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Market Research Report

Ethiopia - Telecoms, Mobile and Broadband - Statistics and Analyses

Published by BuddeComm Product code 973544
Published Content info 97 Pages
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Ethiopia - Telecoms, Mobile and Broadband - Statistics and Analyses
Published: November 9, 2020 Content info: 97 Pages
Description

Ethiopia sets February 2021 deadline for telecom liberalisation

Ethiopia was one of the last countries in Africa to allow its national telco a monopoly on all telecom services including fixed, mobile, internet and data communications. For many years Ethio Telecom's monopolistic control stifled innovation, restricted network expansion and limited the scope of services on offer. However, in June 2019 the government approved legislation which will open the market to competition and provide much needed foreign investment. Two licenses are to be offered to two international operators, with a deadline set for February 2021. At the same time the government aims to part-privatise Ethio Telecom, with a 45% stake in the company to be made available.

Despite the stimulus from market competition, there has been considerable investment in telecoms services, infrastructure and service expansion projects in recent years. Ethio Telecom has secured a network monitoring platform to help it improve services and has also revised plans to launch a telecom satellite, while the government initiated the construction of a $3 billion technology city.

Most of the technologies deployed thus far have been provided by ZTE and Huawei, which have often been preferred for offering vendor financing. In preparation for competition in the mobile market, Ethio Telecom has placed the expansion of LTE services as a cornerstone of its investment program to 2022.

After years of low uptake due to prohibitive pricing, Ethio Telecom reduced tariffs by up to 50% in 2018, resulting in a sharp increase in data and voice traffic. With retail prices now comparable to other more developed markets in the region, pricing will come under further pressure from 2021 as the two international new operators expected to be licensed launch services. This should be a catalyst for steady growth in all sectors in coming years.

BuddeComm notes that the outbreak of the Coronavirus in 2020 is having a significant impact on production and supply chains globally. During the coming year the telecoms sector to various degrees is likely to experience a downturn in mobile device production, while it may also be difficult for network operators to manage workflows when maintaining and upgrading existing infrastructure. Overall progress towards 5G may be postponed or slowed down in some countries.

On the consumer side, spending on telecoms services and devices is under pressure from the financial effect of large-scale job losses and the consequent restriction on disposable incomes. However, the crucial nature of telecom services, both for general communication as well as a tool for home-working, will offset such pressures. In many markets the net effect should be a steady though reduced increased in subscriber growth.

Although it is challenging to predict and interpret the long-term impacts of the crisis as it develops, these have been acknowledged in the industry forecasts contained in this report.

The report also covers the responses of the telecom operators as well as government agencies and regulators as they react to the crisis to ensure that citizens can continue to make optimum use of telecom services. This can be reflected in subsidy schemes and the promotion of tele-health and tele-education, among other solutions.

Key developments:

  • Government gives February 2021 deadline to licence two new market entrants;
  • Ethiopia builds its second observation satellite;
  • Raxio Group begins work on its Tier III data centre in Addis Ababa;
  • National Bank opens up Ethiopia to m-money services;
  • Government bans foreign infrastructure companies from investing in Ethiopia's telecom sector;
  • Ethio Telecom secures mobile network monitoring platform;
  • Fibre cabling on the Addis Ababa and Djibouti rail route to be used for telecom services;
  • Government launches mobile apps as part of the e-Government Directorate, announces plan for $3 billion technology city;
  • Major changes anticipated in the second Growth and Development Plan;
  • Report update includes Telecom Maturity Indexes charts and analyses, Ethio Telecom data to June 2020, assessment of the global impact of Covid-19 on the telecoms sector, recent market developments.

