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The Global Market for Transformers 2012-2050

Abstract

Our July 2012 publication, “The Global Market for Transformers 2012 - 2050” is a comprehensive analysis and forecast of power and distribution transformers in all major countries of the world . StatPlan Energy has built a series of databases that are the basis of our reports and forecasts and these allow us to produce more sensitive and accu-rate predictions for the short, medium and long term futures. We believe we have the only published forecast tool that recognises how future opportunities will divide between New Build and Asset Based Renewal. These are very different markets and only the New Build represents an increase in infrastructure assets. Analysis by transformer type and size is also supported a detailed capex analysis. Our forecasts are also supported by another brand new title - “Global Electrification Trends 2010 -2050”. Different countries around the world are at different stages of electrical development, driven by economic and demographic considerations, and use energy in different ways. We model this with the “Household Electrification Wheel” .

Highlights in this year's report:

  • Transformer Markets by Value, Current and Forecasts to 2017 by Region and Country
  • Installed Base of Power, Transmission and Distribution Transformers (MVA)
  • Ownership in Regions and Major Countries
  • Ownership by Utility/Industry/GSU
  • Installed Transformer Base Forecasts by Country to 2020 by Capacity
  • The Transformer Capacity Demand Cycle: How historical Development is Influencing Future Markets - New Build and Asset Base Renewal.
  • Analysis of Transformation Capacity Ratios by Country
  • Global Review of Manufacturers
  • Use of AMTs around the world
  • Market Drivers by Region

Table of Contents

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

2. THE TRANSFOMATION PROCESS, POWER AND DISTRIBUTION TRANSFORMER TYPES & OWNERSHIP

  • 2.1. The Transformation Process
  • 2.2. Types of Transformer
  • 2.3. Ownership of Power and Distribution Transformers

3. ENERGY EFFICIENCY AND AMORPHOUS METAL TRANSFORMERS

  • 3.1. Energy efficiency and distribution transformers
  • 3.2. Development of a new technology
  • 3.3. The market for AMDTs
  • 3.4. Amorphous Metal Ribbon Manufacturers

4. MATERIALS COSTS

  • 4.1. Electrical steel - Introduction
  • 4.2. The electrical steel market
  • 4.3. Electrical steel producers
  • 4.4. Copper
  • 4.5. Transformer oil

5. LOGISTICS

6. RATIOS OF TRANSFORMATION CAPACITY TO GENERATING CAPACITY

7. UTILITY, GSU & INDUSTRIAL POWER & DISTRIBUTION TRANSFORMER CAPACITY

8. THE TRANSFORMER CAPACITY DEMAND CYCLE

  • 8.1. Installed Transformation Capacity
  • 8.2. The China Factor
  • 8.3. Annual demand for capacity

9. POWER AND DISTRIBUTION TRANSFORMER MARKET VALUE

  • 9.1. World Overview
  • 9.2. Utility, Generator and Industry Transformer Capacity Ownership

10. TRANSFORMER SUPPLY: THE MANUFACTURERS

  • 10.1 Background to the Production Situation Today

11. REGIONAL BREAKDOWN AND FORECASTS FOR TRANSFORMER MARKETS

  • 11.1. EUROPE
  • 11.2. France
  • 11.3. Germany
  • 11.4. Italy
  • 11.5. Spain
  • 11.6. United Kingdom
  • 11.7. MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA
  • 11.8. ASIA PACIFIC
  • 11.9. China
  • 11.10. Japan
  • 11.11. India
  • 11.12. Korea
  • 11.13. Taiwan
  • 11.14. AMERICAS
  • 11.15. North America and Canada
  • 11.16. Brazil
  • 11.17. Mexico

