PUBLISHER: Mordor Intelligence | PRODUCT CODE: 1910708
PUBLISHER: Mordor Intelligence | PRODUCT CODE: 1910708
The European e-bike market is expected to grow from USD 21.28 billion in 2025 to USD 22.08 billion in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 26.56 billion by 2031 at 3.76% CAGR over 2026-2031.

Healthy underlying demand from corporate fleets, last-mile logistics, and commuter substitution offsets the post-pandemic inventory correction. Expansion of protected cycle networks, the five-year extension of anti-dumping duties on Chinese e-bikes, and battery technology upgrades collectively sustain pricing power and shield margins. Leasing models that convert large one-time purchases into predictable operating expenses accelerate penetration among employers, while localized EU manufacturing mitigates tariff risk and shortens lead times. Gradual regulatory alignment on speed-pedelecs, combined with solid-state micro-battery breakthroughs, is expected to widen the total addressable base for higher-performance models.
Tax-advantaged leasing turns e-bikes into employee benefits rather than discretionary buys. Payroll deductions cut effective outlay by 30-50% and open premium tiers without sticker shock. Fleets give OEMs volume visibility, enabling just-in-time production and lower inventory risk. Platforms like NAVIT unify cross-border HR rules, accelerating rollouts in France and the Netherlands under tight labor markets.
Generous national and municipal incentives compress effective prices and pull demand forward. France still grants up to EUR 4,000 (~USD 4,646) per unit, the Netherlands lets employers depreciate e-bike costs, and Belgium couples payroll credits with leases, slicing significant savings from sticker prices. Because renewals follow predictable cycles, manufacturers time production runs to subsidy windows, smoothing inventories and protecting mid-range volume tiers. These measures sustain growth.
Average prices are significantly higher, commanding a substantial premium over conventional bicycles. Even after a German price retreat, entry models rarely dip, while high battery replacements add lifetime expense. Eastern European households, with lower median wages, feel the gap most, slowing mainstream adoption despite better infrastructure. Financing helps, yet cultural resistance to consumer credit leaves many buyers waiting for price cuts or income growth.
Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.
The European e-bike market size for pedal-assist propulsion accounted for 77.35% share in 2025. Pedal-assist thrives on regulatory simplicity and a familiar ride feel, anchoring commuter and leisure volumes. Speed-pedelecs outpaced all categories at 3.88% CAGR, leveraging commuter appetite for 45 km/h capability and fleet demand for quicker deliveries.
Regulatory convergence remains the swing factor: draft EU proposals aiming to synchronize helmet and path-access rules could unlock scale manufacturing and lower unit costs. Riese & Muller's forthcoming Pinion-equipped models reflect OEM bets on premium speed-pedelec expansion . As insurance products mature and infrastructure adapts, the propulsion mix is likely to tilt gradually toward higher-power classes.
City/urban commuting generated 73.62% of the European e-bike market share in 2025, because e-bikes excel on sub-10 km trips where parking scarcity and congestion charges penalize cars. Cargo/utility formats, purpose-built with long racks or boxes, expand at a 3.84% CAGR as retailers, couriers, and young families replace second cars. Family cargo variants with dual-child seating broaden the appeal beyond couriers, substituting short car trips and capturing sustainability-minded parents. OEMs redesign frames for 200 kg payloads without exceeding 250 W legal limits, further blurring lines between personal and commercial use.
Trekking and mountain bikes command premium ASPs through rugged frames, dual batteries, and high-torque motors, but remain limited by discretionary budgets and seasonal weather. Municipal climate plans and last-mile contracts tilt R&D toward payload optimization, regenerative braking, and modular accessories that transform bikes from leisure gear into professional equipment.
Lithium-ion holds 99.86% of the European e-bike market share in 2025, anchoring market size through cost erosion and energy-density gains. Continuous chemistry tweaks, shift toward nickel-manganese-cobalt blends or LFP for cost stability, drive incremental 3.76% CAGR, mirroring total market.
Lead-acid survives only in replacement sales and ultra-budget imports. Pilot fleets with lithium-carbon or semi-solid packs promise 15-20% faster charging and better low-temperature resilience. Until solid-state gigafactories scale, incremental gains in housing design, BMS algorithms, and recycled-content cathodes will lengthen warranties and lift resale values, keeping lithium-ion unchallenged during the forecast window.
The Europe E-Bike Market Report is Segmented by Propulsion Type (Pedal Assisted, Speed Pedelec, and More), Application Type (Cargo/Utility, City/Urban, and More), Battery Type (Lead-Acid Battery, Lithium-Ion Battery, and More), Motor Placement (Hub (Front/Rear), Mid-Drive), Drive Systems, Motor Power, Price Band, Sales Channel, End Use, and Country. The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD) and Volume (Units).