TrendForce shows AI-driven DRAM demand surge, creating supply tension. Samsung, SK hynix, and Micron plan to expand DRAM production through 2026.
Key Highlights
- AI-Driven Demand Growth: Increasing AI applications have spurred Server's demand for DRAM, including DDR5 and HBM.
- Capacity Shortfall: High demand has led to tight DRAM wafer production capacity, with manufacturers transitioning NAND Flash facilities to DRAM.
- Samsung's Expansion Plan: Samsung is reducing NAND Flash production to expand DRAM outputs, gradually enhancing P4L fabs' capacity.
- SK hynix Strategy Adjustment: SK hynix is converting Cheongju fab space to HBM capacity and building a new M15X fab to boost DRAM production.
- Micron's Strategy and Challenges: Facing limited cleanroom space, Micron plans to expand capacity in the US and increase DRAM output from Taiwan's Taichung fab.
- Market Forecast: Though DRAM output is set to rise, demand growth ensures a supply-demand imbalance, with DRAM supply expected to fall short in 2026.