PUBLISHER: Prescient & Strategic Intelligence | PRODUCT CODE: 1803279
PUBLISHER: Prescient & Strategic Intelligence | PRODUCT CODE: 1803279
The U.S. apartment and condominium construction market was valued at USD 91.1 billion in 2024 and is forecast to grow to USD 124.2 billion by 2032, reflecting a CAGR of approximately 4.1% over the forecast period. Rising demand for high-density housing, driven by urban migration, growing rental demand, and a shortage of affordable home ownership options, continues to support robust construction activity.
Key Insights
Delivery of over 500,000 rental units in 2024 marked a record high, with more than 666,000 units leased or sold, and occupancy rates at around 94.8%, underscoring strong market absorption despite rising supply.
Construction starts are declining after 2022's peak, with a 27% drop in new multifamily starts in 2024 compared with 2023-a signal of tightening supply ahead.
Tariffs on construction materials and labor scarcity are creating headwinds, slowing new starts, particularly for steel-intensive, high-rise developments.
The market's annualized growth rate between 2019 and 2024 is estimated to be between 3.5% and 3.8%, indicating long-term stability amid cyclical pressures.
Competitive dynamics reflect widespread builder consolidation, cost pressures, and aggressive pricing strategies-developers now offering concessions such as free rent to maintain occupancy in overbuilt metro markets.
Regional momentum remains high in Sunbelt cities like Phoenix, Dallas, Austin, Raleigh, and Miami, though zoning restrictions and rising costs in fast-growing suburbs pose challenges.
Demand drivers include persistent affordability constraints, elevated mortgage rates, and elevated home prices-all supporting prolonged tenant demand for rentals and new construction absorption.
Long-term opportunities exist in adaptive reuse projects converting offices to residential units-led by New York, Chicago, Dallas, and Phoenix-helping alleviate urban housing shortages.
Developers are prioritizing mixed-use and transit-oriented designs, focusing on walkable neighborhoods, amenity-rich buildings, and sustainable development to attract renters and buyers.
Resilience in the market is increasingly tied to cost-efficient construction methods, substitution of building materials, and pre-leasing models to secure financing amid capital constraints.