The global Sustainable Aviation Fuels & Propulsion Systems market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 22.4% by 2036.
The Sustainable Aviation Fuels & Propulsion Systems Market Report 2026-2036 (Including Impact of U.S. Trade Tariffs): This report will prove invaluable to leading firms striving for new revenue pockets if they wish to better understand the industry and its underlying dynamics. It will be useful for companies that would like to expand into different industries or to expand their existing operations in a new region.
Structural Demand Acceleration Driven by Mandates and Airline Net-Zero Commitments: Policy and Corporate Targets Converting Pledges into Market Pull
Regulatory mandates and airline net-zero commitments are converting aspirational decarbonisation goals into concrete fuel demand that will underpin SAF market growth through the next decade: the EU/UK blended SAF mandates and national commitments create a predictable, legally binding off-take corridor that incentivises upstream investment and long-term contracts between producers and carriers, while individual airline pledges (and corporate procurement programs) create incremental voluntary demand that premiums producers can monetise. This structural demand pull has already been reflected in market forecasts projecting very high compound growth rates for SAF over the remainder of the 2020s and into the 2030s, and is forcing offtake models, offtaker-backed financing and strategic partnerships (for example between refiners and airlines) to secure future cash flows and de-risk plant financing.
Cost-Competitiveness and Economic Barriers: High Production Costs Relative to Fossil Jet Fuel
The single largest near-term restraint is the cost gap between SAF and conventional jet kerosene, driven by limited feedstock availability, capital intensity of new plant technologies (PtL, AtJ), and currently small production runs that prevent economies of scale. This means airlines face a direct trade-off between sustainability and unit cost; without progressive policy measures (blending mandates with credits, subsidies, tax incentives) or sustained consumer willingness to pay, SAF penetration will be constrained. The market's current price premium creates pressure for producers to prioritise high-value niche contracts rather than broad-market supply until cost curves materially fall.
What would be the Impact of US Trade Tariffs on the Global Sustainable Aviation Fuels & Propulsion Systems Market?
The introduction of U.S. tariffs on clean energy technologies, aviation components, and fuel-processing equipment has added a new layer of complexity to the global SAF and propulsion systems market. These tariffs influence the cost of imported catalysts, electrolysers, turbines, feedstock-processing machinery, and battery-electric/hydrogen propulsion components sourced from Europe and Asia. As a result, capital expenditure for new SAF plants and propulsion R&D projects may rise, particularly for Power-to-Liquid (PtL), FischerTropsch, and hybrid-electric programs that rely heavily on global supply chains. At the same time, tariffs could accelerate domestic manufacturing in the United States, potentially creating a competitive shift in global production capacity. The overall impact varies significantly depending on the macroeconomic recovery pattern, V-shaped, U-shaped, or L-shaped, over the forecast period.
What Questions Should You Ask before Buying a Market Research Report?
- How is the sustainable aviation fuels & propulsion systems market evolving?
- What is driving and restraining the sustainable aviation fuels & propulsion systems market?
- How will each sustainable aviation fuels & propulsion systems submarket segment grow over the forecast period and how much revenue will these submarkets account for in 2036?
- How will the market shares for each sustainable aviation fuels & propulsion systems submarket develop from 2026 to 2036?
- What will be the main driver for the overall market from 2026 to 2036?
- Will leading sustainable aviation fuels & propulsion systems markets broadly follow the macroeconomic dynamics, or will individual national markets outperform others?
- How will the market shares of the national markets change by 2036 and which geographical region will lead the market in 2036?
- Who are the leading players and what are their prospects over the forecast period?
- What are the sustainable aviation fuels & propulsion systems projects for these leading companies?
- How will the industry evolve during the period between 2026 and 2036? What are the implications of sustainable aviation fuels & propulsion systems projects taking place now and over the next 10 years?
- Is there a greater need for product commercialisation to further scale the sustainable aviation fuels & propulsion systems market?
- Where is the sustainable aviation fuels & propulsion systems market heading and how can you ensure you are at the forefront of the market?
- What are the best investment options for new product and service lines?
- What are the key prospects for moving companies into a new growth path and C-suite?
You need to discover how this will impact the sustainable aviation fuels & propulsion systems market today, and over the next 10 years:
- Our 451-page report provides 125 tables and 203 charts/graphs exclusively to you.
