PUBLISHER: Mordor Intelligence | PRODUCT CODE: 2099511
PUBLISHER: Mordor Intelligence | PRODUCT CODE: 2099511
According to Mordor Intelligence, the Middle East milk powder market size is projected to grow from USD 3.93 billion in 2025 to USD 4.08 billion in 2026 and reach USD 5.17 billion by 2031, registering a CAGR of 4.86% during 2026-2031.

This report is Segmented by Type (Dairy, Non-Dairy/Plant-Based), Distribution Channel (Retail, Foodservice, Industrial), Packaging Format (Flexible Pouches, Cans and Tins, Bulk Bags, Single-Serve Sachets), and Geography (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Yemen, Rest of Middle East and Africa). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).
Infant nutrition remains one of the most reliable sources of demand for the Middle East milk powder market. The category benefits from steady household spending in Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Qatar, where consumers are willing to pay more for trusted formulations and certified products. It also favors suppliers that can meet stricter requirements for labeling, composition, and halal compliance. This gives large exporters and established regional distributors an advantage, as they already have the documentation and quality systems required by the trade. Fonterra is expected to strengthen this position in 2026 through a three-year supply agreement with a major Saudi distributor and by doubling its infant formula export volume to the Kingdom. This move shows that infant nutrition not only supports current volumes in the Middle East milk powder market but also influences long-term supplier commitments.
Health-led consumption is expanding the product mix in the Middle East milk powder market rather than replacing traditional dairy demand. High lactose intolerance in the region is increasing demand for easier-to-digest formulations and plant-based powder alternatives. Conventional milk powder remains important because consumers use it widely in cooked, blended, and processed products, where tolerance can differ from fresh milk. As a result, dairy powder and plant-based powder are growing side by side rather than following a direct substitution trend. Public policy also supports this shift, with the UAE's food security agenda and Saudi Arabia's support for local ingredient development giving plant-based formats more institutional visibility. The Middle East milk powder market is therefore expanding across formats, applications, and buyer profiles.
Climate pressure remains the key structural restraint on the Middle East milk powder market, as it limits the expansion of local raw milk production. Water stress is severe across the broader region, and agriculture already uses more than half of total water withdrawals in many MENA countries. This raises dairy farming costs and makes local supply more exposed to water policies, forage constraints, and feed dependence. The issue is long term because it affects the core economics of dairy farming in desert conditions. It also drives companies and governments to seek large-scale production capacity and powder supply outside core GCC markets. As a result, the Middle East milk powder market will continue to depend heavily on imported or externally produced dairy inputs, even as domestic champions expand.
Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.
Dairy milk powder is expected to hold an 85% share in 2025, remaining the primary volume driver of the Middle East milk powder market. Its scale reflects the category's extensive use across bakeries, confectionery, infant formula blending, dairy beverages, and routine household consumption. Whole milk powder remains important in applications where fat content enhances the taste and texture of finished products. Skim milk powder also plays a strong role in blending and industrial applications, where processors require functional dairy solids without added fat. This large installed base keeps dairy powder at the center of the Middle East milk powder industry and limits the pace of rapid substitution.
Non-dairy and plant-based milk powder is the fastest-growing type and is projected to expand at a CAGR of 5.76% through 2031. Growth is driven by lactose intolerance, institutional support for plant-based options, and rising consumer acceptance of soy, almond, and oat formats. However, the segment remains much smaller than dairy powder, so its growth starts from a narrower commercial base. Price remains the key constraint, as plant-based powder often sells at a clear premium to conventional dairy products. Even so, the Middle East milk powder market is gradually expanding its category boundaries as regional buyers adopt plant-based products for wellness, sustainability, and menu diversification.