PUBLISHER: Mordor Intelligence | PRODUCT CODE: 1906247
PUBLISHER: Mordor Intelligence | PRODUCT CODE: 1906247
The GCC packaging market was valued at USD 16.02 billion in 2025 and estimated to grow from USD 16.68 billion in 2026 to reach USD 20.45 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 4.15% during the forecast period (2026-2031).

The current expansion follows large-scale diversification programs, e-commerce growth, and increased spending on food security across all six member states. Demand continues to favor plastics because the region hosts integrated petrochemical hubs offering cost-competitive resins. A decisive policy push for sustainability is expected to elevate bioplastic adoption, thereby fast-tracking the development of new polylactic acid (PLA) capacity in the United Arab Emirates. Flexible formats still dominate retail shelves, although paper-based rigid solutions are gathering momentum as retailers seek premium shelf appeal and recyclability. Shifts in the end-user mix add another layer of growth, as pharmaceuticals now outpace food in year-on-year volume gains, driven by local drug production accelerating under Vision 2030 health objectives. Finally, ongoing mergers among raw-material suppliers secure feedstock for regional converters, sharpening price competitiveness for export shipments.
Digital retail platforms in the Gulf scale quickly, prompting a sudden need for durable shipping mailers, void fill, and tamper-evident seals. Logistics outlays exceeding USD 106.6 billion in Saudi Arabia improve last-mile efficiency and enlarge the addressable pool of parcels. Airports and free zones expand freight capacity, with Dubai International Airport targeting 6 million tons of air cargo by 2030. As more sellers adopt same-day delivery promises, converters supply lighter film laminates and right-sized cartons that reduce material waste while protecting goods in desert climatic extremes. Packaging specification teams now test ambient, chilled, and frozen lanes together to meet the growing demand for e-commerce in food and pharma. Automation lines equipped with print-on-demand systems shorten lead times, cementing the GCC packaging market as a regional fulfillment hub.
Policy action drives a decisive shift away from conventional polyolefins. The UAE banned single-use bags in January 2024 and plans to expand the ban to food containers in 2026. Oman followed with a retail bag prohibition in July 2025 that immediately lifted demand for paper sacks and starch-based films. Compliance requirements stimulate investment in new coatings that preserve barrier performance while improving compostability. The Emirates' Circular Packaging Association unites Borouge, Tetra Pak, and Unilever to pilot closed-loop models by collecting and recycling their own products at scale. As neighboring states align with the Gulf Standardization Organization (GSO) norms, converters gain uniform specifications for substrates and inks, thereby lowering certification costs across borders.
Brent crude price swings rapidly ripple through resin costs, putting pressure on converter margins. Smaller import-reliant states lack the hedging benefit enjoyed by integrated producers in Saudi Arabia and the UAE. Global oversupply compounds uncertainty: new polyethylene capacity in China and Southeast Asia keeps spot prices low yet unpredictable. When oil-to-naphtha ratios exceed the 7:1 threshold, GCC ethane-based plants strengthen their cost edge, but downstream buyers still struggle with price pass-through. Contract strategies evolve toward shorter tenures and indexed adjustments, but volatility remains a key planning risk for the GCC packaging market.
Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.
Plastic substrates retained 52.74% of the GCC packaging market share in 2025, supported by abundant ethane feedstock and well-established extrusion assets. The GCC packaging market size for plastics is forecast to keep expanding, albeit at a slower clip than emerging alternatives. Bioplastics, although still niche, are expected to show a 7.52% CAGR outlook through 2031, thanks to a USD 13.4 billion PLA plant currently under construction in the UAE. This flagship complex will deliver an annual output of 200,000 tons, securing regional supply and export volumes to Europe. Paper-based solutions are gaining traction in Oman and Qatar, where single-use legislation is encouraging substitution; however, water scarcity is increasing operating costs for pulp refiners in Bahrain and Kuwait, limiting the competitiveness of fiber. Metal and glass maintain relevance in the beverage and cosmetics niches but face pressure to lighten their weight.
Parallel capacity expansions by Borouge and Sipchem introduce polyethylene grades engineered for higher recycled content, addressing the sustainability scorecards of brand owners. Yet adoption hinges on harmonized GSO certification, which mandates performance standards for biodegradable resins. Cross-border alignment simplifies qualification for converters, but it still requires investment in dedicated tooling to manage the lower heat resistance of compostable films. In the longer term, life-cycle analysis favors multi-material solutions that combine paper, biopolymer coatings, and thin aluminum layers, thereby opening up design space for downgauged laminates. Material suppliers consult closely with fillers to mitigate concerns about seal integrity and oxygen ingress, ensuring consumer safety while supporting circular claims within the GCC packaging market.
Flexible films accounted for 63.78% of the GCC packaging market in 2025, reflecting their cost efficiency and convenience for snack, dairy, and condiment lines. The segment leverages advanced barrier structures produced on multi-layer blown film towers, offering puncture resistance suited to desert freight conditions. Still, rigid solutions post a stronger 5.18% CAGR to 2031 as paperboard tubs, molded pulp trays, and returnable PET bottles gain favor. Mondi installed new kraft paper and recycled containerboard lines that directly feed converters across the Gulf, reducing reliance on imports. Rigid innovation involves the use of microfibrillated cellulose coatings to replace polyethylene liners, facilitating mono-material recovery.
Semi-rigid thermoformed bowls for ready-meal deliveries capitalize on e-commerce demand spikes, offering consumer-friendly re-heating options. Digital artwork changeovers facilitate seasonal promotions for gifting holidays such as Ramadan. Sustainability ratings are further influencing buyer preferences: retailers are now publishing environmental score labels on shelf-edge tags, encouraging shoppers to opt for recyclable or fiber-based packaging. Consequently, supply chains invest in automated inspection to validate barrier properties after light-weighting steps. Resin producers supply clarified polypropylene that achieves glass-like transparency at lower density, meeting premium aesthetics while shaving grams from jar walls. The trajectory affirms a balanced portfolio in the GCC packaging market as scale economies converge with greener mandates.
The GCC Packaging Market Report is Segmented by Material (Plastic, Metal, Glass, Paper and Paperboard, and Bioplastics), Packaging Type (Rigid, Flexible, and Semi-Rigid), End-User Industry (Food, Beverage, Pharmaceutical, Personal and Homecare, and Industrial), Packaging Technology (Thermoforming, Blow Molding, and More), and Geography (United Arab Emirates, and More). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).