PUBLISHER: The Business Research Company | PRODUCT CODE: 2106609
PUBLISHER: The Business Research Company | PRODUCT CODE: 2106609
A sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement is a long-term commercial arrangement in which a SAF manufacturer commits to delivering a predetermined quantity of fuel to a purchaser, such as an airline or fuel supplier, under agreed contractual conditions. It offers financial predictability and demand assurance for producers while enabling buyers to secure future access to lower-carbon fuel supplies that support sustainability objectives and regulatory compliance requirements.
The primary contract types of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreements include long-term offtake agreements, short-term offtake agreements, spot purchase agreements, framework agreements, and strategic partnership agreements. Long-term offtake agreements refer to contractual arrangements in which buyers commit to purchasing defined volumes of sustainable aviation fuel over an extended duration. These agreements cover fuel categories including hydroprocessed esters and fatty acids-based SAF, Fischer Tropsch SAF, alcohol-to-jet SAF, power-to-liquid SAF, synthetic SAF, and bio-based SAF. They are supported by feedstocks such as used cooking oil, animal fat, municipal solid waste, agricultural residues, and other feedstocks, and are utilized by end users including commercial airlines, cargo airlines, business aviation operators, defense and military aviation, and airport fuel operators.
Tariffs are influencing the sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement market by raising expenses related to the import of critical feedstocks, refining infrastructure, and catalyst technologies required for SAF production. This is disrupting global supply chains and intensifying pricing pressure on long-term offtake contracts between producers and airlines, especially in import-dependent regions such as Asia-Pacific and Europe. Alcohol-to-jet and power-to-liquid SAF categories are most affected due to their dependence on advanced international technology inputs. However, tariffs are also driving increased investment in regional SAF production capacity, localized feedstock procurement, and development of domestic refining infrastructure, which may improve long-term supply security and contract stability in the market.
The sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement market size has grown exponentially in recent years. It will grow from $4.93 billion in 2025 to $6.35 billion in 2026 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 28.8%. The growth in the historic period can be attributed to growing environmental awareness and sustainability initiatives in the aviation sector, early experimentation with biofuel blending in commercial aircraft, volatility in crude oil prices encouraging alternative fuel adoption, introduction of the ICAO CORSIA regulatory framework, and initial voluntary net-zero commitments by airlines.
The sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement market size is expected to see exponential growth in the next few years. It will grow to $17.62 billion in 2030 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 29.1%. The forecast period growth can be attributed to expansion of mandatory sustainable aviation fuel blending regulations, strengthening of carbon pricing and emissions trading systems, scaling of e-SAF and power-to-liquid technologies, rising long-term offtake agreements with airlines, and increased investment in SAF production infrastructure. Key trends include long-term airline decarbonization commitments, growth of SAF credit trading and book-and-claim mechanisms, development of indexed pricing and risk-sharing contract models, improved feedstock traceability and certification standards, and strategic airline-producer partnerships in SAF production.
The increasing crude oil prices are expected to drive the growth of the sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement market going forward. Crude oil prices refer to the prevailing rates at which raw petroleum is bought and sold in global markets, typically quoted on a per-barrel basis. Crude oil prices are often influenced by supply disruptions, such as reduced production or geopolitical conflicts in major oil-producing regions, which constrain global supply and push market prices higher. Sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreements help reduce reliance on crude oil by securing long-term adoption of alternative aviation fuels, thereby lowering exposure to volatile crude oil price fluctuations in the aviation sector. For instance, in January 2026, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, a U.S.-based semi-independent agency, crude oil first purchase prices increased from $58.44 per barrel in January to $62.44 per barrel in February. Therefore, the rising crude oil prices are driving the growth of the sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement market.
