PUBLISHER: Mordor Intelligence | PRODUCT CODE: 2115853
PUBLISHER: Mordor Intelligence | PRODUCT CODE: 2115853
According to Mordor Intelligence, the Italy construction market size is expected to grow from USD 228.70 billion in 2025 to USD 236.32 billion in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 278.29 billion by 2031 at 3.33% CAGR over 2026-2031.

This report is Segmented by Sector (Residential, Commercial, and Infrastructure), by Construction Type (New Construction and Renovation), by Construction Method (Conventional On-Site and Modern Methods of Construction), by Investment Source (Public and Private), and by Geography (Milan, Rome, and More). The Report Offers Market Size and Forecasts in Value (USD) for all the Above Segments.
Massive funding under the NRRP allocates USD 217 billion for 2021-2026, channeling USD 78 billion toward ecological transition and infrastructure upgrades. Public works spending rose 13.7% in 2024 as transport, water and digital projects broke ground, cushioning weakness in residential starts. Southern provinces, long constrained by connectivity gaps, posted construction growth of 0.9% in 2024 versus 0.7% in the North, illustrating how targeted outlays are recalibrating the Italy construction market. These projects, including the Brenner Base Tunnel and the Tyrrhenian Link, embed resilience standards that require advanced digital design and low-carbon materials. Contractors with integrated engineering, procurement and environmental compliance capabilities are winning multi-year frameworks that provide predictable backlog and technology transfer opportunities.
The EPBD mandates every residential building reach energy class D by 2033, a target that affects nearly 60% of Italy's housing stock currently labeled G or F. Lombardy and Piedmont alone would need USD 135 billion in upgrades, equal to 20.2% of regional GDP. Although the "Superbonus" scheme is being phased out, heightened consumer awareness and stricter resale requirements are propelling demand for heat-pump installations, triple glazing and smart metering. Specialized design-build firms that bundle energy modelling, subsidy advisory and performance guarantees are scaling rapidly, often in partnership with utilities and fintech platforms that tailor mortgage-linked retrofit loans.
The Construction Cost Index hit multiyear peaks as steel, cement and bitumen prices surged, squeezing contractor margins. Northern regions, home to steel-intensive industrial builds, face steeper cost spikes. Firms are responding by stockpiling bulk materials, forging long-term supplier alliances and broadening recycled-content procurement to hedge volatility. Digital marketplaces offering live price feeds and AI-powered forecasting are gaining traction, allowing mid-tier builders to negotiate index-linked contracts and mitigate risk.
Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.
Infrastructure work generated the fastest growth, advancing at a 3.94% CAGR from 2026 to 2031 as rail corridors, grid links and water projects dominate procurement schedules. Terna's USD 26 billion programme and Webuild's high-speed rail packages illustrate how long-cycle assets are anchoring order books. The Italy construction market size for transportation alone is projected to climb steadily as EU corridors intersect domestic freight upgrades. Conversely, the residential segment-despite holding 41.02% of 2025 revenue-faces mixed signals; energy-efficient demand gains are countered by tapering tax credits. Commercial builds are bifurcated, with data centres and logistics sheds filling pipelines while traditional offices retrench.
Infrastructure contracts are structured around multi-stakeholder frameworks that require granular ESG reporting and digital twin integration, altering bid-evaluation priorities. Residential players emphasize net-zero ready designs, stimulating uptake of prefabricated facades and heat-pump systems. Commercial asset classes see investor scrutiny around embodied carbon, pushing contractors to validate material sourcing and lifecycle emissions. Collectively, these shifts ensure the Italy construction market remains sensitive to policy and capital-market requirements, steering growth toward sectors that marry resilience and digital performance.
New builds retained 54.62% of Italy construction market share in 2025 and are forecast to rise at 3.74% CAGR as high-profile schemes such as the Strait of Messina bridge (USD 15.3 billion) progress toward procurement. Visibility on long-duration public projects gives tier-one contractors revenue certainty, while private industrial and logistics builds secure pre-lease agreements that underpin financing.
Renovation commands 45.38% of spending and is evolving from reactive maintenance to strategic retrofits driven by EPBD deadlines. Deep-retrofit packages that achieve class D or better are gaining traction, supported by building-integrated photovoltaics and phase-change insulation panels. Energy-performance contracting models shift upfront capital risks onto ESCOs, widening market access for asset owners. This regulatory momentum places renovation at the heart of decarbonisation, reinforcing its value proposition within the Italy construction market.