PUBLISHER: Mordor Intelligence | PRODUCT CODE: 2116506
PUBLISHER: Mordor Intelligence | PRODUCT CODE: 2116506
According to Mordor Intelligence, the pharmacy benefit management market size is expected to grow from USD 657.51 billion in 2025 to USD 692.47 billion in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 897.16 billion by 2031 at 5.32% CAGR over 2026-2031.

This report is Segmented by Service (Specialty Pharmacy Services, Drug Formulary Management, and More), Business Model (Government Health Programs, Employer-Sponsored Programs, and More), End User (PBM Organizations (In-House & External), Mail-Order Pharmacies, and More), and Geography (North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and More). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).
Specialty medicines accounted for 54% of hospital drug spend in 2025, pressuring payers to adopt PBM models that integrate clinical expertise with utilization controls. The popularity of GLP-1 agonists for diabetes and obesity may lift that therapeutic class toward USD 100 billion within five years, requiring tighter formulary rules and step-therapy edits. Oncology pipelines and orphan drugs compound complexity, while multimorbidity drives polypharmacy across age cohorts. PBMs deploying advanced analytics can coordinate regimens, flag duplication, and negotiate indication-based contracting that balances outcomes with affordability. These pressures support sustained demand for Pharmacy Benefit Management market solutions through 2030.
Medicare Part D is forecast to reach 36% of U.S. drug spending by 2032, up from 2024 levels. The Inflation Reduction Act caps out-of-pocket Part D costs at USD 2,000 for 18.7 million members beginning in 2025. Commercial employers are simultaneously re-bidding contracts, with 52% exploring new PBM partners within three years. As coverage pools widen, PBMs that master disparate formulary rules, vaccine mandates, and reporting obligations gain scale advantages. Ongoing enrollment growth in India's Ayushman Bharat and China's urban employee insurance adds regional tailwinds, enhancing the Pharmacy Benefit Management market outlook.
State legislatures introduced 34 targeted PBM bills for the 2025 session, covering spread pricing bans and audit rights. The FTC's January 2025 interim report claimed the Big Three captured USD 7.3 billion in excess specialty generic markups between 2017 and 2022. Federal proposals, such as the Patients Before Monopolies Act, would separate PBMs from insurer and pharmacy affiliates, raising structural risk for vertically integrated firms. Compliance costs and contract renegotiations may trim margins and slow acquisition pipelines, tempering Pharmacy Benefit Management market expansion in the near term.
Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.
Specialty Pharmacy Services captured 33.42% of 2025 revenue as complex biologics proliferated in oncology and rare-disease care. Unified care teams, cold-chain logistics, and adherence coaching define this high-touch service line, anchoring the Pharmacy Benefit Management market size leadership among service categories. Claims Processing & Adjudication is projected to grow at 7.12% CAGR to 2031, powered by AI-enabled claim engines that curtail error rates and flag wasteful spending. Capital Rx's February 2025 launch of Judi Health(TM) exemplifies the shift to integrated, cloud-native platforms that reconcile medical and pharmacy claims in real time.
Drug Formulary Management continues to pivot from price-tier grids to outcome-centric scorecards that weight real-world evidence and patient-reported metrics. Benefit Plan Design & Consultation helps employers evaluate copay maximizer programs and GLP-1 coverage carve-outs as that class gains weight-management indications. Together, these advisory services supplement transaction-based revenue and support wider adoption of transparent pass-through arrangements across the Pharmacy Benefit Management market.
North America led with 45.88% of 2025 revenue, anchored by U.S. drug-spend intensity and deep PBM penetration. The region's oligopolistic PBM triad prompts policy activism, evident in 170 state bills introduced in 2024 to curb spread pricing and clawbacks Bloomberg Law. Inflation Reduction Act provisions that start in 2025 reshape formulary math, prompting contract rewrites and shifting rebate flows within the Pharmacy Benefit Management market.
Asia Pacific registers a 7.29% CAGR outlook, the fastest globally. China alone is projected to hit USD 159.86 billion by 2031 on rising chronic-disease prevalence and policy moves to centralize bulk-drug procurement. India's growth stems from the Production-Linked Incentive scheme and expansion of Jan Aushadhi generic outlets to 10,500 by March 2025. Japan's focus on biopharmaceutical R&D and value-based reimbursement may lift specialty-drug uptake, extending scope for PBM-like services despite demographic headwinds. Europe maintains sizable volume under reference-pricing rules and HTA frameworks. Germany's AMNOG negotiations and the UK's Voluntary Scheme for Branded Medicines Pricing push PBMs to demonstrate cost-offsets beyond list-price concessions. Middle East & Africa and South America contribute modest shares but display accelerating demand as mandatory health-insurance models roll out. Brazil's unified procurement of high-cost drugs underscores the region's appetite for centralized benefit management within the global Pharmacy Benefit Management market.