffic

  • Outgoing minutes (fixed and mobile), MoU
  • Cellular data and messaging traffic

Network-independent metrics

  • GDP
  • Population
  • Households
  • Business sites
  • Exchange rates

Service revenue

Mobile:

  • total
  • share of GDP
  • per capita per month
  • prepaid, contract, prepaid share
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)

Fixed:

  • total (retail plus wholesale)
  • share of GDP
  • per capita per month

Retail revenue

Mobile:

  • total
  • share of GDP
  • per capita per month
  • per GB
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)
  • voice, voice per minute
  • data, data per GB
  • handset: total, voice, messaging, data, prepaid, contract, prepaid share
  • mobile broadband
  • IoT

Fixed:

  • total
  • share of GDP
  • per capita per month
  • voice
  • dedicated connections
  • broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies

ICT services

Pay TV

  • operator, traditional

Wholesale revenue

  • Mobile
  • Fixed

ASPU

Mobile:

  • total
  • voice
  • data
  • mobile broadband
  • IoT
  • handset: total, prepaid, contract, voice, messaging, data

Fixed:

  • voice
  • broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies

ARPU

Mobile:

  • total
  • prepaid, contract
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G

Table of Contents

  • Executive summary
  • Regional forecasts and cross-country comparison
  • Individual country forecasts
  • Methodology
  • About the authors and Analysys Mason
Have a question?
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Jeroen Van Heghe

Manager - EMEA

+32-2-535-7543

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Christine Sirois

Manager - Americas

+1-860-674-8796

Questions? Please give us a call or visit the contact form.
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