18. TRANSFORMER CAPACITY BY REGION AND COUNTRY, 2010 - 2020

19. METHODOLOGY

FIGURES AND TABLES

  • Figure 1: The UK Electrical Power Transmission and Distribution System
  • Figure 2: Proportion of utility, industrial and generator ownership of power and distribution transformers by region
  • Figure 3: LME Copper price graph 2005-May 2012 $/tonne
  • Figure 4: Transformer on road
  • Figure 5: Transformer off the road
  • Figure 6: Generating capacity MW, total power and distribution transformation capacity MVA 2010
  • Figure 7: Percent of total transformation capacity (MVA) owned by utilities, industry and generators
  • Figure 8: Global installed transformation capacity and demand 1945 to 2050, GVA
  • Figure 9: Global utility transformation capacity installed base, GVA, 1900 to 2050
  • Figure 10: Transformer demand 5 year installations, excluding China, 1905-2050
  • Figure 11: Transformer demand 5 year installations, including China, 1905-2050
  • Figure 12: Global utility transformation capacity demand, 5 year segments 1940 to 2050
  • Figure 13: Utility transformation capacity demand, 5 year segments 1940 to 2050
  • Figure 14: Power and distribution transformer market value, World by Region, 2011-2017
  • Table 1: Electrical producers by country and production capacity 2010
  • Table 2: Ratios of transformation capacity (MVA) to generating capacity (MW), Europe
  • Table 3: Ratios of transformation capacity (MVA) to generating capacity (MW), CIS
  • Table 4: Ratios of transformation capacity (MVA) to generating capacity (MW), Middle East
  • Table 5: Ratios of transformation capacity (MVA) to generating capacity (MW), Africa
  • Table 6: Ratios of transformation capacity (MVA) to generating capacity (MW), Asia
  • Table 7: Ratios of transformation capacity (MVA) to generating capacity (MW), North America
  • Table 8: Ratios of transformation capacity (MVA) to generating capacity (MW), Latin America
  • Table 9: Utility, GSU and Industrial Power and Distribution transformer capacity (MVA) by country and ownership, 2010 - Europe
  • Table 10: Utility and Industrial GSU, Power and Distribution transformer capacity (MVA) by country and ownership, 2010 - CIS
  • Table 11: Utility and Industrial GSU, Power and Distribution transformer capacity (MVA) by country and ownership, 2010 - Africa and Middle East
  • Table 12: Utility and Industrial GSU, Power and Distribution transformer capacity (MVA) by country and ownership, 2010 - Asia Pacific
  • Table 13: Utility and Industrial GSU, Power and Distribution transformer capacity (MVA) by country and ownership, 2010 - Americas
  • Table 14: Power and distribution transformer market in current $ values, World by Region, 2012-2017
  • Table 15: Utility power and distribution transformer market in current $ values, World by Region, 2012-2017
  • Table 16: Power and distribution transformer market value, Europe & CIS, 2011-2017
  • Table 17: Installed base of utility and industrial transformers, Europe 2010 and 2020
  • Table 18: Annual sales of power and distribution transformers, Europe, 2010 and 2010
  • Table 19: Installed transformer capacity 2010, France
  • Table 20: Installed transformer capacity 2010, Germany
  • Table 21: Installed transformer capacity 2010, Italy
  • Table 22: Installed transformer capacity 2010, Spain
  • Table 23: Installed transformer capacity 2010, United Kingdom
  • Table 24: Power and distribution transformer market value, Middle East & Africa, 2012-2017
  • Table 25: Power and distribution transformer market value, Asia Pacific, 2012-2017
  • Table 26: Installed transformer capacity 2010, China
  • Table 27: Production of transformers in 2009, China
  • Table 28: Installed transformer capacity 2010, Japan
  • Table 29: Transformer Manufacturers in Japan
  • Table 30: Installed transformer capacity 2010, India
  • Table 31: Transformer manufacturers in India
  • Table 32: Installed transformer capacity 2010, Korea
  • Table 33: Installed transformer capacity 2010, Taiwan
  • Table 34: Power and distribution transformer market value, Americas, 2012-2017
  • Table 35: Shipments of transformers in 2009, number and capacity MVA, United States
  • Table 36: Market shares of Power Transformer Producers in the United States
  • Table 37: Installed transformer capacity 2010, Brazil
  • Table 38: Installed transformer capacity 2010, Mexico
  • Table 39: Transformer capacity for utilities, industry and GSUs, MVA, North America, 2010-2014
  • Table 40: Transformer capacity for utilities, industry and GSUs, MVA, North America, 2015-2020
  • Table 41: Transformer capacity for utilities, industry and GSUs, MVA, Europe, 2010-2014
  • Table 42: Transformer capacity for utilities, industry and GSUs, MVA, Europe, 2015-2020
  • Table 43: Transformer capacity for utilities, industry and GSUs, MVA, USSR/CIS, 2010-2014
  • Table 44: Transformer capacity for utilities, industry and GSUs, MVA, USSR/CIS, 2015-2020
  • Table 45: Transformer capacity for utilities, industry and GSUs, MVA, Middle East, 2010-2014
  • Table 46: Transformer capacity for utilities, industry and GSUs, MVA, Middle East, 2015-2020
  • Table 47: Transformer capacity for utilities, industry and GSUs, MVA, Africa, 2010-2014
  • Table 48: Transformer capacity for utilities, industry and GSUs, MVA, Africa, 2015-2020
  • Table 49: Transformer capacity for utilities, industry and GSUs, MVA, Africa, 2010-2014
  • Table 50: Transformer capacity for utilities, industry and GSUs, MVA, Asia, 2015-2020
  • Table 51: Transformer capacity for utilities, industry and GSUs, MVA, Pacific, 2010-2014
  • Table 52: Transformer capacity for utilities, industry and GSUs, MVA, Pacific, 2015-2020
  • Table 53: Transformer capacity for utilities, industry and GSUs, MVA, LAC, 2010-2014
  • Table 54: Transformer capacity for utilities, industry and GSUs, MVA, LAC, 2015-2020
  • Table 55: Transformer capacity for utilities, industry and GSUs, MVA, Central America, 2010-2014
  • Table 56: Transformer capacity for utilities, industry and GSUs, MVA, Central America, 2015-2020
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