PUBLISHER: Mordor Intelligence | PRODUCT CODE: 2100735
PUBLISHER: Mordor Intelligence | PRODUCT CODE: 2100735
According to Mordor Intelligence, the Asia-Pacific military aircraft market size is expected to grow from USD 13.23 billion in 2025 to USD 14.23 billion in 2026, and is forecast to reach USD 20.46 billion by 2031, at a 7.54% CAGR over 2026-2031.

This report is Segmented by Aircraft Type (Fixed-Wing Aircraft and Rotorcraft), End-User Service (Air Force, Army Aviation, Naval/Marine Corps Aviation, Joint/Special Operations, and More), Propulsion Type (Turbofan, Turbojet, Turboprop, Turboshaft, and Fully Electric/Hybrid-Electric), and Geography (China, India, Japan, and More). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).
Aging fighters from the 1980s and 1990s reach critical airframe-hour thresholds, compelling early retirements and driving urgent procurement of F-35, Rafale, and KF-21 aircraft. Tokyo's decision to phase out the F-15J variants ahead of schedule mirrors Canberra's accelerated Black Hawk buy, which replaced the Taipan fleet to restore readiness. Faster replacement timetables shorten evaluation windows, favoring proven multi-role designs with quick delivery slots. The resulting volume of concurrent projects lifts supplier revenues and sustains robust spares pipelines.
New-generation programs such as India's AMCA and South Korea's KF-21 elevate domestic industrial policy above per-unit cost efficiencies. Governments frame aviation projects as strategic pillars for national R&D, job creation, and export growth, thereby securing budgetary support and insulating programs from the pressures of election cycles. Western OEMs answer with co-development roles and deeper local value-addition to retain market presence.
Japan's decision to substantially increase funding for satellite constellations and cyber units in 2024, while maintaining flat budgets for aircraft procurement, signifies a strategic shift toward achieving information dominance. This reallocation aligns with a broader regional trend, as countries like Australia and South Korea also prioritize investments in space and cyber capabilities. The shift underscores the growing significance of intelligence, surveillance, secure communications, and cyber resilience in contemporary warfare. Consequently, traditional aviation programs, particularly those involving trainer aircraft and upgrades to legacy fleets, are experiencing near-term budgetary constraints. These limitations may slow pilot training and delay modernization efforts, posing challenges for aerospace manufacturers focused on conventional platforms.
Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.
Fixed-wing models accounted for an 84.83% market share in 2025 as multirole fighters replaced single-mission jets at a brisk 8.04% CAGR through 2031. This market size advantage stems from large orders from Japan, South Korea, and Australia, which favor the F-35, KF-21, and Rafale fleets. Concurrently, electronic warfare variants and intelligence platforms expand in lower volumes, yet they carry high contract values, sustaining supplier margins.
Rotorcraft procurement follows a different curve, where modular designs that switch from lift to combat duty in minutes attract fiscally constrained buyers. Orders for the MH-60M, AW139, and multi-role maritime helicopters increase as governments accept lower speeds in exchange for vertical lift versatility. Leasing and power-by-the-hour contracts are gaining traction, reducing capital expenditures while increasing aftermarket service demand.
The rotorcraft renaissance benefits from lower operating costs and faster crew training cycles. However, the segment trails in absolute dollars, its adaptability to search-and-rescue and humanitarian missions secures steady funding even in flat defense budgets. Emerging hybrid-electric demonstrators hint at future efficiency breakthroughs that could further narrow the performance gap with jets.