PUBLISHER: MarketsandMarkets | PRODUCT CODE: 2102911
PUBLISHER: MarketsandMarkets | PRODUCT CODE: 2102911
The autonomous trucks market is projected to expand from USD 50.82 billion in 2026 to 158.69 billion by 2035, at a CAGR of 13.5%. The market is gaining momentum as rising demand for electric and autonomous vehicles accelerates investment in next-generation freight transportation. In October 2025, Aurora Innovation expanded its commercial driverless trucking service from Fort Worth to El Paso in Texas, US, extending autonomous freight operations along one of the country's major transportation routes.
| Scope of the Report | |
|---|---|
| Years Considered for the Study | 2026-2035 |
| Base Year | 2025 |
| Forecast Period | 2026-2035 |
| Units Considered | USD Billion |
| Segments | by Vehicle Type, Vehicle Class, Propulsion Type, Application, Sensor Type, and Region |
| Regions covered | Asia Pacific, Europe, North America, Rest of the World |
Growing integration of autonomous technology into OEM truck platforms, combined with increasing focus on sustainable and efficient logistics, is encouraging fleet operators to adopt autonomous trucking solutions. Supportive regulatory developments and advancements in autonomous driving systems are further strengthening market growth, positioning autonomous trucks as a key component of the future transportation ecosystem.

By propulsion type, the diesel segment is expected to experience notable growth opportunities during the forecast period.
Diesel is expected to remain the leading propulsion type in the autonomous trucks market due to the increasing investments in production-ready autonomous vehicles, expansion of commercial freight pilots, and the integration of advanced sensing and automated driving technologies into diesel-powered truck fleets. In May 2026, Daimler Truck AG (Germany) and Torc Robotics (US) selected Innoviz Technologies (Israel) as the LiDAR supplier for the series production of the Level 4 autonomous Freightliner Cascadia, supporting its planned commercial launch in 2027. The continued focus on diesel platforms reflects transit operators' preference for deploying autonomous technologies on proven bus architectures that can be integrated into existing public transportation networks with limited capital investment. In June 2026, Karsan completed autonomous operational trials of its Level 4 Autonomous e ATAK at Istanbul Airport, demonstrating the growing maturity of autonomous bus technologies in controlled commercial environments.
By vehicle class, the Class 7-8 segment will exhibit the highest growth rate in the autonomous trucks market during the forecast period.
In the Class 7-8 segment, trucks with GVWR ranging between 26,000 and 33,000 lbs and more than or equal to 33,001 lbs are considered, respectively. Growth is being driven by the increasing adoption of autonomous technology across medium and heavy-duty freight applications. In Class 7, commercial deployments are expanding as logistics providers automate middle-mile operations. In September 2025, Gatik (US) and Loblaw Companies Limited (Canada) expanded their autonomous trucking partnership in Canada to scale driverless freight operations. The development of technologies supporting multiple automation levels is accelerating adoption across Class 7 and Class 8 vehicles. For example, in January 2026, Hesai Technology (China) introduced its Infinity Eye LiDAR solution designed for Level 2, Level 3, and Level 4 autonomous driving systems, supporting enhanced perception capabilities for commercial vehicle applications. These developments highlight the growing adoption of both semi-autonomous and autonomous technologies across medium and heavy-duty truck segments.
China is expected to witness substantial growth in the Asia Pacific autonomous trucks market.
China is expected to show substantial growth in the Asia Pacific autonomous trucks market, supported by strong domestic capabilities in autonomous driving technology, commercial vehicle manufacturing, and intelligent transportation systems. The country continues to advance the deployment of automated driving solutions across both freight and passenger transportation applications. For example, in November 2025, Pony.ai (China) introduced its Gen 4 autonomous truck platform in collaboration with SANY Truck (China) and Dongfeng Liuzhou Motor (China), supporting the commercialization of autonomous freight transportation through a scalable truck platform. In addition, in August 2025, WeRide (China) and Shenzhen Bus Group launched Shenzhen's first fully driverless commercial bus route, demonstrating the growing adoption of autonomous driving technologies in public transportation. These developments highlight China's progress in deploying autonomous solutions across multiple commercial vehicle applications and reflect the country's increasing focus on large-scale commercialization of autonomous mobility technologies.
In-depth interviews were conducted with CEOs, marketing directors, other innovation and technology directors, and executives from various key organizations operating in this market.
The autonomous trucks market is dominated by major players such as AB Volvo (Sweden), Daimler Truck AG (Germany), MAN Truck and Bus SE (Germany), Iveco S.p.A. (Italy), and PACCAR Inc. (US), among others. These companies have strong product portfolios as well as strong distribution networks at the global level.
This research report categorizes the autonomous trucks market by vehicle type (Trucks), vehicle class (Class 1-3, Class 4-6, Class 7-8), ADAS feature (Adaptive Cruise Control (ACC), Automatic Emergency Braking (AEB), Blind Spot Detection (BSD), Lane Keep Assist (LKA), Intelligent Park Assist (IPA), Traffic Jam Assist (TJA), Highway Pilot (HP)), propulsion type (Diesel, Electric, Hybrid), application (Last-mile Delivery Trucks, Mining Trucks, Shuttles, Intercity/Intracity Trucks), sensor type (Camera, LiDAR, Radar, Ultrasonic), level of autonomy (L1, L2 & L3, L4, and L5), and region (Asia Pacific, Europe, North America, and Rest of the World). The scope of the report covers detailed information regarding the major factors, such as drivers, restraints, challenges, and opportunities, influencing the growth of the autonomous trucks market. A detailed analysis of the key industry players has been done to provide insights into their business overview, solutions, and services; key strategies; contracts, partnerships, agreements, product & service launches, mergers & acquisitions, and other developments. This report also covers the competitive analysis of upcoming startups in the autonomous trucks market ecosystem.
Analysis of key drivers (Increasing emphasis on road safety and traffic control, Growing need to address driver shortage, Rising adoption of autonomous technology, and Favorable government regulations and safety standards), restraints (Cybersecurity and data security concerns, Limited public reception, and Lack of infrastructure in developing countries), challenges (High cost of development and integration, and Regulatory hurdles), and opportunities (Integration of 5G technology for vehicle connectivity, Growing utilization of advanced technologies, Surge in demand for truck platooning, and Rising focus on automotive IoT).