United States Smart Lock - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2026 - 2031)

According to Mordor Intelligence, the United States smart lock market size was valued at USD 3.36 billion in 2025 and estimated to grow from USD 3.88 billion in 2026 to reach USD 6.03 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 9.22% during the forecast period (2026-2031).

This report is Segmented by Product Type (Deadbolt, Padlock, and More), End-User (Residential (Single-Family, and Multi-Family), Commercial (Hospitality, Retail, Corporate Offices, and More)), Installation Type (Retrofit, and More), and Distribution Channel (Online (Marketplaces, and More), Offline (Retailers, and Professional Installers)). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).

United States Smart Lock Market Trends and Insights

Integration With Smart-Home Hubs and Voice Assistants

Matter 1.3 certification, ratified in late 2024, lets locks interoperate across Apple Home, Google Home, Amazon Alexa, and Samsung SmartThings without proprietary bridges, eliminating a major adoption barrier. Thread mesh networking replaces Bluetooth Low Energy as the default radio for battery-powered locks, cutting latency and improving range inside multistory residences. Schlage's Encode Plus debuted Apple Home Key support in early 2025, and Kwikset's Halo Select Plus matched the feature set by August 2025, reinforcing competitive parity on credential options. Voice assistants now trigger compound routines, such as locking the door, arming the alarm, and adjusting the thermostat, through a single spoken command, which lowers the technical threshold for first-time buyers. The resulting rise in ease of use is broadening the United States smart lock market beyond early adopters into mass-market households. Continued firmware updates that bring Matter certification to older devices further protect consumer investment and encourage ecosystem stickiness.

Rising Package-Theft Incidents Boosting Entryway Security Demand

An estimated 250 000 parcels were stolen every day in 2025, driving USD 15 billion in annual losses across U.S. households according to aggregated carrier claims and retailer surveys. Smart locks paired with doorbell cameras allow owners to create one-time or time-bounded codes so delivery drivers can leave packages inside vestibules or garages. Amazon's Key In-Garage Delivery program expanded to 15 additional metros in 2025, prompting lock vendors to pursue "Key-compatible" certification to tap that channel. Higher parcel volume in suburban single-family neighborhoods, combined with lower camera density than urban cores, intensifies demand for access-controlled drop-off points. The functional convergence of video verification, temporary credentials, and cloud logging has therefore repositioned entry doors as critical nodes in the last-mile logistics chain, lifting unit sales within the United States smart lock market.

Persistent Cyber-Security Vulnerabilities and Public Hacks

Demonstrations at DEF CON 32 in 2024 showed cloning of hotel-lock RFID cards in under 60 seconds, while CVE disclosures during 2024-2025 exposed hard-coded keys and replay flaws in several consumer brands. Absent a mandatory federal certification regime, unlike the European ETSI TS 103 815 baseline, U.S. buyers rely on media reports and brand reputation to gauge device security. Each breach temporarily suppresses retail demand, especially among tech-savvy homeowners who fear door-unlock exploits. Manufacturers have responded with secure boot loaders and hardware-backed encryption, but SoC updates lengthen product cycles and raise bill-of-materials costs. Continued negative headlines therefore subtract momentum from the United States smart lock market even as feature innovation accelerates.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

1. Build-to-Rent Single-Family Developments Adopting Smart Locks at Scale
2. UWB Passive-Entry Capabilities Embedded in Smartphones
3. Multi-Family Building Code Restrictions on Retrofit Devices

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

Deadbolts commanded 60.73% of United States smart lock market share in 2025, reflecting their ubiquity on single-family exterior doors. Mortise and lever formats, however, are forecast to grow at a 10.37% CAGR through 2031 as hotels, offices, and healthcare facilities prioritize Grade 1 mechanical robustness and code-compliant panic egress. The United States smart lock market size attributed to mortise platforms is projected to expand from USD 0.70 billion in 2026 to USD 1.15 billion by 2031, outpacing unit growth because commercial buyers accept higher average selling prices for durability and warranty coverage. Manufacturers now ship modular chassis that accept interchangeable trims, finishes, and credential modules, Wi-Fi, Thread, or Zigbee, reducing SKU count and smoothing installer logistics.

Lever-handle locks satisfy Americans with Disabilities Act clearance angles and one-hand egress rules, increasing adoption in elder-care facilities and public schools where building inspectors demand accessible hardware. Padlock-style smart locks remain a niche but resilient sub-segment, especially among logistics yards that need audit logs without drilling permanent holes into container doors. Meanwhile, rim locks attract multifamily renters who cannot alter door hardware, yet their surface-mount profile limits penetration into higher-income owner-occupied homes. Across every format, rapid iteration on battery-life optimization and Matter-over-Thread upgrades is blurring historical boundaries between commercial and consumer feature sets, sustaining momentum for product diversification inside the United States smart lock market.

Residential buyers generated 88.39% of 2025 revenue, but commercial deployments, in hospitality, retail, corporate campuses, education, and healthcare, are projected to post an 11.12% CAGR to 2031, twice the residential rate. Hotel chains migrating from RFID cards to mobile credentials show clear ROI: front-desk bypass improves guest satisfaction scores while reducing plastic card costs. Dormakaba's Ambiance Cloud on-boarded over 500 hotels in 2025, and Vingcard's VConnect added Apple and Google Wallet keys to legacy installations, confirming broad ecosystem uptake.

Corporate offices pivoting toward hot-desking rely on credentialed locks for office suites, phone booths, and lockers, linking access logs to occupancy analytics that inform real-estate consolidation decisions. Retail big-box stores deploy smart padlocks on warehouses and point-of-sale cash drawers, replacing manual key sign-outs. In healthcare, smart locks secure medication rooms to improve narcotics auditing under HIPAA, while universities integrate student ID systems to dormitory locks, automatically revoking credentials upon graduation or disciplinary action. This mosaic of commercial use cases captures higher recurring SaaS revenue per door than residential channels, lifting the blended average selling price and reinforcing revenue diversification across the United States smart lock industry.

Complete Report Scope:

• By Product Type
  • Deadbolt
  • Padlock
  • Other Product Types (Mortise, Lever, Rim, etc.)
• By End-User
  • Residential
    • Single-Family
    • Multi-Family
  • Commercial
    • Hospitality
    • Retail
    • Corporate Offices
    • Healthcare
    • Education and More
• By Installation Type
  • Retrofit
  • New-Construction Integrated
• By Distribution Channel
  • Online
    • Direct from Manufacturer
    • Marketplaces
  • Offline
    • Retailers
    • Professional Installers

List of Companies Covered in this Report:

1. August Home Inc.
2. ASSA ABLOY Residential Group, Inc. (doing business as Yale Home)
3. Kwikset Corporation (an ASSA ABLOY company)
4. Schlage Lock Company LLC (wholly owned by Allegion plc)
5. Level Home Inc.
6. U-Tec Group Inc.
7. Wyze Labs, Inc.
8. Pin Genie Inc. (doing business as Lockly)
9. Anker Innovations Limited (Eufy Security brand)
10. SimpliSafe, Inc.
11. Aqara (Lumi United Technology Co., Ltd.)
12. Gate Labs Inc.
13. LockState, Inc. (doing business as RemoteLock)
14. Shenzhen Wonder Technology Co., Ltd. (doing business as SwitchBot)
15. Onity, Inc. (a Carrier Global Corporation company)
16. Digilock, Inc.
17. Igloohome Pte. Ltd.
18. Nuki Home Solutions GmbH
19. PDQ Manufacturing, Inc.
20. Baldwin Hardware Corporation (an ASSA ABLOY company)

Additional Benefits:

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support