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PUBLISHER: Juniper Research Ltd | PRODUCT CODE: 1128131

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PUBLISHER: Juniper Research Ltd | PRODUCT CODE: 1128131

5G Fixed Wireless Access: Future Opportunities, Segment Analysis & Market Forecasts 2022-2027

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Juniper Research's “5G Fixed Wireless Access” research provides a comprehensive assessment of this ever-evolving market, including a market segment analysis which assesses future opportunities of FWA (Fixed Wireless Access), specifically with the evolution of 5G networks, for operators and FWA vendors within a variety of markets including private cellular networks, smart cities, IoT (Internet of Things), telemedicine and multi-edge computing. This report also includes key recommendations for FWA stakeholders, and 5-year forecasts providing an in-depth examination and strategic analysis of the FWA market across 8 key regions.

This report is accompanied by 5-year forecasts for the market, including:

  • Consumer 5G FWA
  • Enterprise 5G FWA, split by:
    • Commercial 5G FWA
    • Industrial 5G FWA

This research suite includes:

  • Strategy & Forecasts (PDF)
  • 5-year Market Sizing & Forecast Spreadsheet (Excel)
  • 12 Months' Access to harvest Online Data Platform

Key Market Statistics

Market size in 2022:$515m
Market size in 2027:$2.5bn
2022 - 2027 Market Growth:480%

KEY FEATURES

  • Market Outlook: An assessment of 5G FWA by offering, application and environment, along with an analysis of several factors that will be impacting the 5G FWA market, including 4G and 5G deployment, total number of base station shipments, total data transmitted and total addressable user base.
  • 5G FWA Use Cases: Analysis of recent deployments from key players in the market including:
    • Ericsson
    • Huawei
    • T-Mobile
    • Verizon
  • Business Sector Analysis: This includes the analysis of monetisation opportunities for players in the 5G FWA market and a thorough assessment of markets that will be impacted by the 5G FWA market including:
    • IoT
    • Multi-edge Computing
    • Private Cellular Networks
    • Smart Cities
    • Telemedicine
  • Benchmark Industry Forecasts: 5-year forecasts split by 8 key regions and 60 countries are provided for the total number of 5G FWA users, revenue and generated data. These forecasts are split across two markets (consumer and enterprise), with the enterprise market being split by two further markets (commercial and industrial). Region and country splits include:
    • North America:
      • Canada, US
    • Latin America:
      • Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Mexico, Peru, Uruguay
    • West Europe:
      • Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, UK
    • Central & East Europe:
      • Croatia, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Russia, Turkey, Ukraine
    • Far East & China:
      • China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea
    • Indian Subcontinent:
      • Bangladesh, India, Nepal, Pakistan
    • Rest of Asia Pacific:
      • Australia, Indonesia, Malaysia, New Zealand, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam
    • Africa & Middle East
      • Algeria, Egypt, Israel, Kenya, Kuwait, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, United Arab Emirates

The report examines the use of 5G FWA within these markets and provides recommendations for efficient monetisation of 5G FWA traffic.

KEY QUESTIONS ANSWERED

  • 1. What are the future monetisation opportunities for 5G FWA?
  • 2. What will the value of the 5G FWA market be by 2027?
  • 3. Which regions are expected to show the largest growth in the 5G FWA market over the forecast period?
  • 4. What is the potential for 5G FWA in the commercial market?
  • 5. What are the potential challenges that will threaten the 5G FWA market?

COMPANIES REFERENCED

  • Case Studied: Ericsson, Huawei, T-Mobile, Verizon
  • Mentioned: 1&1, ABP (Associated British Ports), Amazon, AWS, GSMA, Netflix, Proptivity.

DATA & INTERACTIVE FORECAST

  • 5-year benchmark forecasts for consumer and enterprise (split by commercial and industrial) markets by 8 key regions and 60 country-level splits.
  • 5G FWA Market Summary, including:
    • Total Number of 5G FWA Connections
    • Total Revenue from 5G FWA Connections
    • Total Data Generated by 5G FWA
  • Data splits are provided for:
    • Consumer 5G FWA
    • Enterprise 5G FWA
      • Commercial 5G FWA
      • Industrial 5G FWA
  • Geographical splits: 60 countries
  • Number of tables: Over 40 tables
  • Number of datapoints: Over 19,000 datapoints.
  • harvest: Our online data platform, harvest, contains the very latest market data and is updated throughout the year. This is a fully featured platform enabling clients to better understand key data trends and manipulate charts and tables; overlaying different forecasts within the one chart - using the comparison tool. Empower your business with our market intelligence centre, and get alerted whenever your data is updated.
  • Interactive Excels (IFxl): Our IFxl tool enables clients to manipulate both forecast data and charts, within an Excel environment, to test their own assumptions using the interactive scenario tool and compare selected markets side by side in customised charts and tables. IFxls greatly increase a client's ability to both understand a particular market and to integrate their own views into the model.

