Synthetic Fuel Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Raw Material, By Type, By Application, By Region, and By Competition, 2020-2030F

Description

The Global Synthetic Fuel Market, valued at USD 49.40 Billion in 2024, is projected to experience a CAGR of 6.19% to reach USD 70.83 Billion by 2030. Synthetic fuel, also known as e-fuel or synfuel, represents a liquid fuel manufactured from syngas, a blend of carbon monoxide and hydrogen derived from diverse feedstocks such as biomass, natural gas, or captured carbon dioxide and renewable hydrogen. The market for these fuels is primarily driven by the imperative to reduce global greenhouse gas emissions and enhance energy security through the diversification of energy portfolios.

Market Overview
Forecast Period	2026-2030
Market Size 2024	USD 49.40 Billion
Market Size 2030	USD 70.83 Billion
CAGR 2025-2030	6.19%
Fastest Growing Segment	Natural Gas
Largest Market	Asia Pacific

Key Market Drivers

The global synthetic fuel market is profoundly influenced by stringent environmental regulations and ambitious decarbonization goals, which compel industries to adopt low-carbon alternatives. Regulatory frameworks, such as the European Union's ReFuelEU Aviation initiative, establish clear targets for synthetic fuel integration in hard-to-abate sectors. According to the Council of EU ministers, October 2023, 'Final approval given | 1.2% of aviation fuel in EU must be derived from green hydrogen by 2030', an average of 1.2% of the fuel used by planes leaving EU airports in 2030 and 2031 must be synthetic kerosene, directly stimulating demand and investment in production capabilities. These mandates provide the necessary policy certainty for long-term investments in synthetic fuel production, driving technological advancements and scale-up efforts across the value chain.

Key Market Challenges

A significant challenge impeding the expansion of the global synthetic fuel market is the substantial capital investment required for establishing production facilities and the inherent difficulty in achieving economies of scale. These factors directly contribute to higher production costs compared to conventional fossil fuels. Such elevated costs diminish the economic competitiveness of synthetic fuels, thereby hindering their widespread adoption by industries seeking cost-effective energy solutions. This financial disparity limits the ability of synthetic fuels to penetrate existing markets, even with strong environmental drivers and policy support, as end-users face considerable additional expenses.

Key Market Trends

Technological innovations in production efficiency are significantly enhancing the viability and scalability of synthetic fuels by addressing key cost and operational hurdles. Advancements encompass improvements in catalyst development, reactor design, and integrated process technologies that streamline the conversion of raw materials into usable fuels. For example, Prometheus Fuels announced in September 2025 that it had reduced the cost of direct air capture (DAC) of carbon dioxide to below $50 per ton, a substantial decrease compared to previous industry averages, thereby making carbon-neutral fuels more cost-competitive. These efficiencies are critical for lowering the overall production expense, fostering greater investment, and accelerating market penetration by making synthetic fuels more economically attractive to end-users across various sectors.

Key Market Players

Sasol Limited
Shell plc
Robert Bosch GmbH
L'Air Liquide S.A
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc.
John Wood Group Plc
Amyris, Inc.
Chevron Corporation
Gevo, Inc.
Exxon Mobil Corporation

Report Scope:

In this report, the Global Synthetic Fuel Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:

Synthetic Fuel Market, By Raw Material:

Coal
Natural Gas
Food-crop/Plant Based
Non-food Crop Based

Synthetic Fuel Market, By Type:

Extra Heavy Oils
Gas to Liquid Oils
Shale Oils
Coal to Liquid
Biomass to Liquid
Others

Synthetic Fuel Market, By Application:

Gasoline
Diesel
Kerosene

Synthetic Fuel Market, By Region:

North America
- United States
- Canada
- Mexico
Europe
- France
- United Kingdom
- Italy
- Germany
- Spain
South America
- Brazil
- Argentina
- Colombia
Middle East & Africa
- South Africa
- Saudi Arabia
- UAE
Asia Pacific
- China
- India
- Japan
- Australia
- South Korea

Competitive Landscape

Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies presents in the Global Synthetic Fuel Market.