Companies mentioned in this report:

Ethio Telecom (formerly Ethiopian Telecommunications Corporation, ETC), EthioNet, Ethio Mobile, Orange Group, Tecno Telecom, Smadl, Tana Communication, Thuraya.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Key statistics

Regional African Market Comparison

  • TMI vs GDP
  • Mobile and mobile broadband
  • Fixed and mobile broadband

Country overview

Covid-19 and its impact on the telecom sector

  • Economic considerations and responses
  • Mobile devices
  • Subscribers
  • Infrastructure

Telecommunications market

  • Market analysis

Regulatory environment

  • Regulatory authority
  • Telecom service licences
  • Telecom sector liberalisation
  • Privatisation

Mobile market

  • Market analysis
  • Mobile statistics
  • Mobile operator
    • Ethio Mobile
  • Mobile infrastructure
    • 4G (LTE)
    • 3G
    • Mobile data
    • Mobile broadband
    • Other infrastructure developments
  • Mobile content and applications
    • m-banking
  • Mobile handsets

Fixed-line broadband market

  • Introduction and statistical overview
  • Broadband statistics
  • Public internet access locations
  • Fixed-line broadband technologies
    • Digital Subscriber Line (DSL) networks
    • Fixed wireless

Fixed network operator

  • Ethio Telecom
  • Wireless Local Loop (WLL)
  • Leased lines, data services
  • VSAT
  • Orange Group management contract

Telecommunications infrastructure

  • Overview of the national telecom network
  • Rural area network
  • National backbone network
  • Next Generation Network (NGN)
  • Network development plan 2007-2012
    • Network development plan 2020-2023
  • Growth and development Plans I and II
  • International infrastructure
    • Satellite
  • Smart infrastructure
  • Data centres

Digital economy

  • E-government
  • E-learning

Appendix - Historic data

Glossary of abbreviations

Related reports

List of Tables

  • Table 1 - Top Level Country Statistics and Telco Authorities- Ethiopia - 2020 (e)
  • Table 2 - Growth in the number of mobile subscribers, and penetration - 2010 - 2025
  • Table 3 - Growth in SMS traffic - 2010 - 2021
  • Table 4 - Growth in the number of active mobile broadband subscribers, and penetration - 2010 - 2025
  • Table 5 - Growth in the proportion of households with internet access - 2010 - 2021
  • Table 6 - Growth in the number of fixed broadband subscribers and penetration - 2010 - 2025
  • Table 7 - Growth in the number of Ethio Telecom's DSL subscribers - 2011 - 2021
  • Table 8 - Growth in Ethio Telecom's revenue - 2012 - 2021
  • Table 9 - Growth in the number of fixed lines and teledensity - 2010 - 2025
  • Table 10 - Growth development Plan I and II objectives - 2015; 2020
  • Table 11 - International internet bandwidth - 2010 - 2017
  • Table 12 - Historic - Mobile subscribers and penetration rate - 1999 - 2009
  • Table 13 - Historic - Internet users and penetration rate - 1996 - 2015
  • Table 14 - Historic - Fixed internet subscribers - 1997 - 2009
  • Table 15 - Historic - Broadband subscribers - 2003 - 2009
  • Table 16 - Historic - Fixed lines in service and teledensity - 1995 - 2009
  • Table 17 - Historic - International internet bandwidth - 2002 - 2009

List of Charts

  • Chart 1 - Overall Africa view - Telecoms Maturity Index vs GDP per capita
  • Chart 2 - East Africa - Telecoms Maturity Index vs GDP per capita
  • Chart 3 - Africa - Bottom-tier Telecoms Maturity Index (Market Emergents)
  • Chart 4 - East Africa -Telecoms Maturity Index by country
  • Chart 5 - East Africa mobile subscriber penetration versus mobile broadband penetration
  • Chart 6 - East Africa fixed and mobile penetration rates
  • Chart 7 - Growth in the number of mobile subscribers, and penetration - 2010 - 2025
  • Chart 8 - Growth in SMS traffic - 2010 - 2021
  • Chart 9 - Growth in the number of active mobile broadband subscribers, and penetration - 2010 - 2025
  • Chart 10 - Growth in the proportion of households with internet access - 2010 - 2021
  • Chart 11 - Growth in the number of fixed broadband subscribers and penetration - 2010 - 2025
  • Chart 12 - Growth in the number of Ethio Telecom's DSL subscribers - 2011 - 2021
  • Chart 13 - Growth in Ethio Telecom's revenue - 2012 - 2021
  • Chart 14 - Growth in the number of fixed lines and teledensity - 2010 - 2025
  • Chart 15 - International internet bandwidth - 2002 - 2017

List of Exhibits

  • Exhibit 1 - Generalised Market Characteristics by Market Segment
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