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PUBLISHER: TrendForce | PRODUCT CODE: 1952843

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PUBLISHER: TrendForce | PRODUCT CODE: 1952843

Quantum Computing Arms Race: Post-GPU Era Global Crisis and Taiwan's Positioning

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PAGES: 16 Pages
DELIVERY TIME: 1-2 business days
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As AI compute demand grows exponentially, the physical limits of traditional silicon-based chips are rapidly becoming apparent. The world is accelerating into a disruptive "post-GPU era," in which quantum computing is no longer confined to laboratory theory but is emerging as a double-edged force capable of reshaping drug discovery and financial risk management-even triggering a "quantum crisis" by undermining national-level encryption systems.

From NVIDIA's hybrid-computing strategy to the competing technical roadmaps of IonQ and Rigetti, and from the national-level arms race unfolding across the United States, China, Europe, and Japan, the next decade will be defined by a high-stakes contest for computational supremacy. Against this backdrop, Taiwan's supply chain faces a defining question: how will it position itself in the era of quantum computing?

Key Highlights

  • Nvidia's Hybrid Platform Dominance: Nvidia views quantum computing as complementary to GPUs. By deploying high-speed dedicated interconnects and the CUDA-Q software platform, Nvidia aims to integrate diverse quantum hardware, securing ecosystem leadership in the hybrid computing era without betting on a single hardware type.
  • Diverging Hardware Philosophies: The hardware landscape is defined by contrasting approaches. IonQ prioritizes precision and networking stability via ion traps, whereas Rigetti focuses on speed and scalability through semiconductor-based superconducting circuits.
  • The Quantum Crisis and Global Arms Race: While quantum computing promises breakthroughs in biomedicine and finance, it threatens global encryption standards (the "Quantum Crisis"). This has triggered a state-level arms race among the U.S., China, Europe, and Japan, spanning defense and infrastructure.
  • Taiwan's Strategic Role: Taiwan leverages its advanced semiconductor manufacturing capabilities to anchor the global quantum hardware supply chain. Additionally, it is developing physical fingerprint technology to establish a defensive moat against post-quantum cybersecurity threats.
Product Code: TRi-169

Table of Contents

1. The world is entering a quantum-driven "post-GPU era" as AI approaches physical limits

  • Figure 1: Schematic of Quantum Superposition in a Quantum Computer
  • Table 1: Classical Computers vs. Quantum Computers

2. Nvidia's Quantum Ambition: Not Building QPUs, but Transforming into the "Platform Ruler" of the Quantum Era

  • Figure 2: Nvidia Hybrid Quantum-Classical Computing Blueprint
  • Table 2: Nvidia's Strategic Positioning in Quantum Computing

3. Architectural Competition Amid Diverging Quantum Technologies: The Philosophies and Platform Directions of IonQ and Rigetti

  • Table 3: Technological Differences Between IonQ and Rigetti

4. The Coming Quantum Era: Exponential Technological Leaps and the Countdown to a Quantum Crisis

5. The Global Quantum Race: Strategic Divergence and Infrastructure Paths Across the U.S., China, Europe, and Japan

  • Table 4: Core Pillars of the Global Quantum Competition

6. The Quantum Crisis and Taiwan's Strategic Positioning: From Cryptographic Risk to an Industrial Inflection Point

  • Table 5: Taiwan's Positioning in the Quantum Computing Ecosystem

7. TRI's View

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Jeroen Van Heghe

Manager - EMEA

+32-2-535-7543

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Christine Sirois

Manager - Americas

+1-860-674-8796

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