Available Customizations:

Global Synthetic Fuel Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report:

1. Product Overview

1.1. Market Definition
1.2. Scope of the Market
- 1.2.1. Markets Covered
- 1.2.2. Years Considered for Study
- 1.2.3. Key Market Segmentations

2. Research Methodology

2.1. Objective of the Study
2.2. Baseline Methodology
2.3. Key Industry Partners
2.4. Major Association and Secondary Sources
2.5. Forecasting Methodology
2.6. Data Triangulation & Validation
2.7. Assumptions and Limitations

3. Executive Summary

3.1. Overview of the Market
3.2. Overview of Key Market Segmentations
3.3. Overview of Key Market Players
3.4. Overview of Key Regions/Countries
3.5. Overview of Market Drivers, Challenges, Trends

4. Voice of Customer

5. Global Synthetic Fuel Market Outlook

5.1. Market Size & Forecast
- 5.1.1. By Value
5.2. Market Share & Forecast
- 5.2.1. By Raw Material (Coal, Natural Gas, Food-crop/Plant Based, Non-food Crop Based)
- 5.2.2. By Type (Extra Heavy Oils, Gas to Liquid Oils, Shale Oils, Coal to Liquid, Biomass to Liquid, Others)
- 5.2.3. By Application (Gasoline, Diesel, Kerosene)
- 5.2.4. By Region
- 5.2.5. By Company (2024)
5.3. Market Map

6. North America Synthetic Fuel Market Outlook

6.1. Market Size & Forecast
- 6.1.1. By Value
6.2. Market Share & Forecast
- 6.2.1. By Raw Material
- 6.2.2. By Type
- 6.2.3. By Application
- 6.2.4. By Country
6.3. North America: Country Analysis
- 6.3.1. United States Synthetic Fuel Market Outlook
  - 6.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 6.3.1.1.1. By Value
  - 6.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 6.3.1.2.1. By Raw Material
    - 6.3.1.2.2. By Type
    - 6.3.1.2.3. By Application
- 6.3.2. Canada Synthetic Fuel Market Outlook
  - 6.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 6.3.2.1.1. By Value
  - 6.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 6.3.2.2.1. By Raw Material
    - 6.3.2.2.2. By Type
    - 6.3.2.2.3. By Application
- 6.3.3. Mexico Synthetic Fuel Market Outlook
  - 6.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 6.3.3.1.1. By Value
  - 6.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 6.3.3.2.1. By Raw Material
    - 6.3.3.2.2. By Type
    - 6.3.3.2.3. By Application

7. Europe Synthetic Fuel Market Outlook

7.1. Market Size & Forecast
- 7.1.1. By Value
7.2. Market Share & Forecast
- 7.2.1. By Raw Material
- 7.2.2. By Type
- 7.2.3. By Application
- 7.2.4. By Country
7.3. Europe: Country Analysis
- 7.3.1. Germany Synthetic Fuel Market Outlook
  - 7.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 7.3.1.1.1. By Value
  - 7.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 7.3.1.2.1. By Raw Material
    - 7.3.1.2.2. By Type
    - 7.3.1.2.3. By Application
- 7.3.2. France Synthetic Fuel Market Outlook
  - 7.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 7.3.2.1.1. By Value
  - 7.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 7.3.2.2.1. By Raw Material
    - 7.3.2.2.2. By Type
    - 7.3.2.2.3. By Application
- 7.3.3. United Kingdom Synthetic Fuel Market Outlook
  - 7.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 7.3.3.1.1. By Value
  - 7.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 7.3.3.2.1. By Raw Material
    - 7.3.3.2.2. By Type
    - 7.3.3.2.3. By Application
- 7.3.4. Italy Synthetic Fuel Market Outlook
  - 7.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 7.3.4.1.1. By Value
  - 7.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 7.3.4.2.1. By Raw Material
    - 7.3.4.2.2. By Type
    - 7.3.4.2.3. By Application
- 7.3.5. Spain Synthetic Fuel Market Outlook
  - 7.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 7.3.5.1.1. By Value
  - 7.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 7.3.5.2.1. By Raw Material
    - 7.3.5.2.2. By Type
    - 7.3.5.2.3. By Application

