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PUBLISHER: Analysys Mason | PRODUCT CODE: 1423869

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PUBLISHER: Analysys Mason | PRODUCT CODE: 1423869

Western Europe Telecoms Market: Trends and Forecasts 2023-2028

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PAGES: 74 Slides
DELIVERY TIME: 1-2 business days
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"Total telecoms service revenue for Western Europe is projected to increase at a CAGR of 1.7% between 2023 and 2028, but operators will face challenges with their revenue keeping pace with inflation."

This report focuses on operators' core telecoms services in Western Europe (WE). It includes a discussion of value-added services (VAS), IoT, pay-TV and operator business services. This report also includes metrics related to equipment revenue, and a review of 5G developments and new business models.

This report and the associated data annex provide:

  • a 5-year forecast of over 360 mobile and fixed KPIs for Western Europe, as a whole and for 16 key countries
  • an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile and fixed service, and for key countries
  • an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, in order to highlight similarities and differences by means of a cross-country comparison
  • a summary of results and key implications for mobile and fixed operators.

Geographical coverage

Region modelled

  • Western Eastern Europe (WE)

Countries modelled individually

  • Austria
  • Belgium
  • Denmark
  • Finland
  • France
  • Germany
  • Greece
  • Ireland
  • Italy
  • Netherlands
  • Norway
  • Portugal
  • Spain
  • Sweden
  • Switzerland
  • UK

Key performance indicators:

Connections

Mobile:

  • total (handset plus mobile broadband, excluding IoT), total including IoT
  • handset: smartphone, basic, smartphone share of handsets
  • mobile broadband
  • total, handset and broadband: 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)
  • business, residential
  • total and handset: prepaid, contract and prepaid share
  • IoT
  • penetration: total, prepaid, contract, handset, smartphone, mobile broadband, IoT

Fixed:

  • voice: narrowband, VoBB, dial-up
  • broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies, gigabit-capable connections
  • business, residential
  • dedicated connections
  • penetration (business sites and households): voice, broadband (ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, other technologies)

Pay TV

  • operator, traditional
  • business, residential

Traffic

  • Outgoing minutes (fixed and mobile), MoU
  • Cellular data and messaging traffic

Network-independent metrics

  • GDP
  • Population
  • Households
  • Business sites
  • Exchange rates

Service revenue

Mobile:

  • total
  • share of GDP
  • per capita per month
  • residential, business
  • prepaid, contract, prepaid share
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)

Fixed:

  • total (retail plus wholesale)
  • share of GDP
  • per capita per month

Retail revenue

Mobile:

  • total
  • share of GDP
  • per capita per month
  • business, residential
  • per GB
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)
  • voice, voice per minute
  • data, data per GB
  • handset: total, voice, messaging, data, prepaid, contract, prepaid share
  • mobile broadband
  • IoT connectivity

Fixed:

  • total
  • share of GDP
  • per capita per month
  • business, residential
  • voice: narrowband, VoBB
  • dedicated connections
  • broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies, as a share of fixed retail revenue

ICT services

Pay TV

  • operator, traditional
  • business, residential

Wholesale revenue

  • Mobile
  • Fixed

ASPU

Mobile:

  • total
  • voice
  • data
  • mobile broadband
  • IoT
  • handset: total, prepaid, contract, voice, messaging, data
  • business, residential

Fixed:

  • voice
  • broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies
  • business, residential

ARPU

Mobile:

  • total
  • prepaid, contract
  • business, residential
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G

Table of Contents

  • Executive summary
  • Regional forecasts and cross-country comparison
  • Individual country forecasts
  • Methodology
  • About the author and Analysys Mason
Have a question?
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Jeroen Van Heghe

Manager - EMEA

+32-2-535-7543

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Christine Sirois

Manager - Americas

+1-860-674-8796

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