Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition - Market and Technology Forecast to 2033

Description

Market forecast by Region and Ammunition Calibre. Country Analysis, Market and Technology Overview including Critical Raw Materials, Opportunity Analysis, and Leading Company Profiles

The global ammunition market is currently shaped by two key factors: the war in Ukraine and the urgency for increased production. The conflict has dramatically heightened ammunition consumption, revealing that Western nations were unprepared for high-intensity warfare against peer adversaries. In particular, European countries discovered they lacked sufficient stockpiles, falling far short of NATO's 30-day minimum requirement. As a result, governments are now revising their planning to maintain larger reserves, ensuring they are better equipped for sustained conflict scenarios.

This realization has exposed weaknesses in both stockpiles and industrial capacity, as defence production in recent decades had been scaled back to minimal levels, sufficient only for peacetime needs. The war has forced a shift in priorities, driving demand for greater capacity and resilience. Ammunition manufacturers are now under pressure to ramp up production quickly, but creating new production lines typically requires one to three years. To bridge the gap, strategies include acquiring underutilized lines and strengthening supply chains by investing in smaller suppliers.

While demand is strong and expected to remain so in the medium to long term, uncertainty surrounds what will happen once the war in Ukraine ends. Industry leaders are urged to pursue sustainable production models that balance immediate needs with long-term viability, focusing on consistent output rather than short-lived spikes. At the same time, competition is expected to intensify, particularly in Europe, where multiple countries are striving for national autonomy in ammunition production. The fragmented nature of the market raises questions about overcapacity and competitiveness in the years ahead.

Adding to these challenges are global trade tensions and tariffs, which disrupt supply chains, increase costs, and threaten economic stability. The United States, as the world's largest economy, plays a pivotal role in this dynamic, and concerns have been raised about the impact of protectionist policies. With new tariffs expected to take effect from mid-2025, their consequences will likely ripple across Europe and beyond. These developments highlight how both geopolitical conflicts and economic policies are converging to reshape the global ammunition market.

Our study, "Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition - Market and Technology Forecast to 2033" explores how conventional, unguided medium and large calibre ammunition are being procured and how the war in Ukraine is reshaping the market to its full extent. The volume and the value of the market is such, that it offers significant opportunities to new entrants and well-established manufacturers that want to further expand their market share. Even though the war in Ukraine might come to an end in the near-future, the security considerations and the need to refill stockpiles is such that it will provide a strong demand for the years to come.

The study provides in-depth insights procurement opportunities, mapping out the scope, scale, and timelines of opportunities worldwide. It also offers a solid understanding of the current situation in the medium and large calibre ammunition business landscape and what should be expected for the future.

Covered in this study:

Overview: A strong insight of the Medium and Large Military Ammunition market in the military market during 2025-2033, including highlights of the demand drivers, trends, and challenges. It also provides a snapshot of the spending with respect to regions as well as segments and sheds light on the emergence of new technologies.
Market Dynamics: Snapshots into the technological developments in the medium and large calibre military ammunition market. It also analyses the market landscape in key regions, how that is shaped by the war in Ukraine and the political and regulatory efforts undertaken to address a series of issues.
Segment Analysis: Insights into the various calibres, end-use and regions from a segmental perspective and a detailed analysis of factors influencing the market for each segment.
Regional Analysis: Insights into the systems market from a regional perspective and a detailed analysis of factors influencing the market for each region.
Competitive landscape Analysis: Analysis of the competitive landscape of this industry. It provides an overview of key companies, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a SWOT analysis.

Segmentation

The market is segmented by Region and Calibre of the ammunition.

Region

North America
Europe
Asia Pacific
Middle East & Africa
Latin America

Calibre

20mm - up to 100mm
(100mm excluded)
100mm - up to 200mm
A/T Ammunition (single use)
A/T Rockets

Reasons to buy:

Insights into the global efforts to scale up medium and large calibre military ammunition production and meet the demands of the war in Ukraine and the urgent neet to replenish stockpiles.
Defines and thoroughly analyses the factors that deeply change the face of the market, including overarching political decisions and policies, business collaborations and initiatives, reshaping of the supply chain and critical raw materials required in production.
Offers clarity and top level information on ammunition produced in certain regions and what is offered as an assistance to Ukraine, thereby shaping procurement worldwide.
Illustrates opportunities and risks within the market so that the reader can make informed decisions to better develop one's business.