8. Asia Pacific Synthetic Fuel Market Outlook

8.1. Market Size & Forecast
- 8.1.1. By Value
8.2. Market Share & Forecast
- 8.2.1. By Raw Material
- 8.2.2. By Type
- 8.2.3. By Application
- 8.2.4. By Country
8.3. Asia Pacific: Country Analysis
- 8.3.1. China Synthetic Fuel Market Outlook
  - 8.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 8.3.1.1.1. By Value
  - 8.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 8.3.1.2.1. By Raw Material
    - 8.3.1.2.2. By Type
    - 8.3.1.2.3. By Application
- 8.3.2. India Synthetic Fuel Market Outlook
  - 8.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 8.3.2.1.1. By Value
  - 8.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 8.3.2.2.1. By Raw Material
    - 8.3.2.2.2. By Type
    - 8.3.2.2.3. By Application
- 8.3.3. Japan Synthetic Fuel Market Outlook
  - 8.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 8.3.3.1.1. By Value
  - 8.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 8.3.3.2.1. By Raw Material
    - 8.3.3.2.2. By Type
    - 8.3.3.2.3. By Application
- 8.3.4. South Korea Synthetic Fuel Market Outlook
  - 8.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 8.3.4.1.1. By Value
  - 8.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 8.3.4.2.1. By Raw Material
    - 8.3.4.2.2. By Type
    - 8.3.4.2.3. By Application
- 8.3.5. Australia Synthetic Fuel Market Outlook
  - 8.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 8.3.5.1.1. By Value
  - 8.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 8.3.5.2.1. By Raw Material
    - 8.3.5.2.2. By Type
    - 8.3.5.2.3. By Application

9. Middle East & Africa Synthetic Fuel Market Outlook

9.1. Market Size & Forecast
- 9.1.1. By Value
9.2. Market Share & Forecast
- 9.2.1. By Raw Material
- 9.2.2. By Type
- 9.2.3. By Application
- 9.2.4. By Country
9.3. Middle East & Africa: Country Analysis
- 9.3.1. Saudi Arabia Synthetic Fuel Market Outlook
  - 9.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 9.3.1.1.1. By Value
  - 9.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 9.3.1.2.1. By Raw Material
    - 9.3.1.2.2. By Type
    - 9.3.1.2.3. By Application
- 9.3.2. UAE Synthetic Fuel Market Outlook
  - 9.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 9.3.2.1.1. By Value
  - 9.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 9.3.2.2.1. By Raw Material
    - 9.3.2.2.2. By Type
    - 9.3.2.2.3. By Application
- 9.3.3. South Africa Synthetic Fuel Market Outlook
  - 9.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 9.3.3.1.1. By Value
  - 9.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 9.3.3.2.1. By Raw Material
    - 9.3.3.2.2. By Type
    - 9.3.3.2.3. By Application

10. South America Synthetic Fuel Market Outlook

10.1. Market Size & Forecast
- 10.1.1. By Value
10.2. Market Share & Forecast
- 10.2.1. By Raw Material
- 10.2.2. By Type
- 10.2.3. By Application
- 10.2.4. By Country
10.3. South America: Country Analysis
- 10.3.1. Brazil Synthetic Fuel Market Outlook
  - 10.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 10.3.1.1.1. By Value
  - 10.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 10.3.1.2.1. By Raw Material
    - 10.3.1.2.2. By Type
    - 10.3.1.2.3. By Application
- 10.3.2. Colombia Synthetic Fuel Market Outlook
  - 10.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 10.3.2.1.1. By Value
  - 10.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 10.3.2.2.1. By Raw Material
    - 10.3.2.2.2. By Type
    - 10.3.2.2.3. By Application
- 10.3.3. Argentina Synthetic Fuel Market Outlook
  - 10.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 10.3.3.1.1. By Value
  - 10.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 10.3.3.2.1. By Raw Material
    - 10.3.3.2.2. By Type
    - 10.3.3.2.3. By Application

11. Market Dynamics

11.1. Drivers
11.2. Challenges

12. Market Trends & Developments

12.1. Merger & Acquisition (If Any)
12.2. Product Launches (If Any)
12.3. Recent Developments

13. Global Synthetic Fuel Market: SWOT Analysis

14. Porter's Five Forces Analysis

14.1. Competition in the Industry
14.2. Potential of New Entrants
14.3. Power of Suppliers
14.4. Power of Customers
14.5. Threat of Substitute Products

15. Competitive Landscape

15.1. Sasol Limited
- 15.1.1. Business Overview
- 15.1.2. Products & Services
- 15.1.3. Recent Developments
- 15.1.4. Key Personnel
- 15.1.5. SWOT Analysis
15.2. Shell plc
15.3. Robert Bosch GmbH
15.4. L'Air Liquide S.A
15.5. Air Products and Chemicals, Inc.
15.6. John Wood Group Plc
15.7. Amyris, Inc.
15.8. Chevron Corporation
15.9. Gevo, Inc.
15.10. Exxon Mobil Corporation