PUBLISHER: Reed Electronics Research | PRODUCT CODE: 1859470
PUBLISHER: Reed Electronics Research | PRODUCT CODE: 1859470
In providing the forecasts for the current study, which were made at the end of July/beginning of August, we have:
As a result, we expect growth in the European electronics industry to strengthen in the second half of 2025 and then gain momentum over the period to 2028. However, as in previous years significant downside risks remain which could still push a sustained recovery into the first quarter of 2026.
In Euro's the production of electronic equipment in Western Europe increased by an estimated 0.2% in 2024 to Euro 131.2 billion, down from growth of 1.7% in the prior year, growth in the computing and communications segments - primarily radar and navigation/defence - offsetting falling industrial output.
Based on current indicators we are forecasting that growth in electronic equipment output in Western Europe will increase by 2.2% in 2025, 3.7% in 2026 and then accelerate to 4.0% in 2027 and 4.2% in 2028.
In 2024, the production of electronic components in Western Europe amounted to Euro 49.3 billion, 27.3% of overall electronics production. After two years of double-digit growth electronic component production declined by 2.0% in both 2023 and 2024 on the back of weaker demand and prices normalising following the period of higher prices fuelled by shortages. In 2024, active components accounted for 61.7%, passive 31.9% and other 6.4% while Germany accounted for the largest share of production at 34.9%, followed by Ireland 14.9%, France 14.2%, Italy 11.2% and the UK 5.7%.
The latest edition of Reed Electronics Research's annual survey provides an in-depth outlook for the West European electronics industry through to 2028. Published since 1973 the 'Volume 1 of the Yearbook of World Electronics Data' provides:
In providing the forecasts for the current study, which were made at the end of July/beginning of August, we have:
In 2024, electronics production in North America amounted to US$359 billion with the US dominating accounting for 79.3% of the total. Mexico, which acts as the low-cost production base for the region, 18.2% while Canada accounted for only 2.5%. After declining in US dollars by 0.1% in 2023, growth increased by 4.3% in 2024 and is forecast to grow by a more substantial 8.2% in 2025.
In Canada the growth in electronics output after increasing by 8.6% and 4.3% in 2022 and 2023, respectively eased to 1.2% in 2024 in part due to lower demand from key export markets. Communications and radar and control and instrumentation represented the largest segments accounting for 36.1% and 35.7% of electronics output, respectively in 2024. The component segment is small, accounting for only 7.5% of output in 2024.
In US dollars electronics output in Mexico increased by 6.3% in 2024 with growth seen across the computing, industrial and communications segments. Growth is forecast to increase by a more robust 15.2% in 2025 led by a 30% increase in computer output on the back of growth in AI and data centre related spending, and a 6.7% increase in communications production with this offset by slower growth in industrial and an 8.0% decline in consumer video.
Mexico will continue to benefit from foreign investment as both OEMs and EMS/ODMs look to utilise low-costs sites in the country as a production base to serve the North American market. The focus will remain on electronics equipment with limited investment expected in expanding the country's electronic components ecosystem.
After growth of 3.9% in 2023 the production of electronics equipment eased to 1.5% in 2024 but is forecast to rebound and increase by 4.3% in 2025 while electronics component output is forecast to increase by 13.1% in 2025 after posting double-digit growth of 11.9% in 2024 and a 6.0% decline in 2023.
The move by US companies to "re-shore" production has gained momentum and is expected to benefit from the move by US companies to localise manufacturing to offset higher tariffs. However, the US will face competition from Mexico for high-volume manufacturing.
Electronics output increased by 5.6% in 2024, a marked improvement compared to the prior year's decline of 2.8%. Electronics equipment, which accounted for 44.7% of the total, increased by 1.6% while components increased by 9.0%.
Based on official figures for the first six months of the year overall electronics output is forecast to increase by 1.9% in 2025, a 3.6% rise in electronic component production offset by a 1.9% increase in electronics equipment output.
The semiconductor and passive components sectors will continue to be the principal drivers of the Japanese electronics industry over the medium-term with the focus on products based on the latest technologies and continued investment in new capacity. The component sector will be supported by growth in the industrial segment, the emergence of new communication products driven by Internet of Things and 5G and the computer segment, in particular products supporting the development of AI.
In 2024, the production of electronics equipment and components in Asia was valued at US$1,494 billion of which electronics equipment production accounted for 57.8% of the total with output dominated by computing and communications. Asia is also the centre for electronic component output globally.
