Construction in Indonesia - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2024

The Indonesian construction industry registered an annual growth rate of 5.8% in real terms in 2019. The construction industry is expected to continue to grow at a fast pace over the forecast period (2020-2024), notwithstanding short-term disruption and potential risks owing to the Coronavirus outbreak, particularly across Asia. President Joko Widodo, who retained his position in the April 2019 elections, is expected to continue to drive forward with large-scale developments, while the country is also attracting financial support from China for major infrastructure works under the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). The industry's output value in real terms is expected to rise at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.59% over the forecast period.

The government plans to spend IDR571 trillion (US$40 billion) on the development of transport infrastructure in Jakarta by 2029. Under these plans, announced in March 2019, the government intends to build a 120km light transit railway corridor in the capital city. Additionally, in May 2019, the government announced plans to invest IDR6 quadrillion (US$412 billion) to develop the country's overall infrastructure during the period of 2020-2024. This includes the construction of 25 new airports, highways, affordable houses and power plants. Furthermore, the government plans to add 430GW of new power plant capacity by 2050.

A major project on the horizon is the development of a new capital city. In April 2019, the president approved plans to relocate the country's capital city to East Kalimantan, a province on the island of Borneo, due to overpopulation and traffic gridlock in Jakarta. The current Indonesian capital is sinking by 25cm annually, making it one of the fastest-sinking cities among the world's coastal megacities. It is estimated that 95% of North Jakarta will be submerged by 2050. The cost of the project is officially estimated at IDR482.4 trillion (US$33 billion), and it is expected to take a decade to complete.

The short-term outlook for growth is clouded by uncertainty over the spread of the Coronavirus, known as COVID-19, as well as its impact on economic activity owing to the trade and tourism links with China. During the period of January-November 2019, 1.9 million Chinese tourists visited Indonesia, which accounted for 13% of the overall tourist arrivals. The government imposed a travel ban to and from China with an effort to prevent the spread of the Coronavirus, and due to these restrictions, the country is expected to lose IDR58.5 trillion (US$4 billion), according to the Indonesian tourism minister. Additionally, disruption to China's manufacturing activities and regional supply chains will curtail commercial and industrial activity, as well as undermine investor confidence and have an adverse impact on construction spending. The forecast for construction output is based on a scenario in which the outbreak is contained during the second quarter of 2020, and economic and construction activity is ramped up in the second half of the year.

GlobalData's Construction in Indonesia - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2024 report provides detailed market analysis, information and insights into the Indonesian construction industry, including -

• The Indonesian construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity
• Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in the Indonesian construction industry
• Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.

Scope

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Indonesia. It provides -

• Historical (2015-2019) and forecast (2020-2024) valuations of the construction industry in Indonesia, featuring details of key growth drivers.
• Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
• Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
• Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants

Reasons to buy

• Identify and evaluate market opportunities using GlobalData's standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies.
• Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts.
• Understand the latest industry and market trends.
• Formulate and validate strategy using GlobalData's critical and actionable insight.
• Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures.
• Evaluate competitive risk and success factors.

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary

2 Construction Outlook: At-a-glance

3 Key Drivers and Risks

• 3.1. Economic Performance
• 3.2. Political Environment
• 3.3. Demographics
• 3.4. Risk Profile

4 Construction Outlook

• 4.1. All Construction
• 4.1.1. Outlook
• 4.1.2. Project analytics
• 4.2. Commercial Construction
• 4.2.1. Outlook
• 4.2.2. Project analytics
• 4.3. Industrial Construction
• 4.3.1. Outlook
• 4.3.2. Project analytics
• 4.4. Infrastructure Construction
• 4.4.1. Outlook
• 4.4.2. Project analytics
• 4.5. Energy and Utilities Construction
• 4.5.1. Outlook
• 4.5.2. Project analytics
• 4.6. Institutional Construction
• 4.6.1. Outlook
• 4.6.2. Project analytics
• 4.7. Residential Construction
• 4.7.1. Outlook
• 4.7.2. Project analytics

5 Key Industry Participants

• 5.1. Contractors
• 5.2. Consultants

6 Appendix

• 6.1. What is this Report About?
• 6.2. Definitions

7 About GlobalData

• 7.1. GlobalData at a Glance
• 7.2. GlobalData Construction
• 7.3. Disclaimer
• 7.4. Contact Us

List of Tables

• Table 1: Construction Outlook
• Table 2: Indonesia, Key Economic Indicators
• Table 3: Indonesia, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ Million)
• Table 4: Indonesia, Construction Output Value (nominal, IDR Billion)
• Table 5: Indonesia, Top Commerc

List of Figures

• Figure 1: Key Markets, Construction Output Growth Matrix and Risk Matrix
• Figure 2: Indonesia, Construction Projects Pipeline by Sector (US$ Billion)
• Figure 3: Indonesia, Risk Profile
• Figure 4: Indonesia, Risk Comparison
• Figure 5: Indonesia, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ billion, 2017 prices and exchange rate)
• Figure 6: Indonesia, Construction Output Value, Growth Matrix
• Figure 7: Indonesia, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, US$ Million), 2015-2024
• Figure 8: Indonesia, Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (US$ Million), 2019-2024
• Figure 9: Indonesia, Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
• Figure 10: Indonesia, Commercial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2015-2024
• Figure 11: Indonesia, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
• Figure 12: Indonesia, Commercial Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (US$ Million), 2019-2024
• Figure 13: Indonesia, Industrial Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2015-2024
• Figure 14: Indonesia, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
• Figure 15: Indonesia, Industrial Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (US$ Million), 2019-2024
• Figure 16: Indonesia, Infrastructure Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2015-2024
• Figure 17: Indonesia, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
• Figure 18: Indonesia, Infrastructure Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (US$ Million), 2019-2024
• Figure 19: Indonesia, Energy and Utilities Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2015-2024
• Figure 20: Indonesia, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
• Figure 21: Indonesia, Energy and Utilities Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (US$ Million), 2019-2024
• Figure 22: Indonesia, Institutional Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2015-2024
• Figure 23: Indonesia, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
• Figure 24: Indonesia, Institutional Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (US$ Million), 2019-2024
• Figure 25: Indonesia, Residential Construction Output by Project Type (Real, US$ Million), 2015-2024
• Figure 26: Indonesia, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)
• Figure 27: Indonesia, Residential Construction Projects Pipeline, Projected Annual Spending by Stage (US$ Million), 2019-2024
• Figure 28: Indonesia, Headquarters of Key Contractors (% of Total Project Pipeline)
• Figure 29: Indonesia, Headquarters of Foreign Contractors (% of Project Pipeline with Foreign Contractor)
• Figure 30: Indonesia, Headquarters of Key Consultants (% of Total Project Pipeline)
• Figure 31: Indonesia, Headquarters of Foreign Consultants (% of Project Pipeline with Foreign Consultants)