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PUBLISHER: Frost & Sullivan | PRODUCT CODE: 1953304

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PUBLISHER: Frost & Sullivan | PRODUCT CODE: 1953304

Growth Opportunity Analysis in the Vehicle Leasing Market, Global, 2024-2029

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The Global Vehicle Leasing Market is Experiencing Transformational Growth by Shifting Toward Operational, Full-Service, and EV-Driven Leasing Models, with Revenue Set to Hit $520.28 Billion by 2029

The global vehicle leasing market was valued at USD 398.24 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 520.28 billion by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 5.5% during the forecast period. The expansion of the Light Commercial Vehicle (LCV) Leasing Market and the rising penetration of the passenger vehicle (PV) leasing market are the primary growth engines, supported by increasing fleet outsourcing, rapid e-commerce expansion, and the accelerating adoption of electric vehicles across global mobility ecosystems.

Key Market Trends & Insights

  • Europe and North America together accounted for the largest share of the global vehicle leasing market in 2024, driven by high corporate fleet penetration and mature leasing ecosystems.
  • The Light Commercial Vehicle (LCV) Leasing Market continues to expand due to strong demand from logistics, last-mile delivery, and service fleets.
  • The passenger vehicle (PV) leasing market is growing rapidly as consumers increasingly prefer subscription-based and operational leasing models.
  • Operational leasing is gaining share over financial leasing as customers seek predictable costs and bundled services.
  • Electric vehicle leasing is emerging as a major growth catalyst within the light commercial vehicle leasing market and PV segment.

Market Size & Forecast

2024 Market Size: USD 398.24 Billion

  • 2029 Projected Market Size: USD 520.28 Billion
  • CAGR (2024-2029): 5.5%
  • Largest Region: Europe
  • Fastest Growing Region: Asia-Pacific

The increasing shift toward asset-light mobility, combined with the digitization of fleet management and rapid EV adoption, is structurally transforming the global vehicle leasing market. Companies and consumers are turning to leasing as a cost-efficient and flexible alternative to ownership, while leasing providers are expanding their value proposition through telematics, charging solutions, and integrated mobility services. As e-commerce, urbanization, and sustainability mandates continue to reshape transportation, the Light Commercial Vehicle (LCV) Leasing Market and the passenger vehicle (PV) leasing market are expected to remain central to the long-term growth of the global vehicle leasing market.

Market Overview: Global Vehicle Leasing Market

The global vehicle leasing market has evolved into one of the most critical pillars of the modern automotive and mobility ecosystem, enabling fleet renewal, electrification, and capital-efficient mobility across corporate and private customers. The market covers multi-year lease contracts for both the passenger vehicle (PV) leasing market and the Light Commercial Vehicle (LCV) Leasing Market, supporting millions of corporate fleets, SMEs, and individual consumers worldwide.

In 2024, global leasing revenue reached USD 398.24 billion, supported by 48.4 million active lease contracts. By 2029, revenue is expected to reach USD 520.28 billion, while active contracts will increase to 56.3 million, indicating that value growth is outpacing unit growth as leasing shifts toward higher-value, service-bundled and EV-centric contracts

This reflects a structural upgrade in the light commercial vehicle leasing market and passenger vehicle (PV) leasing market, where leasing providers now bundle maintenance, telematics, battery coverage, and charging solutions into monthly payments.

Operational leasing is outgrowing financial leasing because customers want predictable TCO, risk transfer, and simplified fleet management. Digital platforms, AI-driven residual value modeling, and connected-vehicle data are transforming how leases are priced, managed, and renewed. These trends are pushing the global vehicle leasing market toward integrated digital mobility ecosystems, where leasing companies become long-term fleet partners rather than simple financiers.