FORECAST SUMMARY

The total operator-billed revenue generated from 5G FWA services will rise from $515 million in 2022 to $2.5 billion next year. This staggering growth will be driven by 5G's advanced network capabilities, such as ultra-low delay and increased data processing, to provide connectivity services that were previously unachievable with 4G technology.

  • FWA includes services that provide high-speed Internet connectivity through cellular-enabled CPE (Customer Premises Equipment) for uses including broadband and IoT networks.
  • Operators' 5G FWA revenue will reach $24 billion globally by 2027. It identified the consumer market as the sector generating the highest revenue for operators; representing 96% of global 5G FWA revenue. However, it warned that operators must provide a compelling user proposition for FWA solutions through the bundling of services such as video streaming, gaming and smart home security to enrich user experience and gain competitive advantage against incumbent high-speed connectivity technologies, such as FTTP (Fibre to the Property).
  • The benefits of FWA are now comparable with services using fibre-based networks. Operators have an immediate opportunity to generate revenue from broadband subscriptions directly to end users by providing last-mile solutions underpinned by their existing 5G infrastructure.
  • Private networks are a key monetisation opportunity; offering superior network capabilities over 4G. Smart manufacturing, shipping ports and airports are the key use cases for 5G FWA. The report recommended that operators use 5G FWA to facilitate the last mile-solution by treating the relationship between FWA and fibre networks as wholly collaborative to maximise network performance and return on investment.

Table of Contents

1. Key Takeaways & Strategic Recommendations

  • 1.1. 5G FWA (5G Fixed Wireless Access) Key Takeaways
  • 1.2. 5G FWA Strategic Recommendations

2. Future Market Outlook

  • 2.1. Introduction to FWA
    • Figure 2.1: FWA Connectivity
    • 2.1.1. 4G vs 5G
      • Figure 2.2: Total Number of 5G Connections in 2022 (m), Split by 8 Key Regions
    • 2.1.2. Total Number of Base Station Shipments
      • Figure 2.3: 5G Small Cells and Macrocells for FWA
    • 2.1.3. Total Data Transmitted
      • Figure 2.4: Total Data Generated from 5G FWA Connections (PB), 2022-2027
    • 2.1.4. Broadband Users
      • Figure 2.5: Penetration Rate of Broadband Users (%), Split by 8 Key Regions, 2022-2027
  • 2.2. Current Market Outlook
    • Figure 2.6: Countries with Live Commercial 5G FWA Networks in August 2022
    • Figure 2.7: Total 5G Connections that are Used for FWA in 2027 (m), Split by 8 Key Regions
    • Figure 2.8: Average Cellular Data Usage per Person per annum (PB), Split by 8 Key Regions, 2022-2027
    • 2.2.1. 5G FWA by Offering
      • i. 5G FWA Value Proposition
      • ii. Hardware
        • Figure 2.9: Total Number of Residential Broadband Subscription (m), Split by 8 Key Regions, 2022-2027
      • iii. Spectrum
    • 2.2.2. 5G FWA by Application
      • Figure 2.10: Total 5G FWA Connections in 2027 (%), Split by Application
      • i. Consumer
        • Figure 2.11: Proportion of 5G FWA Connections That Are Consumer Connections (%), Split by 8 Key Regions, 2022-2027
      • ii. Industrial
      • iii. Commercial
    • 2.2.3. 5G FWA by Demography
      • Figure 2.13: Wired vs Wireless Access by Demography
      • i. Urban
      • ii. Semi-urban
      • iii. Rural
  • 2.3. 5G FWA Challenges
    • 2.3.1. High Propagation
      • i. Spectrum Efficiencies
    • 2.3.2. The Need for Interoperability Between Multiple Players
      • Figure 2.12: IoT, Mobile & 5G FWA Users (m), Split by Technology, 2022-2027
    • 2.3.3. Cost of 5G Deployment

