PUBLISHER: Mordor Intelligence | PRODUCT CODE: 1938979
PUBLISHER: Mordor Intelligence | PRODUCT CODE: 1938979
The United States LED lighting market size in 2026 is estimated at USD 20.18 billion, growing from 2025 value of USD 19.22 billion with 2031 projections showing USD 25.71 billion, growing at 4.98% CAGR over 2026-2031.

Federal rules that eliminated incandescent and halogen lamps in 2023, followed by bans on most fluorescent tubes in California, Vermont, and Washington, created replacement demand that continues to lift unit volumes. Municipal building codes now give more credit for controllable fixtures than for bare efficacy gains, pushing architects to specify luminaires that include sensors and networked drivers. Fortune 500 companies are increasingly replacing legacy lighting to meet their carbon targets, even when payback calculations are unfavorable, redirecting procurement priorities toward verified emission reductions. At the same time, tariffs of 25% on Canadian and Mexican imports, along with an additional 10% surcharge on Chinese sub-components, are nudging manufacturers to diversify their suppliers or reshore sub-assembly, reshaping the competitive landscape.
Federal rules that prohibit lamps delivering fewer than 45 lumens per watt have prompted consumers and businesses to shift toward LEDs that deliver 80-100 lumens per watt. California's fluorescent tube ban, effective in 2024, triggered early replacements in offices and retail spaces, reinforcing the dominance of retrofitting in the United States' LED lighting market. Because compliance is mandatory regardless of fixture age, the rule decouples upgrade timing from depreciation schedules. Domestic producers with shorter supply lines gained price leverage as tariffs inflated the costs of imported lamps.
The Inflation Reduction Act allocates USD 8.8 billion for Home Energy Rebates, which include up to USD 200 per household for qualified LED products. Commercial property owners can deduct up to USD 5.00 per square foot under Section 179D when installed systems surpass code-mandated efficiency, a provision that favors networked luminaires. Title 24 2025 in California will require daylight harvesting and advanced controls, accelerating the uptake of fixtures that ship with embedded sensors and wireless drivers.
Tariffs introduced in March 2025 raised duties on Canadian and Mexican imports to 25%, undermining cross-border maquiladora economics. Simultaneously, the surcharge on Chinese LED drivers increased to 20%, raising component costs by 10-15% for U.S. assemblers. Firms now rush to qualify suppliers in Vietnam and India, but the typical 18-month relocation timeline leaves them vulnerable to price fluctuations and inventory shortages.
Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.
The luminaires category accounted for a dominant 62.95% share of the United States' LED lighting market in 2025, as architects and engineers specified fixtures with onboard sensors that meet occupancy and daylighting mandates. Growth continues steadily because integrated systems simplify commissioning and warranty. By contrast, lamps post a faster 6.72% CAGR, as they satisfy the immediate needs arising from the bans on incandescent and fluorescent bulbs. The retrofit-heavy nature of the United States LED lighting market keeps lamp volumes buoyant even though average selling prices trend downward.
Innovation in chip-on-board arrays and wireless control modules positions luminaires to capture incremental value as building owners seek granular energy data. Lamp vendors defend their market share through universal dimming compatibility and shatter-resistant coatings, targeting schools and healthcare facilities. Across both sub-segments, the United States LED lighting market size will expand as efficacy gains become increasingly thin, but adoption widens in specialty niches such as grow lights and human-centric lighting.
Wholesale retail retained 54.85% of sales in 2025, yet e-commerce is advancing at a 5.21% CAGR as contractors embrace direct-ship models. The shift is most evident in the residential DIY and small commercial space, where standardized SKUs fit parcel networks. Direct sales remain critical for large projects that require photometric design and rebate paperwork, but web portals are increasingly handling repeat orders for maintenance stock. Manufacturers with robust online configurators and live inventory data are capturing a larger share of the United States' LED lighting market.
Traditional distributors respond by bundling design-assist, rebate administration, and on-site startup services. Some have acquired software firms that manage asset registers and predictive maintenance, creating hybrid physical-digital value propositions. As tariff costs fluctuate, online platforms provide transparent pricing, influencing buyer behavior in a market that still values local service for complex builds.
The United States LED Lighting Market Report is Segmented by Product Type (Lamps, and Luminaires/Fixtures), Distribution Channel (Direct Sales, Wholesale/Retail, and E-Commerce), Installation Type (New Installation, and Retrofit Installation), Application (Commercial Offices, Retail Stores, and More), and End User (Indoor, Outdoor, and Automotive). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).