Scope of Analysis: Global Vehicle Leasing Market

This study analyzes the global vehicle leasing market across passenger vehicles and light commercial vehicles serving both corporate and private customers. The scope includes four core leasing models: Corporate Financial Leasing (CFL), Corporate Operational Leasing (COL), Private Financial Leasing (PFL), and Private Operational Leasing (POL), which together represent the full universe of the light commercial vehicle leasing market and passenger vehicle (PV) leasing market

The study period spans 2019-2029, with 2024 as the base year and 2025-2029 as the forecast period. All revenues are reported in US dollars and calculated using average annual lease value per vehicle multiplied by the number of active lease contracts in each region. Revenue reflects annualized contract income for vehicles under management by leasing companies rather than OEM sales or financing volumes.

Geographic coverage includes North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, and Other regions (Saudi Arabia, South Africa, and UAE). The analysis integrates macroeconomic conditions, fleet electrification trends, digital leasing adoption, and residual value dynamics to model the evolution of the global vehicle leasing market across both the passenger vehicle (PV) leasing market and the Light Commercial Vehicle (LCV) Leasing Market.

Revenue & Spending Forecast: Global Vehicle Leasing Market

The global vehicle leasing market expanded from USD 398.24 billion in 2024 to a projected USD 520.28 billion by 2029, representing a CAGR of 5.5% over the forecast period

Revenue Forecast

Growth is driven by higher EV penetration, increasing service bundling, and rising operational leasing adoption across both the passenger vehicle (PV) leasing market and the Light Commercial Vehicle (LCV) Leasing Market.

Europe will continue to be the largest regional contributor, reaching USD 228.70 billion by 2029, while North America will grow to USD 178.31 billion. Asia-Pacific will expand to USD 85.78 billion, supported by rapid urbanization, digital leasing platforms, and rising middle-class demand.

Operational leasing revenue will grow faster than financial leasing as full-service EV contracts, telematics, and charging bundles lift monthly lease values. As EV share increases, total revenue in the global vehicle leasing market will grow faster than vehicle volumes, reflecting a structural upgrade toward higher-value mobility solutions.

Market Segmentation Analysis: Global Vehicle Leasing Market

The global vehicle leasing market is segmented by leasing model, vehicle type, customer group, and region, reflecting the complexity of how fleets and personal vehicles are financed and managed worldwide.

By leasing model, operational leasing (corporate and private combined) is the dominant growth engine, expanding at 6.2% CAGR, compared with 3.5% CAGR for financial leasing. This shift is being driven by strong demand for bundled full-service contracts that reduce residual value risk and simplify fleet management across both the light commercial vehicle leasing market and the passenger vehicle (PV) leasing market

By vehicle type, passenger vehicles account for the majority of leased units, especially in private operational leasing, while LCVs dominate corporate operational leasing, driven by logistics, e-commerce, utilities, and field-service fleets. The Light Commercial Vehicle (LCV) Leasing Market benefits from high utilization, predictable fleet replacement cycles, and growing electrification mandates.

Regionally, Europe generated USD 183.73 billion in 2024, followed by North America at USD 128.60 billion, making them the two largest contributors to the global vehicle leasing market. Asia-Pacific and Latin America are the fastest-growing regions due to low leasing penetration, SME expansion, and rapid EV adoption.

Growth Drivers: Global Vehicle Leasing Market

The global vehicle leasing market is being propelled by several powerful growth drivers. First, the shift toward asset-light mobility is pushing both corporates and consumers to favor leasing over ownership, particularly within the passenger vehicle (PV) leasing market. Second, the post-COVID expansion of e-commerce and last-mile delivery is fueling sustained demand in the Light Commercial Vehicle (LCV) Leasing Market.

Third, OEM captive finance arms are actively promoting leasing to stabilize vehicle sales and secure recurring revenue streams. Fourth, digitalization of lease origination, fleet telematics, and AI-based residual value modeling is improving scalability and profitability for leasing companies. Finally, government EV incentives and decarbonization mandates are making leasing the preferred channel for EV adoption, as lessors absorb battery, depreciation, and resale risks.