3. Business Model Analysis

  • 3.1. Introduction to 5G Fixed Wireless Access Business Models
    • 3.1.1. 5G FWA Monetisation Opportunities
      • i. Providing Bundles FWA Offers to Attract Customers
        • Figure 3.1: Monetisation Combinations with 5G Services
  • 3.2. 5G FWA Commercial Market Analysis
    • 3.2.1. Private Cellular Networks
      • Figure 3.2: Private to Public Networks
      • Figure 3.3: Total Number of Public Sector & Government Private Cellular Networks per annum (m), Split by 8 Key Regions, 2022-2026
    • 3.2.2. Private vs Hybrid
      • Figure 3.4: Core Private Cellular Network Benefits Facilitated by FWA
    • 3.2.3. Smart Cities
      • Figure 3.5: Total Smart City Spend ($m), Split by 8 Key Regions, 2022-2026
      • Figure 3.6: Smart City Infrastructure
    • 3.2.4. IoT
      • Figure 3.7: Total Number of Cellular IoT Connections Operating on 5G Networks (m), Split by 8 Key Regions, 2022-2026
      • Figure 3.8: M2M Use Cases and their Latency
    • 3.2.5. Telemedicine
      • Figure 3.9: Net Cost Savings by Patients Using Teleconsultation Services Over person Healthcare per annum in 2022 ($m), Split by 8 Key Regions
    • 3.2.6. Multi-edge Computing
      • Figure 3.10: Total MEC Spend by Operators ($m), Split by 8 Key Regions, 2022-2027

4. Market Forecasts & Key Takeaways

  • 4.1. Market Forecasts and Key Takeaways
    • 4.1.1. Consumer 5G FWA Forecast Methodology and Assumptions
    • 4.1.2. Enterprise 5G FWA Forecast Methodology and Assumptions
      • Figure 4.1: 5G FWA Commercial Connections Forecast Methodology
      • Figure 4.2: 5G FWA Enterprise Connections Forecast Methodology
      • Figure 4.3: 5G FWA Commercial Connections Forecast Methodology
      • Figure 4.4: 5G FWA Industrial Connections Forecast Methodology
  • 4.2. Total 5G FWA Connections
    • Figure & Table 4.5: Total 5G Connections That Are Used for FWA (m), Split by 8 Key Regions, 2022-2027
    • Table 4.6: Total 5G Connections That Are Used for FWA (m), Split by Application, 2022-2027
  • 4.3. Total Revenue Generated from 5G FWA Connections
    • Figure & Table 4.7: Total Revenue from 5G FWA Connections ($m), Split by 8 Key regions, 2022-2027
    • Table 4.8: Average Revenue per 5G FWA Connection per annum ($m), Split by Key Regions, 2022-2027
  • 4.4. Total Data Generated from 5G FWA Connections
    • Figure & Table 4.9: Total Data Generated from 5G FWA Connections (PB), Split by 8 Key Regions, 2022-2027
  • 4.5. Total 5G Connections That Are Used for Consumer FWA
    • Figure & Table 4.10: Total Number of 5G Connections That Are Used for Consumer FWA (m), Split by 8 Key Regions, 2022-2027
  • 4.6. Total Service Revenue Generated from Consumer 5G FWA Connections
    • Figure & Table 4.11: Total Service Revenue from Consumer 5G FWA Connections ($m), Split by 8 Key Regions, 2022-2027
    • Table 4.12: Total Service Revenue from Consumer 5G FWA Connections in West Europe ($m), Split by Selected West European Countries, 2022-2027
  • 4.7. Total 5G Connections That Are Used for Enterprise FWA
    • Figure & Table 4.13: Total 5G Connections That Are Used for Enterprise FWA (m), Split by 8 Key Regions, 2022-2027
    • Table 4.14: Total 5G Connections That Are Used for Enterprise FWA (m), Split by Sector, 2022-2027
  • 4.8. Total Service Revenue Generated from Enterprise 5G FWA Connections
    • Figure & Table 4.15: Total Service Revenue from Enterprise 5G FWA Connection, Split by 8 Key Regions, 2022-2027
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