Companies Listed:

American Rheinmetall Munitions
BAE Systems
Day & Zimmermann
EURENCO
Forcit
General Dynamics - Ordnance and Tactical Systems
GGG - Giraite Ginluotes Gamykla
IMT Defence
KNDS France

MKE
Nammo
Nitrotol OU
Northrop Grumman
Patria Oy
PGZ Group
Rheinmetall
Rheinmetall AG
Rheinmetall EXPAL

Product Code: MF252862

1. Executive Summary

1.1. Trends and Insights
1.2. Main Findings
- 1.2.1. Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market summary by Region
- 1.2.2. Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market summary by Launch Platform
- 1.2.3. Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market summary by Calibre
1.3. Key Conclusions

2. Introduction

2.1. Scope
2.2. Definitions
2.3. Methodology
2.4. Who will benefit from this study?

3. Technologies and Developments

3.1. Technology overview
3.2. Improving ammunition characteristics
3.3. Reducing collateral damage
3.4. Raw materials in the production of ammunition
- 3.4.1. Propellants
3.5. Maintaining ammunition and modern technology
3.6. New ammunition developments
- 3.6.1. Rheinmetall enhanced Kinetic Energy
- 3.6.2. Ramjet artillery shells
- 3.6.3. Explosives and Insensitive Munition (IE)
3.7. Technological developments in Russia and China

4. Critical Raw Materials

5. Market Overview

5.1. Introduction
5.2. Medium & large calibre military ammunition market volume distribution over forecast period by Region
5.3. Competitive landscape
5.4. Europe
- 5.4.1. European Union
- 5.4.2. Baltic region
- 5.4.3. Nordic region
- 5.4.4. Czech Republic - Slovakia
- 5.4.5. France
- 5.4.6. Germany
- 5.4.7. Poland
- 5.4.8. Ukraine
5.5. North America
- 5.5.1. United States
- 5.5.2. Canada
5.6. Asia-Pacific
- 5.6.1. Australia
5.7. Supplying Ukraine with ammunition and lessons learned

6. Market Dynamics and Forecast Factors

6.1. Introduction
6.2. Market Segmentation
6.3. Drivers
6.4. Trends
6.5. Opportunities
6.6. Challenges
6.7. Forecast Factors
- 6.7.1. Support to Ukraine
- 6.7.2. US
- 6.7.3. EU
- 6.7.4. Czech Initiative
- 6.7.5. Other countries - Non-NATO members

7. Country Analysis

7.1. Overview

8. Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Region

8.1. Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market by Region overview
8.2. Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market Region by Launch Platform overview
- 8.2.1. North America market by Launch Platform overview
- 8.2.2. Europe market by Launch Platform overview
- 8.2.3. Asia Pacific market by Launch Platform overview
- 8.2.4. Middle-East & Africa market by Launch Platform overview
- 8.2.5. Latin America market by Launch Platform overview
8.3. Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market Region by Calibre overview
- 8.3.1. North America market by Calibre overview
- 8.3.2. Europe market by Calibre overview
- 8.3.3. Asia Pacific market by Calibre overview
- 8.3.4. Middle-East & Africa market by Calibre overview
- 8.3.5. Latin America market by Calibre overview

9. Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform

9.1. Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market by Launch Platform overview
9.2. Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market Launch Platform by Region overview
- 9.2.1. Land market by Region overview
- 9.2.2. Aerial market by Region overview
- 9.2.3. Naval market by Region overview
9.3. Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market Launch Platform by Calibre overview
- 9.3.1. Land market by Calibre overview
- 9.3.2. Aerial market by Calibre overview
- 9.3.3. Naval market by Calibre overview

10. Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Calibre

10.1. Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market by Calibre overview
10.2. Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market Calibre by Region overview
- 10.2.1. Anti-Tank Ammunition market by Region overview
- 10.2.2. Anti-Tank Rockets market by Region overview
- 10.2.3. 20mm to 100mm market by Region overview
- 10.2.4. 105mm to 199mm market by Region overview
- 10.2.5. Above 200mm market by Region overview
10.3. Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market Calibre by Launch Platform overview
- 10.3.1. Anti-Tank Ammunition market by Launch Platform overview
- 10.3.2. Anti-Tank Rockets market by Launch Platform overview
- 10.3.3. 20mm to 100mm market by Launch Platform overview
- 10.3.4. 105mm to 199mm market by Launch Platform overview
- 10.3.5. Above 200mm market by Launch Platform overview