Together, these drivers are accelerating penetration and increasing average contract value across the global vehicle leasing market.

Growth Restraints: Global Vehicle Leasing Market

Despite strong fundamentals, the global vehicle leasing market faces key challenges. High interest rates and funding costs increase monthly lease payments, particularly for service-heavy operational leases. Residual value volatility in EVs creates pricing uncertainty, especially in the passenger vehicle (PV) leasing market.

Supply-chain disruptions and model availability constraints slow fleet renewal in the Light Commercial Vehicle (LCV) Leasing Market, while regulatory uncertainty around EV incentives and taxation complicates long-term planning. In emerging regions, low consumer awareness of full-service leasing and weak used-vehicle remarketing ecosystems limit adoption and profitability.

Competitive Landscape: Global Vehicle Leasing Market

The global vehicle leasing market is highly competitive, with approximately 320 active players worldwide. The top five companies control 22.2% of global revenue, led by Ayvens, Volkswagen Financial Services, Arval, Leasys, and ORIX

OEM-backed lessors benefit from preferential vehicle supply and pricing, while independent leaders differentiate through EV portfolios, charging partnerships, telematics, and digital platforms. M&A activity, such as ALD Automotive's acquisition of LeasePlan to form Ayvens, is accelerating consolidation and scale across both the passenger vehicle (PV) leasing market and Light Commercial Vehicle (LCV) Leasing Market.

Product Code: PFI4-43

Table of Contents

Research Scope

  • Scope of Analysis
  • Segmentation

Growth Environment: Transformation in the Global Vehicle Leasing Market

  • Why is it Increasingly Difficult to Grow?
  • The Strategic Imperative 8(TM)
  • The Impact of the Top 3 Strategic Imperatives on the Vehicle Leasing Industry

Ecosystem in the Global Vehicle Leasing Market

  • Competitive Environment
  • Key Competitors

Growth Generator in the Global Vehicle Leasing Market

  • Growth Metrics
  • Growth Drivers
  • Growth Restraints
  • Forecast Considerations
  • Revenue and Active Lease Contracts Forecast
  • Revenue Forecast by Product
  • Revenue Forecast by Region
  • Revenue Forecast Analysis
  • Active Lease Contracts Forecast by Product
  • Active Lease Contracts Forecast by Region
  • Pricing Trends and Forecast Analysis
  • Revenue Share
  • Revenue Share Analysis

Growth Generator Corporate Financial Leasing

  • Growth Metrics
  • Revenue and Active Lease Contracts Forecast
  • Revenue Forecast by Region
  • Corporate Financial Leasing-Forecast Analysis

Growth Generator Corporate Operational Leasing

  • Growth Metrics
  • Revenue and Active Lease Contracts Forecast
  • Revenue Forecast by Region
  • Active Lease Contracts Forecast by Region
  • Corporate Operational Leasing-Forecast Analysis

Growth Generator Private Financial Leasing

  • Growth Metrics
  • Revenue and Active Lease Contracts Forecast
  • Revenue Forecast by Region
  • Active Lease Contracts Forecast by Region
  • Private Financial Leasing-Forecast Analysis

Growth Generator Private Operational Leasing

  • Growth Metrics
  • Revenue and Active Lease Contracts Forecast
  • Revenue Forecast by Region
  • Active Lease Contracts Forecast by Region
  • Private Operational Leasing-Forecast Analysis

Growth Opportunity Universe in The Global Vehicle Leasing Market

  • Growth Opportunity 1: Accelerating EV-Centric Mobility Solutions
  • Growth Opportunity 2: Building Integrated Digital Leasing Ecosystems
  • Growth Opportunity 3: Scaling Leasing in Emerging Mobility Corridors

Appendix & Next Steps

  • Benefits and Impacts of Growth Opportunities
  • Next Steps
  • List of Exhibits
  • Legal Disclaimer
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