Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Size Study & Forecast, by Fuel Type, Technology, Aircraft Type, Platform, and Regional Forecasts 2025-2035

Description

The Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Market is valued at approximately USD 1.04 billion in 2024 and is projected to soar at a remarkable CAGR of 57.50% during the forecast period from 2025 to 2035. Sustainable Aviation Fuel has swiftly emerged as the cornerstone of the aviation industry's decarbonization blueprint, representing a transformative shift away from fossil-derived kerosene towards renewable and low-carbon alternatives. Derived from a variety of sources including bio-based feedstocks, hydrogen, and synthetic fuels, SAF offers up to 80% fewer carbon emissions across its lifecycle, while maintaining full compatibility with existing aircraft and fueling infrastructure. Governments, airline alliances, and industry coalitions across the globe have mobilized ambitious net-zero strategies, catalyzing demand for these next-gen fuels.

The exponential rise in demand for commercial and freight aviation-coupled with escalating environmental regulations and carbon pricing mechanisms-is compelling aircraft operators and fuel suppliers to aggressively ramp up SAF adoption. Technological innovations in fuel production processes such as Fischer-Tropsch synthesis, HEFA (Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids), and alcohol-to-jet (ATJ) pathways are now at the forefront of enabling large-scale deployment. Meanwhile, rising public and institutional pressure on aviation sustainability metrics has pushed OEMs and fuel producers to fast-track R&D, forge cross-border partnerships, and scale up production through dedicated SAF refineries and integrated supply chains. Notably, hydrogen fuel is gaining traction as an alternative propulsion source for next-generation aircraft, signaling a future-forward extension of the SAF landscape.

Geographically, North America is anticipated to lead the SAF market, driven by aggressive policy frameworks such as the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act, California's Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS), and substantial investments from major airlines including United, Delta, and Alaska Airlines. Europe closely follows, propelled by mandates like the ReFuelEU Aviation initiative and widespread governmental backing for alternative fuels under the EU Green Deal. Simultaneously, the Asia Pacific region is poised for explosive growth due to emerging SAF projects in Japan, Singapore, and Australia, combined with rising aviation traffic and burgeoning aerospace investments. Latin America and the Middle East are also demonstrating strong interest, particularly in biofuel-rich nations like Brazil and the UAE.

Major market players included in this report are:

Neste Oyj
World Energy LLC
Shell plc
TotalEnergies SE
Gevo Inc.
Velocys plc
LanzaJet Inc.
BP p.l.c.
Honeywell International Inc.
ExxonMobil Corporation
Fulcrum BioEnergy Inc.
Aemetis, Inc.
Preem AB
SkyNRG
Red Rock Biofuels

Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Report Scope:

Historical Data - 2023, 2024
Base Year for Estimation - 2024
Forecast period - 2025-2035
Report Coverage - Revenue forecast, Company Ranking, Competitive Landscape, Growth factors, and Trends
Regional Scope - North America; Europe; Asia Pacific; Latin America; Middle East & Africa
Customization Scope - Free report customization (equivalent up to 8 analysts' working hours) with purchase. Addition or alteration to country, regional & segment scope*

The objective of the study is to define market sizes of different segments & countries in recent years and to forecast the values for the coming years. The report is designed to incorporate both qualitative and quantitative aspects of the industry within the countries involved in the study. The report also provides detailed information about crucial aspects, such as driving factors and challenges, which will define the future growth of the market. Additionally, it incorporates potential opportunities in micro-markets for stakeholders to invest, along with a detailed analysis of the competitive landscape and product offerings of key players. The detailed segments and sub-segments of the market are explained below:

By Fuel Type:

Biofuel
Hydrogen Fuel

By Technology:

Fischer-Tropsch
HEFA-SPK (Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene)
HFS-SIP (Hydroprocessed Fermented Sugars to Synthetic Iso-Paraffins)
Alcohol-to-Jet (ATJ)
Power-to-Liquid (PtL)
Others

By Aircraft Type:

Commercial Aviation
Military Aviation
Business & General Aviation
Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs)

By Platform:

Fixed Wing
Rotary Wing

By Region:

North America
U.S.
Canada
Europe
UK
Germany
France
Spain
Italy
Rest of Europe
Asia Pacific
China
India
Japan
Australia
South Korea
Rest of Asia Pacific
Latin America
Brazil
Mexico
Middle East & Africa
UAE
Saudi Arabia
South Africa
Rest of Middle East & Africa

Key Takeaways:

Market Estimates & Forecast for 10 years from 2025 to 2035.
Annualized revenues and regional level analysis for each market segment.
Detailed analysis of geographical landscape with Country level analysis of major regions.
Competitive landscape with information on major players in the market.
Analysis of key business strategies and recommendations on future market approach.
Analysis of competitive structure of the market.
Demand side and supply side analysis of the market.

Chapter 1. Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Report Scope & Methodology

1.1. Research Objective
1.2. Research Methodology
- 1.2.1. Forecast Model
- 1.2.2. Desk Research
- 1.2.3. Top-Down and Bottom-Up Approach
1.3. Research Attributes
1.4. Scope of the Study
- 1.4.1. Market Definition
- 1.4.2. Market Segmentation
1.5. Research Assumption
- 1.5.1. Inclusion & Exclusion
- 1.5.2. Limitations
- 1.5.3. Years Considered for the Study

Chapter 2. Executive Summary

2.1. CEO/CXO Standpoint
2.2. Strategic Insights
2.3. ESG Analysis
2.4. Key Findings

Chapter 3. Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Forces Analysis

3.1. Market Forces Shaping the Global SAF Market (2024-2035)
3.2. Drivers
- 3.2.1. Stringent Emissions Regulations and Carbon Pricing
- 3.2.2. Surge in Air Traffic and Cargo Demand
3.3. Restraints
- 3.3.1. High Production and Feedstock Costs
- 3.3.2. Limited Refining Capacity and Supply-Chain Bottlenecks
3.4. Opportunities
- 3.4.1. Technological Advancements in Power-to-Liquid and Hydrogen Pathways
- 3.4.2. Policy Incentives and Mandates (e.g., ReFuelEU, LCFS)

Chapter 4. Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Industry Analysis

4.1. Porter's Five Forces Model
- 4.1.1. Bargaining Power of Buyers
- 4.1.2. Bargaining Power of Suppliers
- 4.1.3. Threat of New Entrants
- 4.1.4. Threat of Substitutes
- 4.1.5. Industry Rivalry
4.2. Porter's Five Forces Forecast Model (2024-2035)
4.3. PESTEL Analysis
- 4.3.1. Political
- 4.3.2. Economic
- 4.3.3. Social
- 4.3.4. Technological
- 4.3.5. Environmental
- 4.3.6. Legal
4.4. Top Investment Opportunities
4.5. Top Winning Strategies (2025)
4.6. Market Share Analysis (2024-2025)
4.7. Global Pricing Analysis and Trends 2025
4.8. Analyst Recommendations & Conclusion

Chapter 5. Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Size & Forecasts by Fuel Type, Technology & Aircraft Type 2025-2035

5.1. Market Overview
5.2. SAF Market Performance - Potential Analysis (2025)
5.3. By Fuel Type
- 5.3.1. Biofuel
- 5.3.2. Hydrogen Fuel
5.4. By Technology
- 5.4.1. Fischer-Tropsch
- 5.4.2. HEFA-SPK
- 5.4.3. HFS-SIP
- 5.4.4. Alcohol-to-Jet (ATJ)
- 5.4.5. Power-to-Liquid (PtL)
- 5.4.6. Others
5.5. By Aircraft Type
- 5.5.1. Commercial Aviation
- 5.5.2. Military Aviation
- 5.5.3. Business & General Aviation
- 5.5.4. UAVs

Chapter 6. Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Size & Forecasts by Platform 2025-2035

