Germany: Telecoms Market Forecasts 2025-2030

"The migration of customers to fibre will drive revenue growth in Germany, as growth from mobile and other fixed services will be limited."

Analysys Mason provides detailed 5-year forecasts of the telecoms market in Western Europe. This report focuses on operators' core telecoms services in Germany.

This report provides:

• a 5-year forecast of mobile and fixed KPIs for the Germany
• an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile and fixed service
• an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics
• a summary of results and key implications for mobile and fixed operators.

Geographical coverage

Region modelled

• Western Europe (WE)

Country modelled individually

• Germany

Key performance indicators

Connections

Mobile:

• total (handset plus mobile broadband, excluding IoT), total including IoT
• handset: smartphone, basic, smartphone share of handsets
• mobile broadband
• total, handset and broadband: 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)
• business, residential
• total and handset: prepaid, contract and prepaid share
• IoT
• penetration: total, prepaid, contract, handset, smartphone, mobile broadband, IoT

Fixed:

• voice: narrowband, VoBB, dial-up
• broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies, gigabit-capable connections
• business, residential
• dedicated connections
• penetration (business sites and households): voice, broadband (ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, other technologies)

Pay TV

• operator, traditional
• business, residential

Traffic

• Outgoing voice minutes (fixed and mobile), MoU
• Cellular data and messaging traffic

Network-independent metrics

• GDP
• Population
• Households
• Business sites
• Exchange rates

Service revenue

Mobile:

• total
• share of GDP
• per capita per month
• residential, business
• prepaid, contract, prepaid share
• 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)

Fixed:

• total (retail plus wholesale)
• share of GDP
• per capita per month

Retail revenue

Mobile:

• total
• share of GDP
• per capita per month
• business, residential
• per GB
• 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G (and 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G share)
• voice, voice per minute
• data, data per GB
• handset: total, voice, messaging, data, prepaid, contract, prepaid share
• mobile broadband
• IoT connectivity

Fixed:

• total
• share of GDP
• per capita per month
• business, residential
• voice: narrowband, VoBB
• dedicated connections
• broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies, as a share of fixed retail revenue

ICT services

Pay TV

• operator, traditional
• business, residential

Wholesale revenue

• Mobile
• Fixed

ASPU

• Mobile:
  • total
  • voice
  • data
  • mobile broadband
  • IoT
  • handset: total, prepaid, contract, voice, messaging, data
  • business, residential
• Fixed:
  • voice
  • broadband: ADSL/VDSL, FTTP/B, cable modem, FWA, 5G FWA, other technologies
  • business, residential

ARPU

• Mobile:
  • total
  • prepaid, contract
  • business, residential
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G