- The report highlights key lucrative areas in the industry so you can target them NOW.
- It contains in-depth analysis of global, regional and national sales and growth.
- It highlights for you the key successful trends, changes and revenue projections made by your competitors.
- Forecasts to 2036 and other analyses reveal commercial prospects
- In addition to revenue forecasting to 2036, our new study provides you with recent results, growth rates, and market shares.
- You will find original analyses, with business outlooks and developments.
- Discover qualitative analyses (including market dynamics, drivers, opportunities, restraints and challenges), cost structure, impact of rising sustainable aviation fuels & propulsion systems prices and recent developments.
Segments Covered in the Report
- By Propulsion System
- Conventional Turbofan / Turboprop
- Series Hybrid Systems
- By End-User
- Air Cargo Operators & Integrators
- Other End-Users
- Commercial Passenger Carriers
- By Feedstock
- Lipid-based
- Lignocellulosic
- Sugars & Alcohols
- CO,CC + Green Hydrogen
- By Aircraft Type
- Commercial Aircraft
- Business & General Aviation
- Cargo & Freighter
- Military & Government Aircraft
- Other Aircraft Types
- By Fuel Type
- Hydro processed Esters and Fatty Acids (HEFA)
- FischerTropsch Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene (FT-SPK)
- Alcohol-to-Jet (ATJ)
- Hydro processed Fermented Sugars to Synthetic Iso-Paraffins (HFS-SIP)
- Synthetic e-Kerosene
- Power-to-Liquid / e-Fuels
In addition to the revenue predictions for the overall world market and segments, you will also find revenue forecasts for five regional and 25 leading national markets:
- North America
- U.S.
- Canada
- Europe
- Germany
- UK
- France
- Netherlands
- Sweden
- Rest of Europe
- Asia Pacific
- Japan
- China
- India
- Australia
- South Korea
- Rest of Asia Pacific
- Latin America
- Brazil
- Mexico
- Rest of Latin America
- MEA
- GCC
- South Africa
- Rest of MEA
The report also includes profiles and for some of the leading companies in the Sustainable Aviation Fuels & Propulsion Systems Market, 2026 to 2036, with a focus on this segment of these companies' operations.
- Leading companies profiled in the report
- Aemetis, Inc.
- Alder Energy, LLC
- BP Plc
- Fulcrum BioEnergy
- GE Aerospace Services
- Gevo, Inc.
- Honeywell International Inc.
- LanzaJet, Inc.
- Northwest Advanced Bio-Fuels, LLC
- Pratt & Whitney
- Rolls-Royce Holdings Plc
- Safran S.A
- Total Energies SE
- World Energy, LLC
- ZeroAvia.
Overall world revenue for Sustainable Aviation Fuels & Propulsion Systems Market, 2026 to 2036 in terms of value the market will surpass US$8.25 billion in 2026, our work calculates. We predict strong revenue growth through to 2036. Our work identifies which organizations hold the greatest potential. Discover their capabilities, progress, and commercial prospects, helping you stay ahead.
- How will the Sustainable Aviation Fuels & Propulsion Systems Market, 2026 to 2036 report help you?
- In summary, our 450+ page report provides you with the following knowledge:
- Revenue forecasts to 2036 for Sustainable Aviation Fuels & Propulsion Systems Market, 2026 to 2036, with forecasts for propulsion system, end-user, feedstock, aircraft type, and fuel type, each forecast at a global and regional level discover the industry's prospects, finding the most lucrative places for investments and revenues.
- Revenue forecasts to 2036 for five regional and 25 key national markets See forecasts for the Sustainable Aviation Fuels & Propulsion Systems Market, 2026 to 2036 in North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America, and MEA. Also forecasted is the market in the US, Canada, Mexico, Brazil, Germany, France, UK, the Netherlands, Sweden, China, India, Japan, and Australia among other prominent economies.
- Prospects for established firms and those seeking to enter the market including company profiles for 15 of the major companies involved in the Sustainable Aviation Fuels & Propulsion Systems Market, 2026 to 2036.
- Find quantitative and qualitative analyses with independent predictions. Receive information that only our report contains, staying informed with invaluable business intelligence.