Gear Oil Market: Current Analysis and Forecast (2022-2028)

Global Gear Oil Market is expected to grow at a significant rate of around 2% during the forecast period. A Gear Oil is a lubricant specially designed for transmission, transfer case, and differential in automobiles, trucks, and other machinery. In recent years, the demand for gear oil has risen dramatically due to the rising growth in the automobile and industrial sector as well as the growing demand for the power industry. As gear oil is used to enhance the operation of the transmission system and to loosen wear and tear while offering better fuel economy. The demand for better fuel economy and power industry demand is significantly fulfilled by higher quality gear oil coupled with rising technological advancements to provide a better quality of gear are going to create lucrative opportunities for market growth of gear oil globally. For instance, In April 2022, Tata Motors announced plans to invest around USD 3.1 billion (INR 24,000 crores) in its passenger vehicle business over the next five years.

Shell plc, Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation, TOTAL S.A., Valvoline LLC, BP plc, FUCHS, Idemitsu Kosan Co. Ltd., PetroChina Company Limited, Sinopec Group are some of the key players in the market. Several M&As along with partnerships have been undertaken by these players to facilitate customers with hi-tech and innovative products/technologies. For instance, In September 2021, the construction of a new fishing training ship that complies with international standards began in Taiwan and is expected to be completed in 2023. The government of Taiwan invested US$ 30.2 million (NT$ 840 million) for its construction which will drive the market growth of gear oil in Taiwan.

Insights Presented in the Report:

"Amongst base oil, mineral oil category to witness higher CAGR during the forecast period"

Based on base oil, the market is segmented into mineral oil, synthetic oil, semi-synthetic oil, and bio-based oil. The mineral oil category is to witness higher CAGR during the forecast period owing to its various applications such as air compressors, airline oilers, bearings, blowers, circulating systems, cranes, gearboxes, and hydraulics, industrial turbines, and vacuum pumps. Mineral Oil is being adopted to offer superior performance by reducing friction and power loss as well as managing temperature rise in the gearboxes. Furthermore, the entry of global players into emerging markets adds to the growth of the market of gear oil.

"Amongst end-user, power generation to hold a significant share in the market in 2020"

Based on end-user, the market is categorized into automotive, agriculture, power generation, metal & cement production, oil & gas, mining, and others. Among these, power generation to hold a significant share in the market in 2020. This is mainly due to the rapid growth in the increasing installed capacities of wind turbines every year. As gear oils have application in wind turbines for lubrication of the main gearbox and other gear motor components. For instance, India is likely to attract a huge investment of USD 145.5 billion (INR 1,155,652 crore) into the power generation sector by 2022, for setting up projects across the thermal, hydro, nuclear, and renewables segments which will drive the market growth of gear oil.

"Asia-Pacific to hold a significant share in the market"

In 2020, Asia-Pacific is anticipated to grow at a substantial CAGR during the forecast period. This is mainly due to the increasing industrial production, construction, and transportation activities taking place in developing countries such as India, and China. According to the World Steel Association, China is the world leader in crude steel production. For instance, in 2020, China's crude steel production was 1,064.8 million tons, up about 7% from 2019. In addition, in September 2021, Airbus and Tata Aircraft entered a partnership to build aircraft in India. Also, the development of new chemical industry plants in South Korea will benefit the growth of the country's chemical industry. For instance, in 2021, construction began on the Posco lithium hydroxide plant in South Korea to end by 2023. Furthermore, the consumption of power generation or electricity is increasing on daily basis in various regions. In September 2020, the expansion work of the gas power generation plant started for the Datan Power Plant in Taiwan will be completed by 2024. Therefore, the surging industrial sectors which include wind power, oil & gas, chemical, mining, steel, transportation, construction, and more are accelerating the gear oils market growth in the Asia-Pacific region. 

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Deep dive regional level analysis of the industry.

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