Guidehouse Research Leaderboard Report: Residential Heat Pump Vendors - Assessment of Strategy and Execution for Nine Startups Offering Residential Heat Pump Solutions

Description

List of Tables

The residential heat pump market is undergoing rapid transformation as homeowners and building owners seek solutions that lower operating costs, support electrification, and advance decarbonization goals. In North America and Europe, policy support, building code changes, and incentive programs are accelerating adoption in both retrofit and new construction markets. At the same time, the customer journey, from system selection and permitting to installation and financing, remains complex, creating opportunities for startups to introduce streamlined services and differentiated product designs that better address consumer needs.

Guidehouse Research conducted this Leaderboard analysis to provide stakeholders with a comprehensive assessment of the competitive landscape among residential heat pump startups in North America and Europe. The report evaluates nine vendors, each offering unique approaches to overcoming market barriers such as complicated installations, high upfront costs, and limited solutions for multifamily buildings. The analysis covers a range of technologies, business models, and go-to-market strategies, and includes detailed scoring across criteria such as Technology, Go-to-Market Strategy, Product Performance, and Staying Power. The scope includes only startups that are already selling products commercially and are positioned to scale in the coming years.

Key findings highlight that while all evaluated vendors leverage advanced technologies and inventive business models, the Leaders have distinguished themselves through robust execution and market traction. One notable data point: Guidehouse Research estimates that residential heat pump shipments in North America and Europe will grow at a compound annual growth rate of 6.5% through 2034. The report offers actionable insights for manufacturers, investors, and policymakers seeking to understand emerging trends, identify promising vendors, and inform strategic decisions in this dynamic sector.

Product Code: LB-HPL-25

1. Executive Summary

1.1 Market Introduction
1.2 The Guidehouse Research Leaderboard Grid

2. Market Overview

2.1 Market Definition
2.2 Market Drivers
- 2.2.1 Growing Consumer Demand
- 2.2.2 Regulations and Incentive Programs
- 2.2.3 Improved Customer Experience
- 2.2.4 Multifamily Solution Gap
2.3 Market Barriers
- 2.3.1 Customer and Installer Brand Awareness
- 2.3.2 Large Incumbent Manufacturers
- 2.3.3 Complex Regulatory Landscape
- 2.3.4 Macroeconomic Conditions
2.4 Market Trends

3. The Guidehouse Research Leaderboard

3.1 The Guidehouse Research Leaderboard Categories
- 3.1.1 Leaders
- 3.1.2 Contenders
- 3.1.3 Challengers
- 3.1.4 Followers
3.2 The Guidehouse Research Leaderboard Grid

4. Company Rankings

4.1 Leaders
- 4.1.1 Aira
- 4.1.2 Quatt
4.2 Contenders
- 4.2.1 Jetson
- 4.2.2 Dandelion Energy
- 4.2.3 Wondrwall
- 4.2.4 Quilt
4.3 Challengers
- 4.3.1 Harvest
- 4.3.2 Gradient
- 4.3.3 Kelvin

5. Acronym and Abbreviation List

6. Table of Contents

7. Table of Charts and Figures

8.1 Scope of Study
8.2 Sources and Methodology
- 8.2.1 Vendor Selection
- 8.2.2 Ratings Scale
  - 8.2.2.1 Score Calculations
- 8.2.3 Criteria Definitions
  - 8.2.3.1 Strategy
  - 8.2.3.2 Execution

Product Code: LB-HPL-25

List of Tables

Table 2-1. Common Market Trends among Vendors Evaluated in This Leaderboard
Table 3-1. The Guidehouse Research Leaderboard Overall Scores

List of Figures

Chart 1-1. The Guidehouse Research Leaderboard Grid
Chart 3-1. The Guidehouse Research Leaderboard Grid
Chart 4-1. Aira Strategy and Execution Scores
Chart 4-2. Quatt Strategy and Execution Scores
Chart 4-3. Jetson Strategy and Execution Scores
Chart 4-4. Dandelion Energy Strategy and Execution Scores
Chart 4-5. Wondrwall Strategy and Execution Scores
Chart 4-6. Quilt Strategy and Execution Scores
Chart 4-7. Harvest Strategy and Execution Scores
Chart 4-8. Gradient Strategy and Execution Scores
Chart 4-9. Kelvin Strategy and Execution Scores