Leading companies operating in the sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement market are focusing on establishing long-term fuel supply partnerships to accelerate aviation decarbonization, strengthen regional SAF infrastructure, and support corporate sustainability targets. Long-term fuel supply partnerships are strategic agreements between fuel suppliers and buyers that ensure stable fuel availability over extended periods while reducing supply risks and supporting long-term operational planning. For example, in May 2026, DHL Express, a Germany-based international logistics company, signed a 10-year SAF offtake agreement with SAF One, a UAE-based sustainable aviation fuel developer, to secure 25,000 metric tons of unblended SAF annually from SAF One's Bahrain production facility beginning in 2028. The agreement integrates the Middle East's first SAF production plant into DHL's global SAF supply network and supports the company's goal of increasing SAF usage to 30% by 2030 while enabling measurable lifecycle CO2 emission reductions across its regional and international air transport operations.
In February 2025, Haffner Energy SA, a France-based engineering firm, joined forces with ATOBA Energ SAS to enhance and scale the sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) value chain by facilitating bankable long-term offtake agreements and speeding up SAF project development. Through this collaboration, the companies seek to reduce risk in sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production and boost market scaling by securing structured, bankable offtake agreements throughout the SAF value chain. ATOBA Energy SAS is a France-based energy manufacturing firm providing SAF offtake agreement solutions.
Major companies operating in the sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement market are Shell plc, TotalEnergies SE, BP plc, Neste Oyj, World Energy LLC, Eni S.p.A, OMV Aktiengesellschaft, Gevo Inc., Avfuel Corporation, SkyNRG B.V., Aemetis Inc., International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A., Southwest Airlines Co., Alaska Air Group Inc., easyJet plc, JetBlue Airways Corporation, Virgin Atlantic Airways Limited, LanzaJet Inc., AIR COMPANY Holdings Inc., Haffner Energy SA, Twelve Benefit Corporation, Sora Fuel Corporation, USA BioEnergy LLC, ATOBA Energy SAS, Chevron Corporation, Honeywell International Inc., Axens, Trafigura Group.
North America was the dominant region in the sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement market in 2025. Asia-Pacific is expected to be the rapidly expanding region in the forecast period. The regions covered in sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement report are Asia-Pacific, South East Asia, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, North America, South America, Middle East, Africa.
The countries covered in the sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement market report are Australia, Brazil, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Japan, Taiwan, Russia, South Korea, UK, USA, Canada, Italy, Spain.
The sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement market includes revenues earned by providing services such as supply chain coordination and logistics management, fuel scheduling and delivery planning, and storage and handling support at terminals and airports. The market value includes the value of related goods sold by the service provider or included within the service offering. Only goods and services traded between entities or sold to end consumers are included.
The market value is defined as the revenues that enterprises gain from the sale of goods and/or services within the specified market and geography through sales, grants, or donations in terms of the currency (in USD unless otherwise specified).
The revenues for a specified geography are consumption values that are revenues generated by organizations in the specified geography within the market, irrespective of where they are produced. It does not include revenues from resales along the supply chain, either further along the supply chain or as part of other products.
The sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement market research report is one of a series of new reports from The Business Research Company that provides sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement market statistics, including sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement industry global market size, regional shares, competitors with a sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement market share, detailed sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement market segments, market trends and opportunities, and any further data you may need to thrive in the sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement industry. This sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) offtake agreement market research report delivers a complete perspective of everything you need, with an in-depth analysis of the current and future scenario of the industry.
Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Offtake Agreement Market Global Report 2026 from The Business Research Company provides strategists, marketers and senior management with the critical information they need to assess the market.
This report focuses sustainable aviation fuel (saf) offtake agreement market which is experiencing strong growth. The report gives a guide to the trends which will be shaping the market over the next ten years and beyond.
Where is the largest and fastest growing market for sustainable aviation fuel (saf) offtake agreement ? How does the market relate to the overall economy, demography and other similar markets? What forces will shape the market going forward, including technological disruption, regulatory shifts, and changing consumer preferences? The sustainable aviation fuel (saf) offtake agreement market global report from the Business Research Company answers all these questions and many more.
The report covers market characteristics, size and growth, segmentation, regional and country breakdowns, total addressable market (TAM), market attractiveness score (MAS), competitive landscape, market shares, company scoring matrix, trends and strategies for this market. It traces the market's historic and forecast market growth by geography.
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