PUBLISHER: Visiongain | PRODUCT CODE: 1869558
PUBLISHER: Visiongain | PRODUCT CODE: 1869558
The global Direct Air Capture (DAC) market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 54.4% by 2035.
The Direct Air Capture (DAC) Market Report 2025-2035 (Including Impact of U.S. Trade Tariffs): This report will prove invaluable to leading firms striving for new revenue pockets if they wish to better understand the industry and its underlying dynamics. It will be useful for companies that would like to expand into different industries or to expand their existing operations in a new region.
Policy Signals That Pay for Verified, Permanent Removal
Powerful new policy instruments are turning DAC from an R&D project into a bankable asset class. In the United States, the Inflation Reduction Act lifted the 45Q credit for DAC to as much as $180 per tonne for projects meeting labor rules, with updated IRS guidance in 2024-2025 clarifying utilization pathways and administration; that materially improves modeled cash flows for plants that achieve geological storage or durable utilization and meet prevailing wage/apprenticeship requirements. These credits are inflation-adjusted and apply for 12 years from commissioning, creating a predictable revenue spine for sponsors and lenders structuring project finance around first-of-a-kind assets.
Europe is complementing U.S. tax credits with market design. The EU's Carbon Removal Certification Framework (CRCF), adopted in 2024, establishes a voluntary, EU-wide certification scheme for removals-including permanent geological storage-backed by verification and registry rules now being operationalized through 2024-2025 acts and workshops. This sits alongside ReFuelEU Aviation, which sets a SAF mandate beginning in 2025 and an explicit e-fuels sub-target from 2030, indirectly creating future pull for DAC-derived CO,CC as a feedstock to synthetic kerosene. These frameworks make 'high-integrity, permanent removals' a definable product with recognized verification-exactly what capital markets and corporate buyers require.
Cost, Energy Intensity and the 'Counterfactual Power' Problem
DAC remains expensive on a per-tonne basis, and it is energy-hungry. Even as modules scale, plants must source low-carbon electricity and heat; otherwise, net removals and credit quality erode. Iceland illustrates one solution-pairing with geothermal and in-situ mineralization-but such ideal geologies and energy mixes are geographically limited, forcing most projects to solve for clean power procurement, grid interconnection and process heat at competitive prices. Until costs migrate toward low-hundreds and eventually sub-$100/t, addressable demand outside premium buyers will be constrained.
The pressure to demonstrate operational performance is real. Media scrutiny in 2025 highlighted the gap between nameplate and early-ramp net removals at new plants and the sensitivity of DAC economics to utilization and energy pricing. While developers report upgrades and learning-curve improvements, underperformance headlines can spook financiers and buyers unfamiliar with first-of-a-kind dynamics. The result is a higher bar for technical due diligence, contingency budgets and performance-linked offtake structures in early projects.
What would be the Impact of US Trade Tariffs on the Global Direct Air Capture (DAC) Market?
The imposition of U.S. tariffs on low-carbon technologies, including direct air capture (DAC) equipment, components, and associated infrastructure, is poised to have significant implications for the global direct air capture market. As the United States is one of the largest investors, innovators, and early adopters of DAC technologies, any changes to trade policy can ripple across supply chains, investment flows, and deployment timelines worldwide. Tariffs on imported DAC materials such as sorbents, membranes, reactors, or renewable-powered infrastructure components could increase production costs, slow project execution, and impact the competitiveness of DAC solutions relative to other carbon removal approaches. Conversely, protectionist policies might incentivize domestic manufacturing, boost local supply chains, and attract new investments into U.S.-based DAC production hubs. The resulting market response will largely depend on the tariff intensity, duration, and the extent of global collaboration shaping whether the industry experiences a rapid rebound, a delayed recovery, or a prolonged stagnation.
What Questions Should You Ask before Buying a Market Research Report?
You need to discover how this will impact the direct air capture (DAC) market today, and over the next 10 years:
Segments Covered in the Report
In addition to the revenue predictions for the overall world market and segments, you will also find revenue forecasts for five regional and 25 leading national markets:
The report also includes profiles and for some of the leading companies in the Direct Air Capture (DAC) Market, 2025 to 2035, with a focus on this segment of these companies' operations.
Overall world revenue for Direct Air Capture (DAC) Market, 2025 to 2035 in terms of value the market will surpass US$130.8 million in 2025, our work calculates. We predict strong revenue growth through to 2035. Our work identifies which organizations hold the greatest potential. Discover their capabilities, progress, and commercial prospects, helping you stay ahead.