PUBLISHER: GlobalData | PRODUCT CODE: 1998646
PUBLISHER: GlobalData | PRODUCT CODE: 1998646
Despite the high potential of the low-carbon hydrogen market in the MEA, recent market challenges have highlighted the uneven pace of regional development. Gulf states are leveraging extensive sovereign wealth and existing infrastructure to lead in project execution, while Africa's initial ambition has been winded by infrastructure gaps, an over-reliance on concessional finance, and sluggish demand from purported export markets.
Project progression remains slow across MEA, with 83% of its capacity being held in the feasibility stage. The slower-than-anticipated development of African mega-projects has been the primary driver, as developers reassess timelines amid rising borrowing costs and elevated risk premiums associated with projects in emerging markets. Weak demand signals have further contributed to delays.
In contrast, the Middle East benefits from established domestic industrial demand and extensive oil and gas expertise, enabling a greater share of projects to reach later development stages.
Transport remains the dominant end-use industry for low-carbon hydrogen in MEA, with approximately 5mtpa of capacity expected to be allocated to this application
Ammonia production has also become a key focus area for MEA's low-carbon hydrogen, given its importance in marine shipping, fertilizers, and as a carrier for transporting and storing hydrogen.
Recent hydrogen policy developments in the region have been focused on the Middle East and a small number of African countries, highlighting a narrow yet growing regional low-carbon hydrogen landscape. However, overall policy support remains insufficient, with a lack of notable subsidies, loans, and tax incentives to support the scaling of production necessary to achieve the region's 2030 capacity outlook.