PUBLISHER: Mordor Intelligence | PRODUCT CODE: 1848330
PUBLISHER: Mordor Intelligence | PRODUCT CODE: 1848330
The anti-malarial drugs market size reached USD 1.08 billion in 2025 and is forecast to reach USD 1.35 billion by 2030 at a 4.53% CAGR.

This progression shows a shift from volume-led growth to value-driven innovation as companies introduce next-generation compounds that fight emerging resistance while preserving affordability for endemic countries. Artemisinin resistance spreading through East Africa is forcing portfolio diversification, spurring research into spiroindolone and endoperoxide analogues. Plasmodium falciparum continues to dominate clinical demand, yet improved diagnostics are revealing a larger burden from P. knowlesi. Geographic revenue still favors high-income regions where prophylaxis and R&D spending drive premium pricing. Inside endemic areas, digital procurement platforms and radical cure therapies are reshaping supply chains and treatment choices.
Persistent transmission in tropical climates sustains baseline demand even when purchasing power is low. Sub-Saharan Africa recorded 597,000 malaria deaths in 2023, equal to 94% of the global total, yet contributed a smaller share of revenue because pricing relies on donor procurement. Ethiopia logged 7.3 million cases and 1,157 deaths in 2024 during supply chain disruptions that limited medicine availability. Urban invasion by Anopheles stephensi is altering transmission patterns, requiring new therapeutic strategies that go beyond rural programs. This concentrated burden assures continuous consumption in endemic countries, but revenue growth remains capped by affordability frameworks.
National plans such as Indonesia's 2030 elimination roadmap and India's 2023-27 strategic plan translate policy ambition into predictable drug tenders. Cross-border surveillance along India-Bhutan and India-Nepal corridors aggregates procurement volumes and lowers unit costs. Yet WHO cautions that projected aid reductions in 2025 could affect services across 64 endemic countries, disrupting supply chains and destabilizing the anti-malarial drugs market. Funding swings therefore create cyclic demand, benefiting suppliers able to flex production in line with donor cycles.
Kelch-13 469Y mutations now identified in Uganda, Tanzania, Rwanda, and the Democratic Republic of Congo confirm partial artemisinin resistance beyond its Southeast Asian origin. Rising resistance shortens product lifecycles, compels costly reformulation, and may sideline smaller producers unable to fund R&D. WHO's new recommendation for multiple first-line therapies raises the logistical burden on health systems that must stock several options simultaneously.
Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.
Artemisinin derivatives controlled 46.43% of anti-malarial drugs market share in 2024, anchored by global treatment guidelines. Spiroindolones, represented by Novartis's cipargamin, are advancing at a 6.56% CAGR because they retain potency against artemisinin-resistant strains. Antifolates and aryl amino-alcohols keep niche relevance in combinations and prevention. Endoperoxide analogues are in early pipelines that aim to mimic peroxide-based activity without cross-resistance.
The transition indicates strategic hedging against single-mechanism failure. Other drug types such as FIKK kinase inhibitors and chromatin remodelers are under exploration, offering new pathways to disrupt parasite biology [SCiencedaily.com]. Regulatory lead times remain long, so larger firms with deeper capital are best placed to carry these assets through approval.
Plasmodium falciparum accounted for 63.12% of the anti-malarial drugs market size in 2024. Improved PCR diagnostics are uncovering a faster rise in P. knowlesi, which now grows at a 6.99% CAGR, particularly in Malaysia and parts of Indonesia where human-macaque interface drives zoonotic spillover. Plasmodium vivax retains high demand because its liver hypnozoites necessitate radical cure regimens.
Species-tailored therapies are beginning to penetrate. Brazil's and Thailand's introduction of single-dose radical cure for vivax signals movement toward precision medicine in malaria care. Broader adoption hinges on diagnostic accuracy in primary care settings.
The Anti-Malarial Drugs Market Report is Segmented by Drug Class (Aryl Amino-Alcohol Compounds, and More), Malaria Type (Plasmodium Falciparum, and More), Mechanism of Action (Treatment for Malaria, Prevention/Chemoprophylaxis, and Radical Cure), and Geography (North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Middle East & Africa, South America). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).
North America's dominant 39.56% share of the anti-malarial drugs market in 2024 came from premium prophylaxis sales to travelers, the military, and research institutions. Imported cases totaled 1,772 in 2024, confirming that non-endemic settings still require reliable treatments. Regulatory leadership by the FDA further anchors R&D investments. Yet reliance on discretionary travel exposes the segment to economic downturns that can quickly dampen pharmacy demand.
Asia-Pacific is forecast to grow at 5.43% CAGR through 2030 as expanding middle-income populations invest in healthcare infrastructure and governments boost case detection. The anti-malarial drugs market size here rises in tandem with integrated surveillance and elimination plans. Funding shortfalls of USD 478 million identified by the Global Fund illustrate ongoing dependency on blended finance. Resistance to artemisinin in the Greater Mekong Subregion drives interest in spiroindolones and triple ACTs. P. vivax dominance ensures radical cure uptake once G6PD testing barriers ease.
Europe, Middle East & Africa, and South America remain heterogeneous. European demand orbits around traveler prophylaxis and basic research, contributing stable but low-growth revenue. Sub-Saharan Africa's disease load secures steady procurement yet caps pricing. African vaccine deployments will coexist with drugs for breakthrough and mixed infections, potentially increasing combination therapy use. South America's Amazon basin is nearing elimination, shifting drug procurement toward follow-up care and imported case management.