China dominates electronics production in the region with total electronics output valued at US$801 billion in 2024. Taiwan and South Korea, with their strong focus on semiconductors, both reported electronics production of over US$150 billion in 2024 at US$164 billion and US$162 billion, respectively while Singapore with output of US$92 billion and Malaysia US$83 billion also benefited from an established semiconductor industry. Vietnam, which due to its lowcosts has seen explosive growth in recent years, is a major centre for the production of mobile phones with overall electronics output of US$81 billion in 2024. Electronics production in India was valued at US$49 billion in 2024 growth being supported by government incentives as the country looks to establish itself as a major global manufacturing hub.
Published since 1983 Volume 2 of the Yearbook of World Electronics Data provides:
CEE's electronics industry is focused on a small number of major global OEMs and electronic manufacturing services providers with the focus on the 3C segments. In total, the 3C segments amounted to US$42.8 billion in 2024, 77.5% of electronics equipment output. 3C production is centered on five countries with Poland, Slovakia and Turkey major centres for TV production. Production in the Czech Republic is focused on computing while Hungary is produces a combination of computing and consumer electronics related equipment.
After declining in 2023, on the back of the slowdown in the PC market, the production of computer equipment surged in 2024 with growth of 21.5% with output forecast to increase by a further 12.3% in 2025. Growth has been driven by the demand for servers and other equipment related to AI and data centres. The Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland have been the main beneficiaries with computer related output in the three countries increasing by 28.2% in 2024 and a forecasted 13.2% in 2025.
The focus on 3C has been a key factor in the growth of electronics industry across CEE. However, with volume manufacturing in the hands of a relatively few companies the region continues to be vulnerable to the individual strategies of the company. Companies will need to balance the advantages of producing in close proximity to the European market against the advantages offered through lower costs by utilising manufacturing facilities in China and increasingly other Asian countries.
Industrial and high-end communications equipment production within the region will continue to take an increasing share of production, although in overall percentage terms it will remain low because of the dominant position held by the 3C segment. Although this will be led by foreign investment as companies look to move production from higher cost West European locations or in the case of non-European companies look to establish a low-cost manufacturing base to serve the European market, it is also an area where indigenous companies will compete.
The region is already a production base for many of the leading European Electronic Manufacturing Services (EMS) providers with the proportion of production undertaken in the region forecast to increase over the period to 2028. Although the major players with large volume production plants will continue to dominate in value terms companies over the period there will be significant investment by medium-sized companies looking for a lower-cost European production base.
Within CEE, components accounted for only 11.6% of electronics output in 2024. There are a number of indigenous companies although they tend to be small and focused on passive components. Foreign companies who have established operations in the country including Infineon Technologies and onsemi, both companies expanding their existing semiconductor facilities in the region with onsemi in June 2024 announcing plans to invest US$2 billion to expand silicon carbide wafer production at its existing operations in the Czech Republic.
Apart from the impact on Europe and globally, Russia's invasion of Ukraine continues to influence the country's electronics industry. For the current report we have provided information on the structure of the industry in 2024. The forecasts for Russian production and markets, which are largely based on an analysis of ITC and UN trade data, limited government statistics and Russian media sources, assume that output in US dollars will increase by 9.1% in 2024 and 14.5% in 2025. Following two years of double-digit declines output for the Ukrainian electronics industry increased by 20.9% in 2024 and is forecast to increase by a further 9.5% in 2025. In 2024, Russia and Ukraine accounted for 8.2% of electronics production in the region and 25.6% of the market. At the end of 2024 electronics production in Russia and Ukraine was an estimated US$5.6 billion and compared to US$5.1 billion in the prior year, with growth in value terms being driven by developments in Russia. In the same period the electronics market increased by 5.1% to US$28.1 billion (2023: US$26.7 billion).
Published since 1991 'the Volume 3 of the Yearbook of World Electronics Data' provides:
'The Yearbook of World Electronics Data series' presents market and production statistics for the GLOBAL electronics industry. Available in three published volumes covering 53 countries and 13 major product groups, the yearbook is used in the formulation of business and market planning, in tracking trends based on a clear understanding of how the industry has developed historically and to provide a basis for medium and long-term forecasting.
53 country coverage, 13 major product groups
... comparable country by country and product by product.
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