11. Opportunity Analysis

11.1. Introduction
11.2. Compound Growth Rates
- 11.2.1. By Region
- 11.2.2. By Launch Platform
- 11.2.3. By Calibre
11.3. Inventory Analysis

12. Companies

12.1. BAE Systems Plc
- 12.1.1. Introduction
- 12.1.2. Products and services
- 12.1.3. Recent developments and contracts
- 12.1.4. SWOT Analysis
12.2. Chemring Group Plc
- 12.2.1. Introduction
- 12.2.2. Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition
- 12.2.3. Recent developments and contracts
12.3. Czechoslovak Group
- 12.3.1. Introduction
- 12.3.2. Products and services
- 12.3.3. Recent developments and contracts
- 12.3.4. Recent Contracts
- 12.3.5. SWOT Analysis
12.4. Day & Zimmermann
- 12.4.1. Introduction
- 12.4.2. Products and services
- 12.4.3. Recent developments and contracts
- 12.4.4. SWOT Analysis
12.5. Diehl Defence (Diehl Group)
- 12.5.1. Introduction
- 12.5.2. Products and services
- 12.5.3. Recent developments and contracts
- 12.5.4. SWOT Analysis
12.6. EDGE Group PJSC
- 12.6.1. Introduction
- 12.6.2. Products and services
- 12.6.3. Recent developments and contracts
- 12.6.4. SWOT Analysis
12.7. General Dynamics Corporation
- 12.7.1. Introduction
- 12.7.2. Products and services
- 12.7.3. Recent contracts and developments
- 12.7.4. SWOT Analysis
12.8. KNDS Group
- 12.8.1. Introduction
- 12.8.2. Recent developments
- 12.8.3. SWOT Analysis
12.9. MKE (Makine ve Kimya Endustrisi) Inc.
- 12.9.1. Introduction
- 12.9.2. Products and services
- 12.9.3. Recent developments and contracts
- 12.9.4. SWOT Analysis
12.10. Nammo AS
- 12.10.1. Introduction
- 12.10.2. Products and services
- 12.10.3. Recent developments
- 12.10.4. SWOT Analysis
12.11. NIOA Pty Ltd
- 12.11.1. Introduction
- 12.11.2. Products and services
- 12.11.3. Recent developments and contracts
- 12.11.4. SWOT Analysis
12.12. Northrop Grumman Corporation
- 12.12.1. Introduction
- 12.12.2. Products and Services
- 12.12.3. Recent Developments and Contracts
- 12.12.4. SWOT Analysis
12.13. PGZ Group S.A.- Polska Grupa Zbrojeniowa
- 12.13.1. Introduction
- 12.13.2. Products and services
- 12.13.3. Recent developments and contracts
- 12.13.4. SWOT Analysis
12.14. Poongsan
- 12.14.1. Introduction
- 12.14.2. Products and services
- 12.14.3. SWOT Analysis
12.15. Rheinmetall AG
- 12.15.1. Introduction
- 12.15.2. Products and services
- 12.15.3. Recent developments
- 12.15.4. Recent Contracts
- 12.15.5. SWOT Analysis
12.16. Thales
- 12.16.1. Introduction
- 12.16.2. Products and Services
- 12.16.3. Recent Developments
- 12.16.4. SWOT Analysis