6.1. Market Overview
6.2. SAF Market Performance - Potential Analysis (2025)
6.3. By Platform
- 6.3.1. Fixed Wing
- 6.3.2. Rotary Wing

Chapter 7. Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Size & Forecasts by Region 2025-2035

7.1. SAF Market, Regional Snapshot
7.2. Top Leading & Emerging Countries
7.3. North America SAF Market
- 7.3.1. U.S. SAF Market
  - 7.3.1.1. Fuel Type Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
  - 7.3.1.2. Technology Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
- 7.3.2. Canada SAF Market
  - 7.3.2.1. Fuel Type Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
  - 7.3.2.2. Technology Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
7.4. Europe SAF Market
- 7.4.1. UK SAF Market
  - 7.4.1.1. Fuel Type Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
  - 7.4.1.2. Technology Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
- 7.4.2. Germany SAF Market
  - 7.4.2.1. Fuel Type Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
  - 7.4.2.2. Technology Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
- 7.4.3. France SAF Market
  - 7.4.3.1. Fuel Type Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
  - 7.4.3.2. Technology Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
- 7.4.4. Spain SAF Market
  - 7.4.4.1. Fuel Type Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
  - 7.4.4.2. Technology Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
- 7.4.5. Italy SAF Market
  - 7.4.5.1. Fuel Type Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
  - 7.4.5.2. Technology Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
- 7.4.6. Rest of Europe SAF Market
  - 7.4.6.1. Fuel Type Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
  - 7.4.6.2. Technology Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
7.5. Asia Pacific SAF Market
- 7.5.1. China SAF Market
  - 7.5.1.1. Fuel Type Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
  - 7.5.1.2. Technology Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
- 7.5.2. India SAF Market
  - 7.5.2.1. Fuel Type Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
  - 7.5.2.2. Technology Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
- 7.5.3. Japan SAF Market
  - 7.5.3.1. Fuel Type Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
  - 7.5.3.2. Technology Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
- 7.5.4. Australia SAF Market
  - 7.5.4.1. Fuel Type Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
  - 7.5.4.2. Technology Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
- 7.5.5. South Korea SAF Market
  - 7.5.5.1. Fuel Type Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
  - 7.5.5.2. Technology Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
- 7.5.6. Rest of Asia Pacific SAF Market
  - 7.5.6.1. Fuel Type Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
  - 7.5.6.2. Technology Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
7.6. Latin America SAF Market
- 7.6.1. Brazil SAF Market
  - 7.6.1.1. Fuel Type Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
  - 7.6.1.2. Technology Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
- 7.6.2. Mexico SAF Market
  - 7.6.2.1. Fuel Type Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
  - 7.6.2.2. Technology Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
7.7. Middle East & Africa SAF Market
- 7.7.1. UAE SAF Market
  - 7.7.1.1. Fuel Type Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
  - 7.7.1.2. Technology Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
- 7.7.2. Saudi Arabia SAF Market
  - 7.7.2.1. Fuel Type Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
  - 7.7.2.2. Technology Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
- 7.7.3. South Africa SAF Market
  - 7.7.3.1. Fuel Type Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035
  - 7.7.3.2. Technology Breakdown & Forecasts, 2025-2035

Chapter 8. Competitive Intelligence

8.1. Top Market Strategies
8.2. Neste Oyj
- 8.2.1. Company Overview
- 8.2.2. Key Executives
- 8.2.3. Company Snapshot
- 8.2.4. Financial Performance (Subject to Data Availability)
- 8.2.5. Product/Services Port
- 8.2.6. Recent Development
- 8.2.7. Market Strategies
- 8.2.8. SWOT Analysis
8.3. World Energy LLC
8.4. Shell plc
8.5. TotalEnergies SE
8.6. Gevo Inc.
8.7. Velocys plc
8.8. LanzaJet Inc.
8.9. BP p.l.c.
8.10. Honeywell International Inc.
8.11. ExxonMobil Corporation
8.12. Fulcrum BioEnergy Inc.
8.13. Aemetis, Inc.
8.14. Preem AB
8.15. SkyNRG
8.16. Red Rock Biofuels