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Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast Update, 2018-2022: December 2018

Published by IDC Product code 341116
Published Content info 25 Pages
Delivery time: 1-2 business days
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Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast Update, 2018-2022: December 2018
Published: December 19, 2018 Content info: 25 Pages

This IDC study presents the five-year forecast for mobile phone shipments worldwide by device type. The worldwide mobile phone market will reach a total of 1,897.3 million unit shipments in 2018, down 4.1% from the 1,977.6 million units shipped in 2017. From there, total mobile phone shipments will reach 1,828.3 million units worldwide by 2022, resulting in a CAGR of -1.6% from 2017 to 2022."Even though 2018 will bring a larger decrease than previously forecast, we are still optimistic that 2019 will bring nearly 3% growth to the smartphone market at a worldwide level," said Anthony Scarsella, research manager with IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker. "The 2.6% smartphone growth in 2019 will be driven by the appetite for both high-end and affordable large-screened devices, the arrival of 5G, and double-digit growth in a handful of emerging markets such as India, Vietnam, and Nigeria. Smartphones with 6-7in. screens will be the biggest driver as they will grow by 76.4% in 2019 while making up 42.3% of the total volume. By 2022, the last year of our forecast period, the 6-7in. screen size band will reach 920.2 million units, making up 58.5% of all smartphones shipped in 2022."

Table of Contents
Product Code: US44522318

IDC Market Forecast Figure

Executive Summary

Advice for Technology Suppliers

  • The Messaging Around 5G
  • Affordable Handsets Are Still Key

Market Forecast

  • Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast, 2017-2022
    • Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by Region
    • Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by Device Type
      • Feature Phones
      • Smartphones
    • Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by Air Interface and Air Interface Group
      • CDMA
      • GSM
      • UMTS/WCDMA
      • 4G
      • 5G
    • Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by ASP

Market Context

  • Drivers and Inhibitors
    • Drivers
      • Economy
      • Larger Screen Sizes
      • 5G Handsets
    • Inhibitors
      • Exchange Rates
      • Replacement Rates
  • Significant Market Developments
    • The More Cameras the Merrier
  • Changes from Prior Forecast

Market Definition

  • Feature Phone
  • Smartphone


  • Primary Data Sources
  • Secondary Sources
  • IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker

Related Research

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