13. Results and Conclusions

14. About Market Forecast

14.1. General
14.2. Contact us
14.3. Disclaimer
14.4. License

Appendix A: Companies Mentioned

Appendix B: Abbreviations

List of figures

Figure 1: Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market summary by Region
Figure 2: Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market summary by Launch Platform
Figure 3: Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market summary by Calibre
Figure 4: Racks of 155mm artillery shells
Figure 5: Critical Raw Materials producing countries
Figure 6: Critical Raw Materials dependence [%] and volume [mt] by producing countries
Figure 7: Market volumes over the forecast period per region
Figure 8: European defence planning path
Figure 9: Italian Navy's 76mm Gun
Figure 10: US Navy 57mm shells loaded in a gun
Figure 11: NIOA Ammunition Factory in Australia
Figure 12: Market Segmentation and Sub Segmentation Medium and Large Calibre Ammunition
Figure 13: Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Region [US$ millions]
Figure 14: Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Region %
Figure 15: North America Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform
Figure 16: North America - Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform
Figure 17: Europe Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform
Figure 18: Europe - Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform
Figure 19: Asia Pacific Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform
Figure 20: Asia Pacific - Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform
Figure 21: Middle-East & Africa Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform
Figure 22: Middle-East & Africa - Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform
Figure 23: Latin America Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform
Figure 24: Latin America - Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform
Figure 25: North America Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Calibre
Figure 26: North America - Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Calibre
Figure 27: Europe Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Calibre
Figure 28: Europe - Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Calibre
Figure 29: Asia Pacific Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Calibre
Figure 30: Asia Pacific - Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Calibre
Figure 31: Middle-East & Africa Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Calibre
Figure 32: Middle-East & Africa - Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Calibre
Figure 33: Latin America Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Calibre
Figure 34: Latin America - Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Calibre
Figure 35: Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform [US$ millions]
Figure 36: Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform %
Figure 37: Land Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Region
Figure 38: Land - Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Region
Figure 39: Aerial Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Region
Figure 40: Aerial - Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Region
Figure 41: Naval Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Region
Figure 42: Naval - Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Region
Figure 43: Land Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Calibre
Figure 44: Land - Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Calibre
Figure 45: Aerial Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Calibre
Figure 46: Aerial - Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Calibre
Figure 47: Naval Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Calibre
Figure 48: Naval - Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Calibre
Figure 49: Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Calibre [US$ millions]
Figure 50: Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Calibre %
Figure 51: Anti-Tank Ammunition Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Region
Figure 52: Anti-Tank Ammunition - Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Region
Figure 53: Anti-Tank Rockets Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Region
Figure 54: Anti-Tank Rockets - Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Region
Figure 55: 20mm to 100mm Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Region
Figure 56: 20mm to 100mm - Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Region
Figure 57: 105mm to 199mm Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Region
Figure 58: 105mm to 199mm - Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Region
Figure 59: Above 200mm Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Region
Figure 60: Above 200mm - Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Region
Figure 61: Anti-Tank Ammunition Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform
Figure 62: Anti-Tank Ammunition - Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform
Figure 63: Anti-Tank Rockets Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform
Figure 64: Anti-Tank Rockets - Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform
Figure 65: 20mm to 100mm Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform
Figure 66: 20mm to 100mm - Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform
Figure 67: 105mm to 199mm Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform
Figure 68: 105mm to 199mm - Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform
Figure 69: Above 200mm Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform
Figure 70: Above 200mm - Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform
Figure 71: Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition Size by Region
Figure 72: Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition CAGR by Region in US$ millions
Figure 73: Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition Size by Launch Platform
Figure 74: Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition CAGR by Launch Platform in US$ millions
Figure 75: Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition Size by Calibre
Figure 76: Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition CAGR by Calibre in US$ millions

List of tables

Table 1: Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market summary by Region in US$ millions
Table 2: Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market summary by Launch Platform in US$ millions
Table 3: Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market summary by Calibre in US$ millions
Table 4: Critical Raw Materials used in Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition
Table 5: Critical Raw Materials - Annual production from low-risk countries (LRC) versus required production for Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition
Table 6: Market activity
Table 7: Country groupings in market sizing
Table 8: Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition Market Share by Country
Table 9: Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Region [US$ millions]
Table 10: North America Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform [US$ millions]
Table 11: Europe Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform [US$ millions]
Table 12: Asia Pacific Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform [US$ millions]
Table 13: Middle-East & Africa Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform [US$ millions]
Table 14: Latin America Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform [US$ millions]
Table 15: North America Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Calibre [US$ millions]
Table 16: Europe Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Calibre [US$ millions]
Table 17: Asia Pacific Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Calibre [US$ millions]
Table 18: Middle-East & Africa Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Calibre [US$ millions]
Table 19: Latin America Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Calibre [US$ millions]
Table 20: Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform [US$ millions]
Table 21: Land Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Region [US$ millions]
Table 22: Aerial Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Region [US$ millions]
Table 23: Naval Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Region [US$ millions]
Table 24: Land Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Calibre [US$ millions]
Table 25: Aerial Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Calibre [US$ millions]
Table 26: Naval Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Calibre [US$ millions]
Table 27: Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Calibre [US$ millions]
Table 28: Anti-Tank Ammunition Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Region [US$ millions]
Table 29: Anti-Tank Rockets Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Region [US$ millions]
Table 30: 20mm to 100mm Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Region [US$ millions]
Table 31: 105mm to 199mm Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Region [US$ millions]
Table 32: Above 200mm Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Region [US$ millions]
Table 33: Anti-Tank Ammunition Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform [US$ millions]
Table 34: Anti-Tank Rockets Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform [US$ millions]
Table 35: 20mm to 100mm Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform [US$ millions]
Table 36: 105mm to 199mm Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform [US$ millions]
Table 37: Above 200mm Medium & Large Calibre Military Ammunition market to 2033 by Launch Platform [US$ millions]