Sub-Saharan Africa: Telecoms Market Forecasts 2025-2030

"Telecoms service revenue growth will be driven by rising spend on data as services improve and become more affordable."

This report provides a detailed 5-year forecast of the telecoms market in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). It includes discussions on the main drivers of revenue growth across the region, as well as forecasts for individual countries.

This report provides:

• a 5-year forecast of around 200 mobile and fixed KPIs for SSA, as a whole and for 10 key countries
• an in-depth analysis of the trends, drivers and forecast assumptions for each type of mobile and fixed service, and for key countries
• an overview of operator strategies and country-specific topics, in order to highlight similarities and differences by means of a cross-country comparison
• a summary of results and key implications for mobile and fixed operators.

Geographical coverage

Regions modelled

SSA

Countries modelled individually

• Cameroon
• Cote d’Ivoire
• Ghana
• Kenya
• Nigeria
• Rwanda
• South Africa
• Tanzania
• Uganda
• Zambia

Key performance indicators

Connections

• Mobile:
  • handset, mobile broadband, IoT
  • prepaid, contract
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G
  • total and handset: prepaid, contract and prepaid share
  • smartphone, non-smartphone
• Fixed:
  • voice, broadband
  • narrowband voice, VoBB
  • DSL, fibre broadband, cable broadband, FWA, 5G, satellite and other
• Pay TV

Traffic

• Outgoing voice minutes, MoU
• Mobile data traffic

Revenue/ARPU/ASPU

• Mobile:
  • service, retail, wholesale
  • handset, mobile broadband, IoT
  • handset voice, messaging data
  • prepaid, contract
  • 2G, 3G, 4G, 5G
• Fixed:
  • service, retail, wholesale
  • voice, broadband, dedicated connections
  • DSL, fibre broadband, cable broadband, FWA, 5G, satellite and other

ICT services

Pay-TV

Value-added services

Equipment